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Multivariate time series is prevalent in many scientific and industrial domains. Modeling multivariate signals is challenging due to their long-range temporal dependencies and intricate interactions--both direct and indirect. To confront…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-01 Juhyeon Kim , Hyungeun Lee , Seungwon Yu , Ung Hwang , Wooyul Jung , Miseon Park , Kijung Yoon

Graphical models are usually learned without regard to the cost of doing inference with them. As a result, even if a good model is learned, it may perform poorly at prediction, because it requires approximate inference. We propose an…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2012-06-18 Daniel Lowd , Pedro Domingos

It is well known that ignoring the presence of stochastic disturbances in the identification of stochastic Wiener models leads to asymptotically biased estimators. On the other hand, optimal statistical identification, via likelihood-based…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-03-12 Mohamed Abdalmoaty , Efe C. Balta , John Lygeros , Roy S. Smith

We study generalised additive models, with shape restrictions (e.g. monotonicity, convexity, concavity) imposed on each component of the additive prediction function. We show that this framework facilitates a nonparametric estimator of each…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-04-14 Yining Chen , Richard J. Samworth

The aim of this paper is to develop estimation and inference methods for the drift parameters of multivariate L\'evy-driven continuous-time autoregressive processes of order $p\in\mathbb{N}$. Starting from a continuous-time observation of…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-07-26 Lorenzo Lucchese , Mikko S. Pakkanen , Almut E. D. Veraart

We consider the problem of estimating change in the dependency structure between two $p$-dimensional Ising models, based on respectively $n_1$ and $n_2$ samples drawn from the models. The change is assumed to be structured, e.g., sparse,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-06-17 Farideh Fazayeli , Arindam Banerjee

Graphs are an intuitive way to represent relationships between variables in fields such as finance and neuroscience. However, these graphs often need to be inferred from data. In this paper, we propose a novel framework to infer a latent…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-10-25 Jedidiah Harwood , Debashis Paul , Jie Peng

We propose a new estimator for the high-dimensional linear regression model with observation error in the design where the number of coefficients is potentially larger than the sample size. The main novelty of our procedure is that the…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-09-09 Alexandre Belloni , Abhishek Kaul , Mathieu Rosenbaum

In an era of unprecedented deluge of (mostly unstructured) data, graphs are proving more and more useful, across the sciences, as a flexible abstraction to capture complex relationships between complex objects. One of the main challenges…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2016-10-17 Alaa Saade

We consider the consistency properties of a regularised estimator for the simultaneous identification of both changepoints and graphical dependency structure in multivariate time-series. Traditionally, estimation of Gaussian Graphical…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-12-18 Alex J. Gibberd , Sandipan Roy

Ising models are a simple generative approach to describing interacting binary variables. They have proven useful in a number of biological settings because they enable one to represent observed many-body correlations as the separable…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-09-10 Emma Slade , Sonya Kiselgof , Lena Granovsky , Jeremy L. England

Probabilistic graphical models are powerful tools which allow us to formalise our knowledge about the world and reason about its inherent uncertainty. There exist a considerable number of methods for performing inference in probabilistic…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2018-11-13 Robert Walecki , Albert Buchard , Kostis Gourgoulias , Chris Hart , Maria Lomeli , A. K. W. Navarro , Max Zwiessele , Yura Perov , Saurabh Johri

The adaptive estimation of coexisting temporal vertex (node) and edge signals on graphs is a critical task when a change in edge signals influences the temporal dynamics of the vertex signals. However, the current Graph Signal Processing…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2024-10-24 Yi Yan , Tian Xie , Ercan E. Kuruoglu

In this paper, we address the problem of learning the structure of a pairwise graphical model from samples in a high-dimensional setting. Our first main result studies the sparsistency, or consistency in sparsity pattern recovery,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2012-02-28 Ali Jalali , Chris Johnson , Pradeep Ravikumar

This paper addresses the problem of matching $N$ weighted graphs referring to an identical object or category. More specifically, matching the common node correspondences among graphs. This multi-graph matching problem involves two…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2016-06-14 Junchi Yan , Minsu Cho , Hongyuan Zha , Xiaokang Yang , Stephen Chu

Our paper deals with inferring simulator-based statistical models given some observed data. A simulator-based model is a parametrized mechanism which specifies how data are generated. It is thus also referred to as generative model. We…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-01-01 Michael U. Gutmann , Jukka Corander

We characterize the effectiveness of a classical algorithm for recovering the Markov graph of a general discrete pairwise graphical model from i.i.d. samples. The algorithm is (appropriately regularized) maximum conditional log-likelihood,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-06-20 Shanshan Wu , Sujay Sanghavi , Alexandros G. Dimakis

Tree structured graphical models are powerful at expressing long range or hierarchical dependency among many variables, and have been widely applied in different areas of computer science and statistics. However, existing methods for…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2014-01-17 Le Song , Han Liu , Ankur Parikh , Eric Xing

Despite major methodological developments, Bayesian inference for Gaussian graphical models remains challenging in high dimension due to the tremendous size of the model space. This article proposes a method to infer the marginal and…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-04-10 Gwenaël G. R. Leday , Sylvia Richardson

Metric graphs are useful tools for describing spatial domains like road and river networks, where spatial dependence act along the network. We take advantage of recent developments for such Gaussian Random Fields (GRFs), and consider joint…

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