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We introduce a statistical physics inspired supervised machine learning algorithm for classification and regression problems. The method is based on the invariances or stability of predicted results when known data is represented as…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-11-19 Patrick Chao , Tahereh Mazaheri , Bo Sun , Nicholas B. Weingartner , Zohar Nussinov

This paper studies simultaneous inference of conditional distributions in nonlinear time series from a sieve M-regression perspective. Existing literature on sieve M-regression has primarily focused on pointwise asymptotics, leaving the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-05-05 Tianpai Luo , Zhou Zhou

This paper reviews developments in statistics for spatial point processes obtained within roughly the last decade. These developments include new classes of spatial point process models such as determinantal point processes, models…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-09-06 Jesper Møller , Rasmus Waagepetersen

Gridded estimated rainfall intensity values at very high spatial and temporal resolution levels are needed as main inputs for weather prediction models to obtain accurate precipitation forecasts, and to verify the performance of…

Applications · Statistics 2009-01-23 Montserrat Fuentes , Brian Reich , Gyuwon Lee

Inference on unknown quantities in dynamical systems via observational data is essential for providing meaningful insight, furnishing accurate predictions, enabling robust control, and establishing appropriate designs for future…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-02-06 M. Chung , M. Binois , R. B. Gramacy , D. J. Moquin , A. P. Smith , A. M. Smith

Modeling a precipitation field is challenging due to its intermittent and highly scale-dependent nature. Motivated by the features of high-frequency precipitation data from a network of rain gauges, we propose a threshold space-time $t$…

Applications · Statistics 2016-02-10 Ying Sun , Michael L. Stein

Deep learning methods achieve remarkable predictive performance in modeling complex, large-scale data. However, assessing the quality of derived models has become increasingly challenging, as more classical statistical assumptions may no…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-03-02 Daniele Zambon , Cesare Alippi

Both marginal and dependence features must be described when modelling the extremes of a stationary time series. There are standard approaches to marginal modelling, but long- and short-range dependence of extremes may both appear. In…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-03-17 Thomas Lugrin , Anthony C. Davison , Jonathan A. Tawn

Detecting and resolving violations of temporal constraints in real-time systems is both, time-consuming and resource-intensive, particularly in complex software environments. Measurement-based approaches are widely used during development,…

Operating Systems · Computer Science 2025-07-31 Benno Bielmeier , Ralf Ramsauer , Takahiro Yoshida , Wolfgang Mauerer

We study the spatio-temporal prediction problem and introduce a novel point-process-based prediction algorithm. Spatio-temporal prediction is extensively studied in Machine Learning literature due to its critical real-life applications such…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-03-17 Oguzhan Karaahmetoglu , Suleyman S. Kozat

In multivariate or spatial extremes, inference for max-stable processes observed at a large collection of locations is among the most challenging problems in computational statistics, and current approaches typically rely on less expensive…

Computation · Statistics 2015-08-20 Stefano Castruccio , Raphaël Huser , Marc Genton

Max-stable processes are a popular tool for the study of environmental extremes, and the extremal skew-$t$ process is a general model that allows for a flexible extremal dependence structure. For inference on max-stable processes with…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-04-21 B. Beranger , A. G. Stephenson , S. A. Sisson

We propose a method for approximating solutions to optimization problems involving the global stability properties of parameter-dependent continuous-time autonomous dynamical systems. The method relies on an approximation of the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2013-08-12 Péter Koltai , Alexander Volf

Physics-informed methods have gained a great success in analyzing data with partial differential equation (PDE) constraints, which are ubiquitous when modeling dynamical systems. Different from the common penalty-based approach, this work…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-10-08 Tongyu Li , Fang Yao

The stochastic frontier model with heterogeneous technical efficiency explained by exoge-nous variables is augmented with a spatial-temporal component, a generalization relaxing the panel independence assumption in a panel data. The…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-04-29 Erniel B. Barrios , John D. Eustaquio , Rouselle F. Lavado

We propose a semiparametric model for autonomous nonlinear dynamical systems and devise an estimation procedure for model fitting. This model incorporates subject-specific effects and can be viewed as a nonlinear semiparametric mixed…

Applications · Statistics 2011-12-01 Debashis Paul , Jie Peng , Prabir Burman

We propose deterministic timed automata (DTA) as a model-independent language for specifying performance and dependability measures over continuous-time stochastic processes. Technically, these measures are defined as limit frequencies of…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2015-03-17 Tomáš Brázdil , Jan Krčál , Jan Křetínský , Antonín Kučera , Vojtěch Řehák

We unify and extend the semigroup and the PDE approaches to stochastic maximal regularity of time-dependent semilinear parabolic problems with noise given by a cylindrical Brownian motion. We treat random coefficients that are only…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2019-02-12 Pierre Portal , Mark Veraar

In several application fields like daily pluviometry data modelling, or motion analysis from image sequences, observations contain two components of different nature. A first part is made with discrete values accounting for some symbolic…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-03-27 Cécile Hardouin , Jian-Feng Yao

In modeling spatial extremes, the dependence structure is classically inferred by assuming that block maxima derive from max-stable processes. Weather stations provide daily records rather than just block maxima. The point process approach…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-12-15 Hongwei Shang , Jun Yan , Xuebin Zhang