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Classic Bayesian methods with complex models are frequently infeasible due to an intractable likelihood. Simulation-based inference methods, such as Approximate Bayesian Computing (ABC), calculate posteriors without accessing a likelihood…

Computation · Statistics 2026-01-09 Elliot Maceda , Emily C. Hector , Amanda Lenzi , Brian J. Reich

The doubly robust estimator, which models both the propensity score and outcomes, is a popular approach to estimate the average treatment effect in the potential outcome setting. The primary appeal of this estimator is its theoretical…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-09-11 Kaoru Babasaki , Shonosuke Sugasawa , Kosaku Takanashi , Kenichiro McAlinn

Bayesian likelihood-free methods implement Bayesian inference using simulation of data from the model to substitute for intractable likelihood evaluations. Most likelihood-free inference methods replace the full data set with a summary…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-10-16 Yinan Mao , Xueou Wang , David J. Nott , Michael Evans

Implementing Bayesian inference is often computationally challenging in applications involving complex models, and sometimes calculating the likelihood itself is difficult. Synthetic likelihood is one approach for carrying out inference…

Computation · Statistics 2021-03-15 David T. Frazier , David J. Nott , Christopher Drovandi , Robert Kohn

Fine-tuning pre-trained models for downstream tasks is a widely adopted technique known for its adaptability and reliability across various domains. Despite its conceptual simplicity, fine-tuning entails several troublesome engineering…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2024-12-30 Chaeyun Jang , Hyungi Lee , Jungtaek Kim , Juho Lee

This paper develops a methodology for approximating the posterior first two moments of the posterior distribution in Bayesian inference. Partially specified probability models, which are defined only by specifying means and variances, are…

Methodology · Statistics 2009-01-27 K. Triantafyllopoulos , P. J. Harrison

Interpretability is a pressing issue for decision systems. Many post hoc methods have been proposed to explain the predictions of a single machine learning model. However, business processes and decision systems are rarely centered around a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-03-22 Gianluigi Lopardo , Damien Garreau , Frederic Precioso , Greger Ottosson

Many scientific and engineering applications require fitting regression models that are nonlinear in the parameters. Advances in computer hardware and software in recent decades have made it easier to fit such models. Relative to fitting…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-03-20 Peng Liu , William Q. Meeker

Multi-dimensional functional data arises in numerous modern scientific experimental and observational studies. In this paper we focus on longitudinal functional data, a structured form of multidimensional functional data. Operating within a…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-09-20 John Shamshoian , Damla Senturk , Shafali Jeste , Donatello Telesca

Gaussian process regression is a powerful Bayesian nonlinear regression method. Recent research has enabled the capture of many types of observations using non-Gaussian likelihoods. To deal with various tasks in spatial modeling, we benefit…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-08-26 Yuta Shikuri

Major postoperative complications are devastating to surgical patients. Some of these complications are potentially preventable via early predictions based on intraoperative data. However, intraoperative data comprise long and fine-grained…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-11 Dingwen Li , Bing Xue , Christopher King , Bradley Fritz , Michael Avidan , Joanna Abraham , Chenyang Lu

The lack of interpretability remains a key barrier to the adoption of deep models in many applications. In this work, we explicitly regularize deep models so human users might step through the process behind their predictions in little…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-11-17 Mike Wu , Michael C. Hughes , Sonali Parbhoo , Maurizio Zazzi , Volker Roth , Finale Doshi-Velez

Prototypical part learning is emerging as a promising approach for making semantic segmentation interpretable. The model selects real patches seen during training as prototypes and constructs the dense prediction map based on the similarity…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-04-29 Hugo Porta , Emanuele Dalsasso , Diego Marcos , Devis Tuia

When solving ill-posed inverse problems, one often desires to explore the space of potential solutions rather than be presented with a single plausible reconstruction. Valuable insights into these feasible solutions and their associated…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-05-27 Elias Nehme , Rotem Mulayoff , Tomer Michaeli

Many modern applications of Bayesian inference, such as in cosmology, are based on complicated forward models with high-dimensional parameter spaces. This considerably limits the sampling of posterior distributions conditioned on observed…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2024-09-17 Marco Raveri , Cyrille Doux , Shivam Pandey

Many risk-sensitive applications require Machine Learning (ML) models to be interpretable. Attempts to obtain interpretable models typically rely on tuning, by trial-and-error, hyper-parameters of model complexity that are only loosely…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-05-29 Marco Virgolin , Andrea De Lorenzo , Eric Medvet , Francesca Randone

We study the problem of estimating the mode and maximum of an unknown regression function in the presence of noise. We adopt the Bayesian approach by using tensor-product B-splines and endowing the coefficients with Gaussian priors. In the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-03-16 William Weimin Yoo , Subhashis Ghosal

Real-world clinical problems are often characterized by multimodal data, usually associated with incomplete views and limited sample sizes in their cohorts, posing significant limitations for machine learning algorithms. In this work, we…

Logistic regression models are a popular and effective method to predict the probability of categorical response data. However inference for these models can become computationally prohibitive for large datasets. Here we adapt ideas from…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-08-25 Tom Whitaker , Boris Beranger , Scott A. Sisson

In ill-posed inverse problems, it is commonly desirable to obtain insight into the full spectrum of plausible solutions, rather than extracting only a single reconstruction. Information about the plausible solutions and their likelihoods is…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-05-14 Omer Yair , Elias Nehme , Tomer Michaeli
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