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Obtaining accurate probabilistic energy forecasts and making effective decisions amid diverse uncertainties are routine challenges in future energy systems. This paper presents the winning solution of team GEB, which ranked 3rd in trading,…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-10-07 Chuanqing Pu , Feilong Fan , Nengling Tai , Songyuan Liu , Jinming Yu

Forecasting the weather is an increasingly data intensive exercise. Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP) models are becoming more complex, with higher resolutions, and there are increasing numbers of different models in operation. While the…

Applications · Statistics 2021-03-17 Charlie Kirkwood , Theo Economou , Henry Odbert , Nicolas Pugeault

In this article, we proposed a new probability distribution named as power Maxwell distribution (PMaD). It is another extension of Maxwell distribution (MaD) which would lead more flexibility to analyze the data with non-monotone failure…

Applications · Statistics 2018-07-04 Abhimanyu Singh Yadav , Hassan S. Bakouch , Sanjay Kumar Singh , Umesh Singh

We formulate the predicted-updates dynamic model, one of the first beyond-worst-case models for dynamic algorithms, which generalizes a large set of well-studied dynamic models including the offline dynamic, incremental, and decremental…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2023-11-29 Quanquan C. Liu , Vaidehi Srinivas

Due to the inherent aleatory uncertainties in renewable generators, the reliability/adequacy assessments of distributed generation (DG) systems have been particularly focused on the probabilistic modeling of random behaviors, given…

Performance · Computer Science 2012-06-07 Yanfu Li , Enrico Zio

We study a smart grid with wind power and battery storage. Traditionally, day-ahead planning aims to balance demand and wind power, yet actual wind conditions often deviate from forecasts. Short-term flexibility in storage and generation…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-12-08 Thom S. Badings , Arnd Hartmanns , Nils Jansen , Marnix Suilen

Generally during recent decades due to development of power systems, the methods for delivering electrical energy to consumers, and because of voltage variations is a very important problem, the power plants follow this criteria. The good…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2012-06-12 Mojtaba Nouri , Mahdi Bayat Mokhtari , Sohrab Mirsaeidi , Mohammad Reza Miveh

Geomagnetic map interpolation aims to infer unobserved geomagnetic data at spatial points, yielding critical applications in navigation and resource exploration. However, existing methods for scattered data interpolation are not…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-02-03 Wenda Li , Tongya Zheng , Kaixuan Chen , Shunyu Liu , Haoze Jiang , Yunzhi Hao , Rui Miao , Zujie Ren , Mingli Song , Hang Shi , Gang Chen

Excessive accumulation of group-delay (GD) spread increases computational complexity and affects tracking of receiver-based multi-input multi-output signal processing, posing challenges to long-haul mode-division multiplexing in multimode…

Accurate forecasts of macroeconomic and financial data, such as GDP, CPI, unemployment rates, and stock indices, are crucial for the success of countries, businesses, and investors, resulting in a constant demand for reliable forecasting…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-27 Tomasz M. Łapiński , Krzysztof Ziółkowski

Wind farms can increase annual energy production (AEP) with advanced control algorithms by coordinating the set points of individual turbine controllers across the farm. However, it remains a significant challenge to achieve performance…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-03-18 Yi Guo , Mario Rotea , Tyler Summers

(Gradient) Expectation Maximization (EM) is a widely used algorithm for estimating the maximum likelihood of mixture models or incomplete data problems. A major challenge facing this popular technique is how to effectively preserve the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-01-19 Di Wang , Jiahao Ding , Lijie Hu , Zejun Xie , Miao Pan , Jinhui Xu

Understanding the dynamics of climate variables is paramount for numerous sectors, like energy and environmental monitoring. This study focuses on the critical need for a precise mapping of environmental variables for national or regional…

Applications · Statistics 2026-04-30 Pietro Colombo , Claire Miller , Xiaochen Yang , Ruth O'Donnell , Paolo Maranzano

In this article, a multiple split method is proposed that enables construction of multidimensional probabilistic forecasts of a selected set of variables. The method uses repeated resampling to estimate uncertainty of simultaneous…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2024-07-11 Katarzyna Maciejowska , Weronika Nitka

This work presents a distributed method for control centers to monitor the operating condition of a power network, i.e., to estimate the network state, and to ultimately determine the occurrence of threatening situations. State estimation…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2011-07-13 Fabio Pasqualetti , Ruggero Carli , Francesco Bullo

The forecasting of large ramps in wind power output known as ramp events is crucial for the incorporation of large volumes of wind energy into national electricity grids. Large variations in wind power supply must be compensated by…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-12-01 Russell Sharp , Hisham Ihshaish , J. Ignacio Deza

In the recent years, due to the economic and environmental requirements, the use of distributed generations (DGs) has increased. If DGs have the optimal size and are located at the optimal locations, they are capable of enhancing the…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-10-07 Seyed Mohammad Sajjadi Kalajahi , Sina Baghali , Tohid Khalili , Behnam Mohammadi-Ivatloo , Ali Bidram

We consider distributed optimization under communication constraints for training deep learning models. We propose a new algorithm, whose parameter updates rely on two forces: a regular gradient step, and a corrective direction dictated by…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-04-29 Yunfei Teng , Wenbo Gao , Francois Chalus , Anna Choromanska , Donald Goldfarb , Adrian Weller

In speech emotion recognition tasks, models learn emotional representations from datasets. We find the data distribution in the IEMOCAP dataset is very imbalanced, which may harm models to learn a better representation. To address this…

Sound · Computer Science 2023-02-20 Xuefeng Liang , Hexin Jiang , Wenxin Xu , Ying Zhou

Processing high-volume, streaming data is increasingly common in modern statistics and machine learning, where batch-mode algorithms are often impractical because they require repeated passes over the full dataset. This has motivated…