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Surrogate variables in electronic health records (EHR) and biobank data play an important role in biomedical studies due to the scarcity or absence of chart-reviewed gold standard labels. We develop a novel approach named SASH for {\bf…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-09-04 Yue Liu , Molei Liu , Zijian Guo , Tianxi Cai

Research in oncology has changed the focus from histological properties of tumors in a specific organ to a specific genomic aberration potentially shared by multiple cancer types. This motivates the basket trial, which assesses the efficacy…

Applications · Statistics 2020-02-11 Jin Jin , Marie-Karelle Riviere , Xiaodong Luo , Yingwen Dong

When the primary outcome is difficult to collect, surrogate endpoint is typically used as a substitute. It is possible that for every individual, treatment has a positive effect on surrogate, and surrogate has a positive effect on primary…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-12-27 Linquan Ma , Yunjian Yin , Lan Liu , Zhi Geng

The quantification of uncertainties of computer simulations due to input parameter uncertainties is paramount to assess a model's credibility. For computationally expensive simulations, this is often feasible only via surrogate models that…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-08-30 Sascha Ranftl , Wolfgang von der Linden

We introduce the concept of decision-focused surrogate modeling for solving computationally challenging nonlinear optimization problems in real-time settings. The proposed data-driven framework seeks to learn a simpler, e.g. convex,…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-12-27 Rishabh Gupta , Qi Zhang

This paper introduces a novel two-stage machine learning-based surrogate modeling framework to address inverse problems in scientific and engineering fields. In the first stage of the proposed framework, a machine learning model termed the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-01-05 Farhad Pourkamali-Anaraki , Jamal F. Husseini , Evan J. Pineda , Brett A. Bednarcyk , Scott E. Stapleton

Evolutionary algorithms often struggle to find well converged (e.g small inverted generational distance on test problems) solutions to multi-objective optimization problems on a limited budget of function evaluations (here, a few hundred).…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2025-04-30 Christopher M. Pierce , Young-Kee Kim , Ivan Bazarov

Systematic exploration of Agent-Based Models (ABMs) is challenged by the curse of dimensionality and their inherent stochasticity. We present a multi-stage pipeline integrating the systematic design of experiments with machine learning…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-07 Paul Saves , Matthieu Mastio , Nicolas Verstaevel , Benoit Gaudou

Basket trials have gained increasing attention for their efficiency, as multiple patient subgroups are evaluated simultaneously. Conducted basket trials focus primarily on establishing the early efficacy of a treatment, yet continued…

Applications · Statistics 2025-05-16 Zhi Cao , Pavel Mozgunov , Haiyan Zheng

Learning controller parameters from closed-loop data has been shown to improve closed-loop performance. Bayesian optimization, a widely used black-box and sample-efficient learning method, constructs a probabilistic surrogate of the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-15 Sebastian Hirt , Valentinus Suwanto , Hendrik Alsmeier , Maik Pfefferkorn , Rolf Findeisen

We propose a new approach for building recommender systems by adapting surrogate-assisted interactive genetic algorithms. A pool of user-evaluated items is used to construct an approximative model which serves as a surrogate fitness…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2019-08-09 Thomas Gabor , Philipp Altmann

Approving and assessing new drugs is complex because multiple criteria must be considered simultaneously. A common approach is benefit-risk analysis, often conducted within a Bayesian framework to account for uncertainty and combine data…

The central task in modeling complex dynamical systems is parameter estimation. This task involves numerous evaluations of a computationally expensive objective function. Surrogate-based optimization introduces a computationally efficient…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-12-19 Žiga Lukšič , Jovan Tanevski , Sašo Džeroski , Ljupčo Todorovski

Oilfield development related decisions are made using reservoir simulation-based optimization study in which different production scenarios and well controls are compared. Such simulations are computationally expensive and so surrogate…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-03-01 Ajitabh Kumar

The surrogate-assisted optimization algorithm is a promising approach for solving expensive multi-objective optimization problems. However, most existing surrogate-assisted multi-objective optimization algorithms have three main drawbacks:…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2018-11-06 Xi Lin , Hui-Ling Zhen , Zhenhua Li , Qingfu Zhang , Sam Kwong

Most existing multiobjetive evolutionary algorithms (MOEAs) implicitly assume that each objective function can be evaluated within the same period of time. Typically. this is untenable in many real-world optimization scenarios where…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2021-08-31 Xilu Wang , Yaochu Jin , Sebastian Schmitt , Markus Olhofer

Throughout the different phases of a drug development program, randomized trials are used to establish the tolerability, safety, and efficacy of a candidate drug. At each stage one aims to optimize the design of future studies by…

Applications · Statistics 2021-02-08 Sebastian Weber , Andrew Gelman , Daniel Lee , Michael Betancourt , Aki Vehtari , Amy Racine

Surrogates in lieu of expensive-to-evaluate performance functions can accelerate the reliability analysis greatly. This paper proposes a new two-stage framework for surrogate-aided reliability analysis named Surrogates for Importance…

Other Statistics · Statistics 2020-01-29 Wang-Sheng Liu , Sai Hung Cheung , Wen-Jun Cao

Decisions based upon pairwise comparisons of multiple treatments are naturally performed in terms of the mean survival of the selected study arms or functions thereof. However, synthesis of treatment comparisons is usually performed on…

Applications · Statistics 2025-12-11 Anastasios Apsemidis , Dimitris Mavridis , Nikolaos Demiris

In this work, we offer a thorough analytical investigation into the role of shared hyperparameters in a hierarchical Bayesian model, examining their impact on information borrowing and posterior inference. Our approach is rooted in a…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-23 Prasenjit Ghosh , Anirban Bhattacharya , Debdeep Pati
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