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A non-homogeneous Poisson cluster model is studied, motivated by insurance applications. The Poisson center process which expresses arrival times of claims, triggers off cluster member processes which correspond to number or amount of…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-12-02 Muneya Matsui

Let $X$ be the unique normal martingale such that $X_0=0$ and \[\mathrm{d}[X]_t=(1-t-X_{t-}) \mathrm{d}X_t+\mathrm{d}t\] and let $Y_t:=X_t+t$ for all $t\geq 0$; the semimartingale $Y$ arises in quantum probability, where it is the…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-05-22 Alexander C. R. Belton

Let $\psi$ be a multi-dimensional random variable. We show that the set of probability measures $\mathbb{Q}$ such that the $\mathbb{Q}$-martingale $S^{\mathbb{Q}}_t=\mathbb{E}^{\mathbb{Q}}\left[\psi\lvert\mathcal{F}_{t}\right]$ has the…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-07-11 Dmitry Kramkov , Sergio Pulido

This paper deals with the question of conditional sampling and prediction for the class of stationary max-stable processes which allow for a mixed moving maxima representation. We develop an exact procedure for conditional sampling using…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-03-25 Marco Oesting , Martin Schlather

We derive explicit, closed-form expressions for the cumulant densities of a multivariate, self-exciting Hawkes point process, generalizing a result of Hawkes in his earlier work on the covariance density and Bartlett spectrum of such…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-08-08 Stojan Jovanović , John Hertz , Stefan Rotter

Generalization of the Lorden's inequality is an excellent tool for obtaining strong upper bounds for the convergence rate for various complicated stochastic models. This paper demonstrates a method for obtaining such bounds for some…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-10-13 Galina Zverkina

Representations of branching Markov processes and their measure-valued limits in terms of countable systems of particles are constructed for models with spatially varying birth and death rates. Each particle has a location and a "level,"…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-04-11 Thomas G. Kurtz , Eliane R. Rodrigues

An information-theoretic development is given for the problem of compound Poisson approximation, which parallels earlier treatments for Gaussian and Poisson approximation. Let $P_{S_n}$ be the distribution of a sum $S_n=\Sumn Y_i$ of…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-06-05 A. D. Barbour , Oliver Johnson , Ioannis Kontoyiannis , Mokshay Madiman

We study point processes on the real line whose configurations $X$ are locally finite, have a maximum and evolve through increments which are functions of correlated Gaussian variables. The correlations are intrinsic to the points and…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-10-26 Louis-Pierre Arguin , Michael Aizenman

We consider free multiple stochastic measures in the combinatorial framework of the lattice of all diagonals of an n-dimensional space. In this free case, one can restrict the analysis to only the noncrossing diagonals. We give definitions…

Operator Algebras · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Michael Anshelevich

We study properties of a subclass of Markov processes that have all moments that are continuous functions of the time parameter and more importantly are characterized by the property that say their $n-$th conditional moment given the past…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-10-08 Paweł J. Szabłowski

For any discrete-time $P$--local martingale $S$ there exists a probability measure $Q \sim P$ such that $S$ is a $Q$--martingale. A new proof for this result is provided. The core idea relies on an appropriate modification of an argument by…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-05-04 Vilmos Prokaj , Johannes Ruf

In this paper we study the properties of the Poisson random measure and the Poisson integral associated with a G-Levy process. We prove that a Poisson integral is a G-Levy process and give the conditions which ensure that a Poisson integral…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-11-19 Krzysztof Paczka

Simulating samples from arbitrary probability distributions is a major research program of statistical computing. Recent work has shown promise in an old idea, that sampling from a discrete distribution can be accomplished by perturbing and…

Computation · Statistics 2016-04-13 Chris J. Maddison

The goal of this paper is to analyse the asymptotic behavior of the cycle process and the total number of cycles of weighted and generalized weighted random permutations which are relevant models in physics and which extend the Ewens…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-05-13 Ashkan Nikeghbali , Dirk Zeindler

In this paper, we first define the multivariate tempered space-fractional Poisson process (MTSFPP) by time-changing the multivariate Poisson process with an independent tempered {\alpha}-stable subordinator. Its distributional properties,…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-05-24 Ashok Kumar Pathak , Ritik Soni

In this paper, the weak convergence of additive functionals of processes with locally independent increments and with Markov switching in the scheme of Poisson approximation is proved. For the relative compactness, a method proposed by R.…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-10-20 V. S. Koroliuk , N. Limnios , I. V. Samoilenko

We present sufficient conditions for sums of dependent point processes to converge in distribution to a Poisson process. This extends the classical result of Grigelionis [Theory Probab. Appl. 8 (1963) 172--182] for sums of uniformly null…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Matthew O. Jones , Richard F. Serfozo

This paper studies risk balancing features in an insurance market by evaluating ruin probabilities for single and multiple components of a multivariate compound Poisson risk process. The dependence of the components of the process is…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-02-04 Anita Behme , Claudia Klüppelberg , Gesine Reinert

We give a general framework for approximations to combinatorial assemblies, especially suitable to the situation where the number $k$ of components is specified, in addition to the overall size $n$. This involves a Poisson process, which,…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-07-06 Richard Arratia , Stephen DeSalvo
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