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In this paper, we consider the coefficient-based regularized distribution regression which aims to regress from probability measures to real-valued responses over a reproducing kernel Hilbert space (RKHS), where the regularization is put on…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-08-29 Yuan Mao , Lei Shi , Zheng-Chu Guo

Optimal experimental design seeks to determine the most informative allocation of experiments to infer an unknown statistical quantity. In this work, we investigate the optimal design of experiments for {\em estimation of linear functionals…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2023-01-18 Mojmír Mutný , Andreas Krause

Featuring memory of past inputs is a fundamental requirement for machine learning models processing time-dependent data. In quantum reservoir computing, all architectures proposed so far rely on Markovian dynamics, which, as we prove,…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2025-05-06 Antonio Sannia , Ricard Ravell Rodríguez , Gian Luca Giorgi , Roberta Zambrini

A wide class of non-Markovian completely positive master equations can be formulated on the basis of quantum collisional models. In this phenomenological approach the dynamics of an open quantum system is modeled through an ensemble of…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2013-09-26 Adrian A. Budini

We propose a Bayesian nonparametric mixture model for the reconstruction and prediction from observed time series data, of discretized stochastic dynamical systems, based on Markov Chain Monte Carlo methods (MCMC). Our results can be used…

Applications · Statistics 2017-10-03 Christos Merkatas , Konstantinos Kaloudis , Spyridon J. Hatjispyros

This paper introduces a novel nonparametric method for estimating high-dimensional dynamic covariance matrices with multiple conditioning covariates, leveraging random forests and supported by robust theoretical guarantees. Unlike…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-05-20 Shuguang Yu , Fan Zhou , Yingjie Zhang , Ziqi Chen , Hongtu Zhu

We introduce a new method to accurately and efficiently estimate the effective dynamics of collective variables in molecular simulations. Such reduced dynamics play an essential role in the study of a broad class of processes, ranging from…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2022-03-28 Hadrien Vroylandt , Ludovic Goudenège , Pierre Monmarché , Fabio Pietrucci , Benjamin Rotenberg

Differential equations containing memory terms that depend nonlinearly on past states model a variety of non-Markovian processes. In this study, we present a Markovian embedding procedure for such equations with distributed delay by…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-12-05 Divya Jaganathan , Rahil N. Valani

In many environmental applications involving spatially-referenced data, limitations on the number and locations of observations motivate the need for practical and efficient models for spatial interpolation, or kriging. A key component of…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-09-15 Mark D. Risser , Catherine A. Calder

Motivated by the inherent heterogeneity observed in many functional or imaging datasets, this paper focuses on subgroup learning in functional or image responses. While change-plane analysis has demonstrated empirical success in practice,…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-03-04 Xin Guan , Yiyuan Li , Xu Liu , Jinhong You

We propose a new estimator for nonparametric binary choice models that does not impose a parametric structure on either the systematic function of covariates or the distribution of the error term. A key advantage of our approach is its…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-01-13 Guo Yan

We propose a Bayesian hidden Markov model for analyzing time series and sequential data where a special structure of the transition probability matrix is embedded to model explicit-duration semi-Markovian dynamics. Our formulation allows…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-05-23 Beniamino Hadj-Amar , Jack Jewson , Mark Fiecas

We develop a stochastic approximation framework for learning nonlinear operators between infinite-dimensional spaces utilizing general Mercer operator-valued kernels. Our framework encompasses two key classes: (i) compact kernels, which…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-01-13 Jia-Qi Yang , Lei Shi

We present embedding procedures for the non-Markovian stochastic Schr\"{o}dinger equations, arising from studies of quantum systems coupled with bath environments. By introducing auxiliary wave functions, it is demonstrated that the…

Computational Physics · Physics 2020-05-04 Xiantao Li

Kernel methods have been among the most popular techniques in machine learning, where learning tasks are solved using the property of reproducing kernel Hilbert space (RKHS). In this paper, we propose a novel data analysis framework with…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-03-03 Yuka Hashimoto , Isao Ishikawa , Masahiro Ikeda , Fuyuta Komura , Takeshi Katsura , Yoshinobu Kawahara

Kernel methods have been among the most popular techniques in machine learning, where learning tasks are solved using the property of reproducing kernel Hilbert space (RKHS). In this paper, we propose a novel data analysis framework with…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-12-22 Yuka Hashimoto , Isao Ishikawa , Masahiro Ikeda , Fuyuta Komura , Takeshi Katsura , Yoshinobu Kawahara

We introduce Markov Random Geometric Graphs (MRGGs), a growth model for temporal dynamic networks. It is based on a Markovian latent space dynamic: consecutive latent points are sampled on the Euclidean Sphere using an unknown Markov…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-03-10 Quentin Duchemin , Yohann de Castro

Latent variable models are widely used to perform unsupervised segmentation of time series in different context such as robotics, speech recognition, and economics. One of the most widely used latent variable model is the Auto-Regressive…

Robotics · Computer Science 2023-08-11 Michele Ginesi , Paolo Fiorini

Many machine learning approaches for decision making, such as reinforcement learning, rely on simulators or predictive models to forecast the time-evolution of quantities of interest, e.g., the state of an agent or the reward of a policy.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-01-17 Petar Bevanda , Max Beier , Armin Lederer , Stefan Sosnowski , Eyke Hüllermeier , Sandra Hirche

In this article, we develop a kernel-based framework for constructing dynamic, pathdependent trading strategies under a mean-variance optimisation criterion. Building on the theoretical results of (Muca Cirone and Salvi, 2025), we…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2025-07-16 Owen Futter , Nicola Muca Cirone , Blanka Horvath
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