Related papers: First Steps Towards an Imprecise Poisson Process
The problem is sequence prediction in the following setting. A sequence $x_1,...,x_n,...$ of discrete-valued observations is generated according to some unknown probabilistic law (measure) $\mu$. After observing each outcome, it is required…
The aim of this paper is the analysis of the fractional Poisson process where the state probabilities $p_k^{\nu_k}(t)$, $t\ge 0$, are governed by time-fractional equations of order $0<\nu_k\leq 1$ depending on the number $k$ of events…
Poisson's equation plays a fundamental role as a tool for performance evaluation and optimization of Markov chains. For continuous-time birth-death chains with possibly unbounded transition and cost rates as addressed herein, when…
We study a general non-homogeneous Skellam-type process with jumps of arbitrary fixed size. We express this process in terms of a linear combination of Poisson processes and study several properties, including the summation of independent…
For a sample of Exponentially distributed durations we aim at point estimation and a confidence interval for its parameter. A duration is only observed if it has ended within a certain time interval, determined by a Uniform distribution.…
High-dimensional self-exciting point processes have been widely used in many application areas to model discrete event data in which past and current events affect the likelihood of future events. In this paper, we are concerned with…
We study online change point detection for multivariate inhomogeneous Poisson point process time series. This setting arises commonly in applications such as earthquake seismology, climate monitoring, and epidemic surveillance, yet remains…
Point processes are stochastic models generating interacting points or events in time, space, etc. Among characteristics of these models, first-order intensity and conditional intensity functions are often considered. We focus on…
In the series of models with interacting particles in stochastic geometry, a new contribution presents the facet process which is defined in arbitrary Euclidean dimension. In 2D, 3D specially it is a process of interacting segments, flat…
This article employs the relation between probabilities of two consecutive values of a Poisson random variable to derive conditions for the weak convergence of point processes to a Poisson process. As applications, we consider the starting…
Stochastic resetting, the procedure of stopping and re-initializing random processes, has recently emerged as a powerful tool for accelerating processes ranging from queuing systems to molecular simulations. However, its usefulness is…
This paper introduces a new stochastic process with values in the set Z of integers with sign. The increments of process are Poisson differences and the dynamics has an autoregressive structure. We study the properties of the process and…
The problem of time-series clustering is considered in the case where each data-point is a sample generated by a piecewise stationary ergodic process. Stationary processes are perhaps the most general class of processes considered in…
A new general procedure for a priori selection of more predictable events from a time series of observed variable is proposed. The procedure is applicable to time series which contains different types of events that feature significantly…
Interval-censored data solely records the aggregated counts of events during specific time intervals - such as the number of patients admitted to the hospital or the volume of vehicles passing traffic loop detectors - and not the exact…
We study the best-choice problem for processes which generalise the process of records from Poisson-paced i.i.d. observations. Under the assumption that the observer knows distribution of the process and the horizon, we determine the…
Recently, we described a pathway analysis technique (paper 1) for analyzing generic schemes for single-molecule kinetics based upon the first-passage time distribution. Here, we employ this method to derive expressions for the Poisson…
We propose a new framework for imposing monotonicity constraints in a Bayesian nonparametric setting based on numerical solutions of stochastic differential equations. We derive a nonparametric model of monotonic functions that allows for…
We consider a fractional counting process with jumps of amplitude $1,2,\ldots,k$, with $k\in \mathbb{N}$, whose probabilities satisfy a suitable system of fractional difference-differential equations. We obtain the moment generating…
We develop a new tool, the time inhomogeneous Poisson equation in the whole space and with a terminal condition at infinity, to study the asymptotic behavior of the non-autonomous multi-scale stochastic system with irregular coefficients,…