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Suppose that a sequence of data points follows a distribution of a certain parametric form, but that one or more of the underlying parameters may change over time. This paper addresses various natural questions in such a framework. We…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-19 Nils Lid Hjort , Alex J. Koning

We consider the goodness of fit testing problem for ergodic diffusion processes. The basic hypothesis is supposed to be simple. The diffusion coefficient is known and the alternatives are described by the different trend coefficients. We…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-03-27 Yury A. Kutoyants

We derive a new discrepancy statistic for measuring differences between two probability distributions based on combining Stein's identity with the reproducing kernel Hilbert space theory. We apply our result to test how well a probabilistic…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-07-04 Qiang Liu , Jason D. Lee , Michael I. Jordan

In Bayesian hypothesis testing, evidence for a statistical model is quantified by the Bayes factor, which represents the relative likelihood of observed data under that model compared to another competing model. In general, computing Bayes…

Computation · Statistics 2021-12-07 Thomas J. Faulkenberry

We present new families of goodness-of-fit tests of uniformity on a full-dimensional set $W\subset\R^d$ based on statistics related to edge lengths of random geometric graphs. Asymptotic normality of these statistics is proven under the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-07-20 Bruno Ebner , Franz Nestmann , Matthias Schulte

Classical two-sample permutation tests for equality of distributions have exact size in finite samples, but they fail to control size for testing equality of parameters that summarize each distribution. This paper proposes permutation tests…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-04-22 Marinho Bertanha , EunYi Chung

Parton distribution functions (PDFs) form an essential part of particle physics calculations. Currently, the most precise predictions for these non-perturbative functions are generated through fits to global data. A problem that several PDF…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2025-09-04 Mengshi Yan , Tie-Jiun Hou , Zhao Li , Kirtimaan Mohan , C. -P. Yuan

We propose an empirical likelihood test that is able to test the goodness of fit of a class of parametric and semi-parametric multiresponse regression models. The class includes as special cases fully parametric models; semi-parametric…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-01-12 Song Xi Chen , Ingrid Van Keilegom

In this paper we study goodness-of-fit testing of single-index models. The large sample behavior of certain score-type test statistics is investigated. As a by-product, we obtain asymptotically distribution-free maximin tests for a large…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Winfried Stute , Li-Xing Zhu

Consider a graph on randomly scattered points in an arbitrary space, with two points $x,y$ connected with probability $\phi(x,y)$. Suppose the number of points is large but the mean number of isolated points is $O(1)$. We give general…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-09-21 Mathew D. Penrose

We propose a new and rather stringent criterion for testing the goodness of fit between a theory and experiment. It is motivated by the paradox that the criterion on \chi^2 for testing a theory is much weaker than the criterion for finding…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2007-05-23 J. C. Collins , J. Pumplin

This paper is devoted to the estimation of the shift parameter in a semiparametric regression model when the distribution of the observation times is unknown. Hence, we propose to use a stochastic algorithm which takes into account the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-12-23 Philippe Fraysse

In this paper, we explore the modified Greenwood statistic, which, in contrast to the classical Greenwood statistic, is properly defined for random samples from any distribution. The classical Greenwood statistic, extensively examined in…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-05-21 Katarzyna Skowronek , Marek Arendarczyk , Radosław Zimroz , Agnieszka Wyłomańska

Using the fact that some depth functions characterize certain family of distribution functions, and under some mild conditions, distribution of the depth is continuous, we have constructed several new multivariate goodness of fit tests…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-05-14 Rahul Singh , Subhajit Dutta , Neeraj Misra

We propose a family of tests to assess the goodness-of-fit of a high-dimensional generalized linear model. Our framework is flexible and may be used to construct an omnibus test or directed against testing specific non-linearities and…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-11-14 Jana Janková , Rajen D. Shah , Peter Bühlmann , Richard J. Samworth

We consider spatially homogeneous marked point patterns in an unboundedly expanding convex sampling window. Our main objective is to identify the distribution of the typical mark by constructing an asymptotic $\chi^2$-goodness-of-fit test.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-08-10 Lothar Heinrich , Sebastian Lück , Volker Schmidt

This article proposes omnibus portmanteau tests for contrasting adequacy of time series models. The test statistics are based on combining the autocorrelation function of the conditional residuals, the autocorrelation function of the…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-02-02 Esam Mahdi

The problem of testing the reliability of ensemble forecasting systems is revisited. A popular tool to assess the reliability of ensemble forecasting systems (for scalar verifications) is the rank histogram, this histogram is expected to be…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2018-12-26 Jochen Bröcker

Estimation frameworks for statistical inference are preferred to hypothesis testing when quantifying uncertainty and precise estimation are more valuable than binary decisions about statistical significance. Study design for…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-29 Luke Hagar , Nathaniel T. Stevens

The coefficient of determination, known as $R^2$, is commonly used as a goodness-of-fit criterion for fitting linear models. $R^2$ is somewhat controversial when fitting nonlinear models, although it may be generalised on a case-by-case…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-12-23 Mark Levene , Aleksejus Kononovicius
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