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Multitask learning is widely used in practice to train a low-resource target task by augmenting it with multiple related source tasks. Yet, naively combining all the source tasks with a target task does not always improve the prediction…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-29 Dongyue Li , Huy L. Nguyen , Hongyang R. Zhang

Background: Pairwise and network meta-analyses using fixed effect and random effects models are commonly applied to synthesise evidence from randomised controlled trials. The models differ in their assumptions and the interpretation of the…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-08-04 Shijie Ren , Jeremy E. Oakley , John W. Stevens

Estimation of heterogeneous treatment effects is an active area of research. Most of the existing methods, however, focus on estimating the conditional average treatment effects of a single, binary treatment given a set of pre-treatment…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-05-30 Max Goplerud , Kosuke Imai , Nicole E. Pashley

By remarkably reducing real fitness evaluations, surrogate-assisted evolutionary algorithms (SAEAs), especially hierarchical SAEAs, have been shown to be effective in solving computationally expensive optimization problems. The success of…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2021-03-02 Xiaodong Ren , Daofu Guo , Zhigang Ren , Yongsheng Liang , An Chen

In this paper, we propose a surrogate-assisted evolutionary algorithm (EA) for hyperparameter optimization of machine learning (ML) models. The proposed STEADE model initially estimates the objective function landscape using RadialBasis…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2020-12-14 Subhodip Biswas , Adam D Cobb , Andreea Sistrunk , Naren Ramakrishnan , Brian Jalaian

Many datasets describing contacts in a population suffer from incompleteness due to population sampling and underreporting of contacts. Data-driven simulations of spreading processes using such incomplete data lead to an underestimation of…

Physics and Society · Physics 2017-09-07 Julie Fournet , Alain Barrat

Epidemic models are powerful tools in understanding infectious disease. However, as they increase in size and complexity, they can quickly become computationally intractable. Recent progress in modelling methodology has shown that surrogate…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-03-13 Giovanni Charles , Timothy M. Wolock , Peter Winskill , Azra Ghani , Samir Bhatt , Seth Flaxman

Bayesian optimisation (BO) has been widely used to solve problems with expensive function evaluations. In multi-objective optimisation problems, BO aims to find a set of approximated Pareto optimal solutions. There are typically two ways to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-08-16 Tinkle Chugh

In modern clinical trials, there is immense pressure to use surrogate markers in place of an expensive or long-term primary outcome to make more timely decisions about treatment effectiveness. However, using a surrogate marker to test for a…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-04-22 Rebecca Knowlton , Layla Parast

Graph-theoretical analyses of complex brain networks is a rapidly evolving field with a strong impact for neuroscientific and related clinical research. Due to a number of confounding variables, however, a reliable and meaningful…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2014-08-27 Gerrit Ansmann , Klaus Lehnertz

Meta-analytic methods may be used to combine evidence from different sources of information. Quite commonly, the normal-normal hierarchical model (NNHM) including a random-effect to account for between-study heterogeneity is utilized for…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-02-25 Christian Röver , Tim Friede

Multifidelity surrogate modelling combines data of varying accuracy and cost from different sources. It strategically uses low-fidelity models for rapid evaluations, saving computational resources, and high-fidelity models for detailed…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-04-24 Daniel N Wilke

This work aims at developing new methodologies to optimize computational costly complex systems (e.g., aeronautical engineering systems). The proposed surrogate-based method (often called Bayesian optimization) uses adaptive sampling to…

Multidisciplinary design optimization methods aim at adapting numerical optimization techniques to the design of engineering systems involving multiple disciplines. In this context, a large number of mixed continuous, integer and…

Crash simulations play an essential role in improving vehicle safety, design optimization, and injury risk estimation. Unfortunately, numerical solutions of such problems using state-of-the-art high-fidelity models require significant…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-16 Jonas Kneifl , Jörg Fehr , Steven L. Brunton , J. Nathan Kutz

Empirical Bayes methods have been around for a long time and have a wide range of applications. These methods provide a way in which historical data can be aggregated to provide estimates of the posterior mean. This thesis revisits some of…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-08-17 Xiuwen Duan

Experience rating in insurance uses a Bayesian credibility model to upgrade the current premiums of a contract by taking into account policyholders' attributes and their claim history. Most data-driven models used for this task are…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-06-13 Sebastian Calcetero-Vanegas , Andrei L. Badescu , X. Sheldon Lin

The meta-analysis's utility is dependent on previous studies having accurately captured the variables of interest, but in medical studies, a key decision variable that impacts a physician's decisions was not captured. This results in an…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-16 Ashley Klein , Edward Raff , Marcia DesJardin

The use of surrogate models instead of computationally expensive simulation codes is very convenient in engineering. Roughly speaking, there are two kinds of surrogate models: the deterministic and the probabilistic ones. These last are…

Applications · Statistics 2015-12-24 Malek Ben Salem , Olivier Roustant , Fabrice Gamboa , Lionel Tomaso

Surrogate models provide efficient alternatives to computationally demanding real world processes but often require large datasets for effective training. A promising solution to this limitation is the transfer of pre-trained surrogate…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-14 Shuaiqun Pan , Diederick Vermetten , Manuel López-Ibáñez , Thomas Bäck , Hao Wang