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In the context of time series forecasting, it is a common practice to evaluate multiple methods and choose one of these methods or an ensemble for producing the best forecasts. However, choosing among different ensembles over multiple…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-12-16 Himanshi Charotia , Abhishek Garg , Gaurav Dhama , Naman Maheshwari

Factor models are a very efficient way to describe high dimensional vectors of data in terms of a small number of common relevant factors. This problem, which is of fundamental importance in many disciplines, is usually reformulated in…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-06-13 Valentina Ciccone , Augusto Ferrante , Mattia Zorzi

A statistical predictive model in which a high-dimensional time-series regenerates at the end of each day is used to model road traffic. Due to the regeneration, prediction is based on a daily modeling using a vector autoregressive model…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-01-27 Mohammed Bouchouia , François Portier

We propose FNETS, a methodology for network estimation and forecasting of high-dimensional time series exhibiting strong serial- and cross-sectional correlations. We operate under a factor-adjusted vector autoregressive (VAR) model which,…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-03-05 Matteo Barigozzi , Haeran Cho , Dom Owens

High-dimensional, higher-order tensor data are gaining prominence in a variety of fields, including but not limited to computer vision and network analysis. Tensor factor models, induced from noisy versions of tensor decompositions or…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-12-16 Xu Zhang , Guodong Li , Catherine C. Liu , Jianhua Guo

Time series analysis has gained significant attention due to its critical applications in diverse fields such as healthcare, finance, and sensor networks. The complexity and non-stationarity of time series make it challenging to capture the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-31 Guancen Lin , Cong Shen , Aijing Lin

We consider a multivariate time series model which represents a high dimensional vector process as a sum of three terms: a linear regression of some observed regressors, a linear combination of some latent and serially correlated factors,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-11-16 Jinyuan Chang , Bin Guo , Qiwei Yao

Tensor Factor Models (TFM) are appealing dimension reduction tools for high-order large-dimensional tensor time series, and have wide applications in economics, finance and medical imaging. In this paper, we propose a projection estimator…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-03-03 Matteo Barigozzi , Yong He , Lingxiao Li , Lorenzo Trapani

These lecture notes provide an overview of existing methodologies and recent developments for estimation and inference with high dimensional time series regression models. First, we present main limit theory results for high dimensional…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-09-01 Christis Katsouris

We consider statistical inference in factor analysis for ergodic and non-ergodic diffusion processes from discrete observations. Factor model based on high frequency time series data has been mainly discussed in the field of high…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-02-04 Shogo Kusano , Masayuki Uchida

High-dimensional time series datasets are becoming increasingly common in many areas of biological and social sciences. Some important applications include gene regulatory network reconstruction using time course gene expression data, brain…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-08-02 Sumanta Basu , David S. Matteson

A novel deep neural network framework -- that we refer to as Deep Dynamic Factor Model (D$^2$FM) --, is able to encode the information available, from hundreds of macroeconomic and financial time-series into a handful of unobserved latent…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-05-23 Paolo Andreini , Cosimo Izzo , Giovanni Ricco

There has been considerable recent interest in Bayesian modeling of high-dimensional networks via latent space approaches. When the number of nodes increases, estimation based on Markov Chain Monte Carlo can be extremely slow and show poor…

Computation · Statistics 2022-05-30 Emanuele Aliverti , Massimiliano Russo

Tensors, or multidimensional arrays, are data structures that can naturally represent visual data of multiple dimensions. Inherently able to efficiently capture structured, latent semantic spaces and high-order interactions, tensors have a…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2021-07-09 Yannis Panagakis , Jean Kossaifi , Grigorios G. Chrysos , James Oldfield , Mihalis A. Nicolaou , Anima Anandkumar , Stefanos Zafeiriou

Co-evolving time series appears in a multitude of applications such as environmental monitoring, financial analysis, and smart transportation. This paper aims to address the following challenges, including (C1) how to incorporate explicit…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-05-17 Baoyu Jing , Hanghang Tong , Yada Zhu

Recent work has shown the effectiveness of tensor network methods for computing large deviation functions in constrained stochastic models in the infinite time limit. Here we show that these methods can also be used to study the statistics…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2022-03-08 Luke Causer , Mari Carmen Bañuls , Juan P. Garrahan

In this paper, we study a new two-way factor model for high-dimensional matrix-variate time series. To estimate the number of factors in this two-way factor model, we decompose the series into two parts: one being a non-weakly correlated…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-01-28 Qiang Xia

We proposed a data-driven approach to dissect multivariate time series in order to discover multiple phases underlying dynamics of complex systems. This computing approach is developed as a multiple-dimension version of Hierarchical Factor…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-03-09 Xiaodong Wang , Fushing Hsieh

The proliferation of mobile devices has led to the collection of large amounts of population data. This situation has prompted the need to utilize this rich, multidimensional data in practical applications. In response to this trend, we…

Applications · Statistics 2024-07-18 Tomoya Wakayama , Shonosuke Sugasawa

This work presents an introduction to feature-based time-series analysis. The time series as a data type is first described, along with an overview of the interdisciplinary time-series analysis literature. I then summarize the range of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-10-03 Ben D. Fulcher
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