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We develop the first exact Bayesian methodology for the problem of inference in discretely observed regime switching diffusions. Switching diffusion models extend ordinary diffusions by allowing for jumps in instantaneous drift and…

New theorems for the moments of the first passage time of one dimensional nonlinear stochastic processes with an entrance boundary are formulated. This important class of one dimensional stochastic processes results among others from…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2020-04-22 Leo Dostal , Navaratnam Sri Namachchivaya

We investigate a diffusive motion of a system of interacting Brownian particles in quasi-one-dimensional micropores. In particular, we consider a semi-infinite 1D geometry with a partially absorbing boundary and the hard-core inter-particle…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2012-03-06 Artem Ryabov , Petr Chvosta

Continuous time stochastic processes are useful models especially for financial and insurance purposes. The numerical simulation of such models is dependant of the time discrete discretization, of the parametric estimation and of the choice…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2010-01-13 Frédéric Planchet , Pierre-Emanuel Thérond

Diffusion models have risen to prominence in time series forecasting, showcasing their robust capability to model complex data distributions. However, their effectiveness in deterministic predictions is often constrained by instability…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-08 Hao Yang , Zhanbo Feng , Feng Zhou , Robert C Qiu , Zenan Ling

We consider numerical schemes for computing the linear response of steady-state averages of stochastic dynamics with respect to a perturbation of the drift part of the stochastic differential equation. The schemes are based on Girsanov's…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2019-12-18 Petr Plechac , Gabriel Stoltz , Ting Wang

Generalized Brown-Resnick processes form a flexible class of stationary max-stable processes based on Gaussian random fields. With regard to applications fast and accurate simulation of these processes is an important issue. In fact,…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-09-30 Marco Oesting

We state an exact simulation scheme for the first passage time of a Brownian motion to a symmetric linear boundary.

Probability · Mathematics 2020-07-14 Jong Mun Lee , Taeho Lee

The aim of this paper is to introduce a new Monte Carlo method based on importance sampling techniques for the simulation of stochastic differential equations. The main idea is to combine random walk on squares or rectangles methods with…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-10-22 Madalina Deaconu , Antoine Lejay

We study experimentally, numerically and theoretically the optimal mean time needed by a Brownian particle, freely diffusing either in one or two dimensions, to reach, within a tolerance radius $R_{\text tol}$, a target at a distance $L$…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2022-02-08 Felix Faisant , Benjamin Besga , Artyom Petrosyan , Sergio Ciliberto , Satya N. Majumdar

We provide the first generic exact simulation algorithm for multivariate diffusions. Current exact sampling algorithms for diffusions require the existence of a transformation which can be used to reduce the sampling problem to the case of…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-01-14 Jose Blanchet , Fan Zhang

The problem of mass diffusion in layered systems has relevance to applications in different scientific disciplines, e.g., chemistry, material science, soil science, and biomedical engineering. The mathematical challenge in these type of…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2020-10-28 Oded Farago

We present a novel computational method of first-passage times between a starting site and a target site of regular bounded lattices. We derive accurate expressions for all the moments of this first-passage time, validated by numerical…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-11 S Condamin , O. Benichou , M. Moreau

For three constrained Brownian motions, the excursion, the meander, and the reflected bridge, the densities of the maximum and of the time to reach it were expressed as double series by Majumdar, Randon-Furling, Kearney, and Yor (2008).…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-07-25 Robin Khanfir

We give a probabilistic representation of a one-dimensional diffusion equation where the solution is discontinuous at $0$ with a jump proportional to its flux. This kind of interface condition is usually seen as a semi-permeable barrier.…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-06-28 Antoine Lejay

With a view to statistical inference for discretely observed diffusion models, we propose simple methods of simulating diffusion bridges, approximately and exactly. Diffusion bridge simulation plays a fundamental role in likelihood and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-03-10 Mogens Bladt , Michael Sørensen

This article introduces two techniques for computing the distribution of the absorption or first passage time of the drifted Wiener diffusion subject to Poisson resetting times, to an upper hard wall barrier and to a lower absorbing…

This paper studies the original discrete-time denoising diffusion probabilistic model (DDPM) from a probabilistic point of view. We present three main theoretical results. First, we show that the time-dependent score function associated…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-01-13 Yumiharu Nakano

We propose an approach to compute the boundary crossing probabilities for a class of diffusion processes which can be expressed as piecewise monotone (not necessarily one-to-one) functionals of a standard Brownian motion. This class…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Liqun Wang , Klaus Pötzelberger

A variety of researchers have successfully obtained the parameters of low dimensional diffusion models using the data that comes out of atomistic simulations. This naturally raises a variety of questions about efficient estimation,…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-11-06 Christopher P. Calderon
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