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We present a general construction for dependent random measures based on thinning Poisson processes on an augmented space. The framework is not restricted to dependent versions of a specific nonparametric model, but can be applied to all…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2012-11-21 Nicholas J. Foti , Joseph D. Futoma , Daniel N. Rockmore , Sinead Williamson

We develop a prior probability model for temporal Poisson process intensities through structured mixtures of Erlang densities with common scale parameter, mixing on the integer shape parameters. The mixture weights are constructed through…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-10-26 Hyotae Kim , Athanasios Kottas

Different change-point type models encountered in statistical inference for stochastic processes give rise to different limiting likelihood ratio processes. In a previous paper of one of the authors it was established that one of these…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-11-06 Serguei Dachian , Ilia Negri

Important models in insurance, for example the Carm{\'e}r--Lundberg theory and the Sparre Andersen model, essentially rely on the Poisson process. The process is used to model arrival times of insurance claims. This paper extends the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-04-16 Arun Kumar , Nikolai Leonenko , Alois Pichler

Progressive quenching (PQ) is a stochastic process during which one fixes, one after another, the degrees of freedom of a globally coupled Ising spin system while letting it thermalize through a heat bath. It has previously been shown that…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2022-05-18 Charles Moslonka , Ken Sekimoto

This article constructs a class of random probability measures based on exponentially and polynomially tilting operated on the laws of completely random measures. The class is proved to be conjugate in that it covers both prior and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-12-19 John W. Lau

Stacy distribution defined for the first time in 1961 provides a flexible framework for modelling of a wide range of real-life behaviours. It appears under different names in the scientific literature and contains many useful particular…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-03-21 Pavlina K. Jordanova , Mladen Savov , Assen Tchorbadjieff , Milan Stehlík

We give a new characterization for mutual absolute continuity of probability measures on a filtered space. For this, we introduce a martingale limit $M$ that measures the similarity between the tails of the probability measures restricted…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-11-28 Matthias Georg Mayer

We propose the point process model as the Poissonian-like stochastic sequence with slowly diffusing mean rate and adjust the parameters of the model to the empirical data of trading activity for 26 stocks traded on NYSE. The proposed scaled…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2009-11-13 V. Gontis , B. Kaulakys , J. Ruseckas

We investigate approximation of a Bernoulli partial sum process to the accompanying Poisson process in the non-i.i.d. case. The rate of closeness is studied in terms of the minimal distance in probability.

Probability · Mathematics 2022-07-20 Pavel S. Ruzankin , Igor S. Borisov

We study the default risk in incomplete information. That means, we model the value of a firm by one L\'evy process which is the sum of brownian motion with drift and compound Poisson process. This L\'evy process can not be observed…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-11-25 Waly Ngom

In this paper we study the problem of Multiplicative Poisson Equation (MPE) bounded solution existence in the generic discrete-time setting. Assuming mixing and boundedness of the risk-reward function, we investigate what conditions should…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-05-21 Marcin Pitera , Łukasz Stettner

The aim of the paper is to provide an exact approach for generating a Poisson process sampled from a hierarchical CRM, without having to instantiate the infinitely many atoms of the random measures. We use completely random measures~(CRM)…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-06-03 Gaurav Pandey , Ambedkar Dukkipati

We study general properties for the family of stochastic processes with polynomial regression property, that is that every conditional moment of the process is a polynomial. It turns out that then there exists a family of polynomial…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-04-04 Paweł J. Szabłowski

In this manuscript we propose a method for pricing insurance products that cover not only traditional risks, but also unforeseen ones. By considering the Poisson process parameter to be a mixed random variable, we capture the heterogeneity…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-08-10 Weihong Ni , Corina Constantinescu , Alfredo Egídio dos Reis , Véronique Maume-Deschamps

We discuss the equivalence of definitions for conditional Poisson processes, Cox processes, and stochastic intensities of point processes on the real line. We show that Watanabe's characterisation of conditional Poisson processes in terms…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-01-06 Dirk Becherer , Thomas Bernhardt , Pavel Gapeev

We consider the sum of two self-similar centred Gaussian processes with different self-similarity indices. Under non-negativity assumptions of covariance functions and some further minor conditions, we show that the asymptotic behaviour of…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-06-27 Frank Aurzada , Martin Kilian , Ercan Sönmez

For a general free L\'evy process, we prove the existence of its higher variation processes as limits in distribution, and identify the limits in terms of the L\'evy-It\^o representation of the original process. For a general free compound…

Operator Algebras · Mathematics 2023-04-07 Michael Anshelevich , Zhichao Wang

We propose that the entanglement of mixed states is characterised properly in terms of a probability density function $\mathcal{P}(\mathcal{E})$. There is a need for such a measure since the prevalent measures (such as \textit{concurrence}…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2007-05-23 Shanthanu Bhardwaj , V. Ravishankar

In credit risk literature, the existence of an equivalent martingale measure is stipulated as one of the main assumptions in the hazard process model. Here we show by construction the existence of a measure that turns the discounted stock…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-08-28 Marek Capiński , Tomasz Zastawniak