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Evaluating predictive models is a crucial task in predictive analytics. This process is especially challenging with time series data where the observations show temporal dependencies. Several studies have analysed how different performance…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-02-14 Vitor Cerqueira , Luis Torgo , Carlos Soares

Although numerical weather forecasting methods have dominated the field, recent advances in deep learning methods, such as diffusion models, have shown promise in ensemble weather forecasting. However, such models are typically…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-16 Kevin Valencia , Ziyang Liu , Justin Cui

In the big data era researchers face a series of problems. Even standard approaches/methodologies, like linear regression, can be difficult or problematic with huge volumes of data. Traditional approaches for regression in big datasets may…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-11-13 Vasilis Chasiotis , Dimitris Karlis

The aim of this work is to determine how vulnerable different iris coding methods are in relation to biometric template aging phenomenon. This is considered to be particularly important when the time lapse between gallery and probe samples…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2018-09-05 Mateusz Trokielewicz

We study the problem of estimating the parameters of a regression model from a set of observations, each consisting of a response and a predictor. The response is assumed to be related to the predictor via a regression model of unknown…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-05-19 Carlos Alberto Gomez-Uribe

Thermal comfort assessment for the built environment has become more available to analysts and researchers due to the proliferation of sensors and subjective feedback methods. These data can be used for modeling comfort behavior to support…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-11-25 Matias Quintana , Stefano Schiavon , Kwok Wai Tham , Clayton Miller

The paper describes the use of Bayesian regression for building time series models and stacking different predictive models for time series. Using Bayesian regression for time series modeling with nonlinear trend was analyzed. This approach…

Applications · Statistics 2022-01-07 Bohdan M. Pavlyshenko

We look at common problems found in data that is used for predictive modeling tasks, and describe how to address them with the vtreat R package. vtreat prepares real-world data for predictive modeling in a reproducible and statistically…

Applications · Statistics 2019-09-24 Nina Zumel , John Mount

Despite the growing availability of sensing and data in general, we remain unable to fully characterise many in-service engineering systems and structures from a purely data-driven approach. The vast data and resources available to capture…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-09-20 Elizabeth J Cross , Timothy J Rogers , Daniel J Pitchforth , Samuel J Gibson , Matthew R Jones

The planning and operation of renewable energy, especially wind power, depend crucially on accurate, timely, and high-resolution weather information. Coarse-grid global numerical weather forecasts are typically downscaled to meet these…

This study proposes a mathematical programming-based algorithm for the integrated selection of variable subsets and bandwidth estimation in geographically weighted regression, a local regression method that allows the kernel bandwidth and…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-03-24 Hyunwoo Lee , Young Woong Park

In the fight against hard-to-treat diseases such as cancer, it is often difficult to discover new treatments that benefit all subjects. For regulatory agency approval, it is more practical to identify subgroups of subjects for whom the…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-10-09 Wei-Yin Loh , Xu He , Michael Man

We introduce a novel edge tracing algorithm using Gaussian process regression. Our edge-based segmentation algorithm models an edge of interest using Gaussian process regression and iteratively searches the image for edge pixels in a…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2021-12-15 Jamie Burke , Stuart King

We go through the many considerations involved in fitting a model to data, using as an example the fit of a straight line to a set of points in a two-dimensional plane. Standard weighted least-squares fitting is only appropriate when there…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2010-08-30 David W. Hogg , Jo Bovy , Dustin Lang

This article studies the financial time series data processing for machine learning. It introduces the most frequent scaling methods, then compares the resulting stationarity and preservation of useful information for trend forecasting. It…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-07-09 Fabrice Daniel

Battery performance datasets are typically non-normal and multicollinear. Extrapolating such datasets for model predictions needs attention to such characteristics. This study explores the impact of data normality in building machine…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-11-05 Shovan Chowdhury , Yuxiao Lin , Boryann Liaw , Leslie Kerby

The pattern of state changes in a biomedical time series can be related to health or disease. This work presents a principled approach for selecting a changepoint detection algorithm for a specific task, such as disease classification.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-04-22 Ayse Cakmak , Erik Reinertsen , Shamim Nemati , Gari D. Clifford

We introduce a novel diffusion-based spectral algorithm to tackle regression analysis on high-dimensional data, particularly data embedded within lower-dimensional manifolds. Traditional spectral algorithms often fall short in such…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-10-21 Weichun Xia , Jiaxin Jiang , Lei Shi

Many real world data mining applications involve obtaining predictive models using data sets with strongly imbalanced distributions of the target variable. Frequently, the least common values of this target variable are associated with…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2015-05-14 Paula Branco , Luis Torgo , Rita Ribeiro

Deep learning models have gained popularity in climate science, following their success in computer vision and other domains. For instance, researchers are increasingly employing deep learning techniques for downscaling climate data,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-21 Xingying Huang