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Large scale solar eruptions significantly impact space weather and damages space-based human infrastructures. It is necessary to predict large scale solar eruptions, which will enable us to protect our vulnerable infrastructures of modern…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2020-07-08 Soumitra Hazra , Gopal Sardar , Partha Choudhuri

The rising integration of variable renewable energy sources (RES), like solar and wind power, introduces considerable uncertainty in grid operations and energy management. Effective forecasting models are essential for grid operators to…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-08-02 Jesus Silva-Rodriguez , Elias Raffoul , Xingpeng Li

LSTM or Long Short Term Memory Networks is a specific type of Recurrent Neural Network (RNN) that is very effective in dealing with long sequence data and learning long term dependencies. In this work, we perform sentiment analysis on a GOP…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2020-05-11 Karthik Gopalakrishnan , Fathi M. Salem

Early identification of at-risk students is critical for effective intervention in online learning environments. This study extends temporal prediction analysis to Week 20 (50% of course duration), comparing Decision Tree and Long Short-…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-16 Vaarunay Kaushal , Rajib Mall

Solar Proton Events (SPEs) cause significant radiation hazards to satellites, astronauts, and technological systems. Accurate forecasting of their proton flux time profiles is crucial for early warnings and mitigation. This paper explores…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-08 Kangwoo Yi , Bo Shen , Qin Li , Haimin Wang , Yong-Jae Moon , Jaewon Lee , Hwanhee Lee

Predicting the severity of the solar eruptive phenomena like flares and Coronal Mass Ejections (CMEs) remains a great challenge despite concerted efforts for several decades. The advent of high quality vector magnetograms obtained from…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2015-05-19 Sanjiv Kumar Tiwari , P. Venkatakrishnan , Sanjay Gosain

Recently, there has been growing interest in the use of machine-learning methods for predicting solar flares. Initial efforts along these lines employed comparatively simple models, correlating features extracted from observations of…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2023-06-21 Varad Deshmukh , Srinivas Baskar , Elizabeth Bradley , Thomas Berger , James D. Meiss

The Soil Moisture Active Passive (SMAP) mission has delivered valuable sensing of surface soil moisture since 2015. However, it has a short time span and irregular revisit schedule. Utilizing a state-of-the-art time-series deep learning…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-10-26 Kuai Fang , Chaopeng Shen , Daniel Kifer , Xiao Yang

Predictive business process monitoring methods exploit logs of completed cases of a process in order to make predictions about running cases thereof. Existing methods in this space are tailor-made for specific prediction tasks. Moreover,…

Applications · Statistics 2017-12-20 Niek Tax , Ilya Verenich , Marcello La Rosa , Marlon Dumas

Whilst the most dynamic solar active regions (ARs) are known to flare frequently, predicting the occurrence of individual flares and their magnitude, is very much a developing field with strong potentials for machine learning applications.…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2020-12-16 M. B. Korsos , R. Erdelyi , J. Liu , H. Morgan

Unpredictability of renewable energy sources coupled with the complexity of those methods used for various purposes in this area calls for the development of robust methods such as DL models within the renewable energy domain. Given the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-07 Lutfu Sua , Haibo Wang , Jun Huang

Solar flares and coronal mass ejections (CMEs), especially the larger ones, emanate from active regions (ARs). With the aim to understand the magnetic properties that govern such flares and eruptions, we systematically survey all flare…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2017-01-11 Shin Toriumi , Carolus J. Schrijver , Louise K. Harra , Hugh Hudson , Kaori Nagashima

Accurate and efficient models for rainfall runoff (RR) simulations are crucial for flood risk management. Most rainfall models in use today are process-driven; i.e. they solve either simplified empirical formulas or some variation of the…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-06-15 Wei Li , Amin Kiaghadi , Clint N. Dawson

Radiation therapy of thoracic and abdominal tumors requires incorporating the respiratory motion into treatments. To precisely account for the patient respiratory motions and predict the respiratory signals, a generalized model for…

Medical Physics · Physics 2019-05-22 Hui Lin , Chengyu Shi , Brian Wang , Maria F. Chan , Xiaoli Tang , Wei Ji

A demonstrated failure mode for operational solar flare forecasting is the inability to forecast flares that occur near, or just beyond, the solar limb. To address this shortcoming, we develop a "4pi" full-heliosphere event forecasting…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2026-01-09 K. D. Leka , Eric L. Wagner , Lisa Upton , Bibhuti Kumar Jha , Kiran Jain , Sara Petty

With an increasing emphasis on driving down the costs of Operations and Maintenance (O&M) in the Offshore Wind (OSW) sector, comes the requirement to explore new methodology and applications of Deep Learning (DL) to the domain.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-07-27 Connor Walker , Callum Rothon , Koorosh Aslansefat , Yiannis Papadopoulos , Nina Dethlefs

Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) networks are often used to capture temporal dependency patterns. By stacking multi-layer LSTM networks, it can capture even more complex patterns. This paper explores the effectiveness of applying stacked LSTM…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-11-03 Frank Xiao

Sunspots or active regions (ARs) with a delta-magnetic configuration are known to be associated with strong eruptions such as flares and mass ejections. This article investigates the relationship between delta-ARs and flares over the course…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2025-10-28 Rohan E. Louis

Over the past few decades, many applications of physics-based simulations and data-driven techniques (including machine learning and deep learning) have emerged to analyze and predict solar flares. These approaches are pivotal in…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2024-02-07 Anli Ji , Berkay Aydin

All three components of the current density are required to compute the heating rate due to free magnetic energy dissipation. Here we present a first test of a new model developed to determine if the times of increases in the resistive…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2020-04-29 Michael L. Goodman , Chiman Kwan , Bulent Ayhan , Eric L. Shang
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