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We first pursue the study of how hierarchy provides a well-adapted tool for the analysis of change. Then, using a time sequence-constrained hierarchical clustering, we develop the practical aspects of a new approach to wavelet regression.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2011-01-11 Fionn Murtagh , Michael Spagat , Jorge A. Restrepo

We introduce a flexible Bayesian framework for clustering nodes in undirected binary networks, motivated by the need to uncover structural patterns in complex environments. Building on the stochastic block model, we develop two hybrid…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-05-29 Juan Sosa , Eleni Dilma , Brenda Betancourt

We study the severity of conflict-related violence in Colombia at an unprecedented granular scale in space and across time. Splitting the data into different geographical regions and different historically-relevant eras, we uncover…

Physics and Society · Physics 2023-12-06 Katerina Tkacova , Annette Idler , Neil Johnson , Eduardo López

Quantile regression extends regression analysis beyond the conditional mean, providing a richer characterization of covariate effects across the outcome distribution. For sensitive binary outcomes, however, misclassification due to…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-18 Joon Jin Song , Mohammad Arshad Rahman , Yoo-Mi Chin , James Stamey

We present new methods to estimate causal effects retrospectively from micro data with the assistance of a machine learning ensemble. This approach overcomes two important limitations in conventional methods like regression modeling or…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-07-12 Cyrus Samii , Laura Paler , Sarah Zukerman Daly

Protracted conflict is one of the largest human challenges that have persistently undermined economic and social progress. In recent years, there has been increased emphasis on using statistical and physical science models to better…

This paper develops a framework for quantile regression in binary longitudinal data settings. A novel Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) method is designed to fit the model and its computational efficiency is demonstrated in a simulation…

Econometrics · Economics 2019-09-16 Mohammad Arshad Rahman , Angela Vossmeyer

This study investigates the impact of integrating gender equality into the Colombian constitution of 1991 on attitudes towards gender equality, experiences of gender-based discrimination, and labor market participation. Using a…

General Economics · Economics 2026-02-10 Hector Galindo-Silva , Paula Herrera-Idárraga

For exchangeable data, mixture models are an extremely useful tool for density estimation due to their attractive balance between smoothness and flexibility. When additional covariate information is present, mixture models can be extended…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-08-01 Sara Wade , Vanda Inacio , Sonia Petrone

We develop Bayesian models for density regression with emphasis on discrete outcomes. The problem of density regression is approached by considering methods for multivariate density estimation of mixed scale variables, and obtaining…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-08-14 Georgios Papageorgiou

We propose a flexible Bayesian approach for estimating the joint density of a multivariate outcome of interest in the presence of categorical covariates. Leveraging a Gaussian copula framework, our method effectively captures the dependence…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-10 Giovanni Toto , Peter Müller , Abhra Sarkar

Urban mobility in developing countries, particularly in cities like Cali, Colombia, faces multifaceted challenges influenced by socioeconomic factors and the distinct characteristics of transport users Despite motorcycles emerging as a…

Physics and Society · Physics 2024-02-14 Kathleen Salazar-Serna , Jesus D. Diaz , Isabel C. Garcia

In a regression analysis, suppose we suspect that there are several heterogeneous groups in the population that a sample represents. Mixture regression models have been applied to address such problems. By modeling the conditional…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-07-02 Toshiya Hoshikawa

Motivated by research on gender identity norms and the distribution of the woman's share in a couple's total labor income, we consider functional additive regression models for probability density functions as responses with scalar…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-06-18 Eva-Maria Maier , Almond Stöcker , Bernd Fitzenberger , Sonja Greven

Envelope model also known as multivariate regression model was proposed to solve the multiple response regression problems. It measures the linear association between predictors and multiple responses by using the minimal reducing subspace…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-05-07 Bochao Jia

We consider the problem of variable selection in Bayesian multivariate linear regression models, involving multiple response and predictor variables, under multivariate normal errors. In the absence of a known covariance structure,…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-25 Joyee Ghosh , Xun Li

Time-varying covariates in longitudinal studies frequently evolve through reciprocal feedback, undergo role reversal, and reflect unobserved individual heterogeneity. Standard statistical frameworks often assume fixed covariate roles and…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-27 Niloofar Ramezani , Pascal Nitiema , Jeffrey R. Wilson

The Ministry of Social Development in Mexico is in charge of creating and assigning social programmes targeting specific needs in the population for the improvement of quality of life. To better target the social programmes, the Ministry is…

Applications · Statistics 2017-11-27 Christian Carmona , Luis Nieto-Barajas , Antonio Canale

This study proposes a unified multi-stage framework to reconstruct consistent monthly and annual labor indicators for all 33 Colombian departments from 1993 to 2025. The approach integrates temporal disaggregation, time-series splicing and…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-08-20 Jaime Vera-Jaramillo

Understanding covariate-varying interdependencies among features is of great interest in various applications. Motivated by microbiome studies where microbial abundances and interactions vary with environmental factors, we develop a…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-16 Shuangjie Zhang , Michael L. Patnode , Juhee Lee
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