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Related papers: Adaptive surrogate models for parametric studies

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Generating simulated training data needed for constructing sufficiently accurate surrogate models to be used for efficient optimization or parameter identification can incur a huge computational effort in the offline phase. We consider a…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-04-03 Phillip Semler , Martin Weiser

The optimal and robust design of structures has gained much attention in the past ten years due to the ever increasing need for manufacturers to build robust systems at the lowest cost. Reliability-based design optimization (RBDO) allows…

Applications · Statistics 2017-04-12 Vincent Dubourg , Jean-Marc Bourinet , Bruno Sudret

High-fidelity numerical simulations of chaotic, high dimensional nonlinear dynamical systems are computationally expensive, necessitating the development of efficient surrogate models. Most surrogate models for such systems are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-16 Dibyajyoti Chakraborty , Hojin Kim , Romit Maulik

Gaussian process-based models are attractive for estimating heterogeneous treatment effects (HTE), but their computational cost limits scalability in causal inference settings. In this work, we address this challenge by extending Patchwork…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-07 Hajime Ogawa , Shonosuke Sugasawa

Surrogate models are extensively employed for forward and inverse uncertainty quantification in complex, computation-intensive engineering problems. Nonetheless, constructing high-accuracy surrogate models for complex dynamical systems with…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2025-03-20 Zhouzhou Song , Weiyun Xu , Marcos A. Valdebenito , Matthias G. R. Faes

It is now common practice in nuclear engineering to base extensive studies on numerical computer models. These studies require to run computer codes in potentially thousands of numerical configurations and without expert individual controls…

Computation · Statistics 2015-11-11 François Bachoc , Jean-Marc Martinez , Karim Ammar

We propose a method with better predictions at extreme values than the standard method of Kriging. We construct our predictor in two ways: by penalizing the mean squared error through conditional bias and by penalizing the conditional…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-08-28 Minyong R. Lee , Art B. Owen

Existing active strategies for training surrogate models yield accurate structural reliability estimates by aiming at design space regions in the vicinity of a specified limit state function. In many practical engineering applications,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-02 J. Moran A. , P. G. Morato , P. Rigo

A new gradient-based adaptive sampling method is proposed for design of experiments applications which balances space filling, local refinement, and error minimization objectives while reducing reliance on delicate tuning parameters. High…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-05-09 Lucas Caparini , Gwynn J. Elfring , Mauricio Ponga

In the field of structural reliability, the Monte-Carlo estimator is considered as the reference probability estimator. However, it is still untractable for real engineering cases since it requires a high number of runs of the model. In…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-03-19 V. Dubourg , F. Deheeger , B. Sudret

This paper describes novel algorithms for the identification of (almost-)resonant behavior in scattering problems. Our methods, relying on rational approximation, aim at building surrogate models of what we call "field amplification",…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-08-12 Davide Pradovera , Ralf Hiptmair , Ilaria Perugia

Various frameworks have been proposed to predict mechanical system responses by combining data from different fidelities for design optimization and uncertainty quantification as reviewed by Fern\'andez-Godino et al. and Peherstorfer et…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2017-05-09 Yiming Zhang , Nam-Ho Kim , Chanyoung Park , Raphael T. Haftka

System reliability analysis aims at computing the probability of failure of an engineering system given a set of uncertain inputs and limit state functions. Active-learning solution schemes have been shown to be a viable tool but as of yet…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-05-10 Maliki Moustapha , Pietro Parisi , Stefano Marelli , Bruno Sudret

Accurate surrogate construction for PDE-driven high-dimensional rare-event simulation is challenging when performance evaluations are expensive. Since a globally accurate surrogate may require many high-fidelity evaluations, adaptive…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2026-05-18 Zhiwei Gao , George Karniadakis

Analyzing massive spatial datasets using Gaussian process model poses computational challenges. This is a problem prevailing heavily in applications such as environmental modeling, ecology, forestry and environmental heath. We present a…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-12-07 Suman Majumder , Yawen Guan , Brian J. Reich , Arvind K. Saibaba

Target-oriented discovery under limited evaluation budgets requires making reliable progress in high-dimensional, heterogeneous design spaces where each new measurement is costly, whether experimental or high-fidelity simulation. We present…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-04 Yixuan Zhang , Zhiyuan Li , Weijia He , Mian Dai , Chen Shen , Teng Long , Hongbin Zhang

We propose an experimental study of adaptive time-stepping methods for efficient modeling of the aggregation-fragmentation kinetics. Precise modeling of this phenomena usually requires utilization of the large systems of nonlinear ordinary…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-01-20 Sergey A. Matveev , Viktor Zhilin , Alexander P. Smirnov

Highly accurate numerical or physical experiments are often time-consuming or expensive to obtain. When time or budget restrictions prohibit the generation of additional data, the amount of available samples may be too limited to provide…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2021-12-22 Mengwu Guo , Andrea Manzoni , Maurice Amendt , Paolo Conti , Jan S. Hesthaven

Surrogate models based on machine learning methods have become an important part of modern engineering to replace costly computer simulations. The data used for creating a surrogate model are essential for the model accuracy and often…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-10-03 Sven Lämmle , Can Bogoclu , Kevin Cremanns , Dirk Roos

Aerodynamic shape optimization in industry still faces challenges related to robustness and scalability. This aspect becomes crucial for advanced optimizations that rely on expensive high-fidelity flow solvers, where computational budget…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2025-05-26 Marc Schouler , Anca Belme , Paola Cinnella