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We investigate nonlinear regression for nonstationary sequential data. In most real-life applications such as business domains including finance, retail, energy and economy, timeseries data exhibits nonstationarity due to the temporally…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-06-19 Fatih Ilhan , Oguzhan Karaahmetoglu , Ismail Balaban , Suleyman Serdar Kozat

We propose new reproducing kernel-based tests for model checking in conditional moment restriction models. By regressing estimated residuals on kernel functions via kernel ridge regression (KRR), we obtain a coefficient function in a…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-05-05 Yuhao Li

Hidden Markov models (HMMs) are flexible time series models in which the distributions of the observations depend on unobserved serially correlated states. The state-dependent distributions in HMMs are usually taken from some class of…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-06-19 Roland Langrock , Thomas Kneib , Alexander Sohn , Stacy DeRuiter

This paper introduces an efficient multi-linear nonparametric (kernel-based) approximation framework for data regression and imputation, and its application to dynamic magnetic-resonance imaging (dMRI). Data features are assumed to reside…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-04-07 Duc Thien Nguyen , Konstantinos Slavakis

A key challenge in probabilistic regression is ensuring that predictive distributions accurately reflect true empirical uncertainty. Minimizing overall prediction error often encourages models to prioritize informativeness over calibration,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-02-17 Ádám Jung , Domokos M. Kelen , András A. Benczúr

[This paper was initially published in PHME conference in 2016, selected for further publication in International Journal of Prognostics and Health Management.] This paper describes an Autoregressive Partially-hidden Markov model (ARPHMM)…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-05-04 Pablo Juesas , Emmanuel Ramasso , Sébastien Drujont , Vincent Placet

The fields of signal processing and information theory have evolved with the goal of developing formulations to extract intrinsic information from limited amount of data. When one considers the modeling of unpredictably varying processes…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-05-07 Rishabh Singh , Jose C. Principe

Models based on non-Hermitian Hamiltonians can exhibit a range of surprising and potentially useful phenomena. Physical realizations typically involve couplings to sources of incoherent gain and loss; this is problematic in quantum…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2019-07-03 Yu-Xin Wang , A. A. Clerk

Traditionally, kernel methods rely on the representer theorem which states that the solution to a learning problem is obtained as a linear combination of the data mapped into the reproducing kernel Hilbert space (RKHS). While elegant from…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-08-30 Riikka Huusari , Sahely Bhadra , Cécile Capponi , Hachem Kadri , Juho Rousu

In this paper, we study the problem of early stopping for iterative learning algorithms in a reproducing kernel Hilbert space (RKHS) in the nonparametric regression framework. In particular, we work with the gradient descent and (iterative)…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-11-26 Yaroslav Averyanov , Alain Celisse

We treat several key stochastic equations for non-Markovian open quantum system dynamics and present a formalism for finding solutions to them via canonical perturbation theory, without making the Born-Markov or rotating wave approximations…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2012-02-06 C. H. Fleming , B. L. Hu

The development of data-informed predictive models for dynamical systems is of widespread interest in many disciplines. We present a unifying framework for blending mechanistic and machine-learning approaches to identify dynamical systems…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2022-08-18 Matthew E. Levine , Andrew M. Stuart

We develop a mathematical framework to address a broad class of metric and preference learning problems within a Hilbert space. We obtain a novel representer theorem for the simultaneous task of metric and preference learning. Our key…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-28 Peyman Morteza

Recurrent neural networks (RNNs) provide a powerful approach in neuroscience to infer latent dynamics in neural populations and to generate hypotheses about the neural computations underlying behavior. However, past work has focused on…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-30 Elia Torre , Michele Viscione , Lucas Pompe , Benjamin F Grewe , Valerio Mante

We present a novel kernel-based machine learning algorithm for identifying the low-dimensional geometry of the effective dynamics of high-dimensional multiscale stochastic systems. Recently, the authors developed a mathematical framework…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2020-02-04 Andreas Bittracher , Stefan Klus , Boumediene Hamzi , Péter Koltai , Christof Schütte

We propose a nonlinear function-on-function regression model where both the covariate and the response are random functions. The nonlinear regression is carried out in two steps: we first construct Hilbert spaces to accommodate the…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-07-19 Peijun Sang , Bing Li

Memory effects in the dynamics of open systems have been the subject of significant interest in the last decades. The methods involved in quantifying this effect, however, are often difficult to compute and may lack analytical insight. With…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2021-02-10 Rolando Ramirez Camasca , Gabriel T. Landi

Spatial temporal reconstruction of dynamical system is indeed a crucial problem with diverse applications ranging from climate modeling to numerous chaotic and physical processes. These reconstructions are based on the harmonious…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2025-05-13 Nishant Panda , Himanshu Singh , J. Nathan Kutz

Nonparametric regression imputation is commonly used in missing data analysis. However, it suffers from the ``curse of dimension". The problem can be alleviated by the explosive sample size in the era of big data, while the large-scale data…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-09-26 Ruoyu Wang , Miaomiao Su , Qihua Wang

System identification is of special interest in science and engineering. This article is concerned with a system identification problem arising in stochastic dynamic systems, where the aim is to estimate the parameters of a system along…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-01-27 Christos Merkatas , Simo Särkkä