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The effectiveness of long short term memory networks trained by backpropagation through time for stock price prediction is explored in this paper. A range of different architecture LSTM networks are constructed trained and tested.

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2016-08-30 Hengjian Jia

Trading and investing in stocks for some is their full-time career, while for others, it's simply a supplementary income stream. Universal among all investors is the desire to turn a profit. The key to achieving this goal is…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2024-09-10 Rifa Gowani , Zaryab Kanjiani

The quest for accurate economic forecasting has traditionally been dominated by econometric models, which most of the times rely on the assumptions of linear relationships and stationarity in of the data. However, the complex and often…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-28 Bogdan Oancea

The prediction of stock price movement direction is significant in financial circles and academic. Stock price contains complex, incomplete, and fuzzy information which makes it an extremely difficult task to predict its development trend.…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-12-09 Ashish Kumar , Abeer Alsadoon , P. W. C. Prasad , Salma Abdullah , Tarik A. Rashid , Duong Thu Hang Pham , Tran Quoc Vinh Nguyen

Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) networks, a type of recurrent neural network with a more complex computational unit, have been successfully applied to a variety of sequence modeling tasks. In this paper we develop Tree Long Short-Term Memory…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2016-04-05 Xingxing Zhang , Liang Lu , Mirella Lapata

Short-term traffic flow prediction is one of the crucial issues in intelligent transportation system, which is an important part of smart cities. Accurate predictions can enable both the drivers and the passengers to make better decisions…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-01-31 Alireza Nejadettehad , Hamid Mahini , Behnam Bahrak

With the evolution of power systems as it is becoming more intelligent and interactive system while increasing in flexibility with a larger penetration of renewable energy sources, demand prediction on a short-term resolution will…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-12-20 Saad Emshagin , Wayes Koroni Halim , Rasha Kashef

In order to make good investment decisions, it is vitally important for an investor to know how to make good analysis of financial time series. Within this context, studies on the forecast of the values and trends of stock prices have…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-08-24 Gabriel de Oliveira Guedes Nogueira , Marcel Otoboni de Lima

This paper investigates an important problem of an appropriate variance-covariance matrix estimation in the Modern Portfolio Theory. We propose a novel framework for variancecovariance matrix estimation for purposes of the portfolio…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2025-08-22 Maciej Wysocki , Paweł Sakowski

This study evaluates deep neural networks for forecasting probability distributions of financial returns. 1D convolutional neural networks (CNN) and Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) architectures are used to forecast parameters of three…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2025-09-03 Jakub Michańków

Applying machine learning methods to forecast stock prices has been one of the research topics of interest in recent years. Almost few studies have been reported based on generative adversarial networks (GANs) in this area, but their…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-04-21 Fateme Shahabi Nejad , Mohammad Mehdi Ebadzadeh

A linear multi-factor model is one of the most important tools in equity portfolio management. The linear multi-factor models are widely used because they can be easily interpreted. However, financial markets are not linear and their…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-02-01 Kei Nakagawa , Tomoki Ito , Masaya Abe , Kiyoshi Izumi

Machine and deep learning-based algorithms are the emerging approaches in addressing prediction problems in time series. These techniques have been shown to produce more accurate results than conventional regression-based modeling. It has…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-11-22 Sima Siami-Namini , Neda Tavakoli , Akbar Siami Namin

The research paper empirically investigates several machine learning algorithms to forecast stock prices depending on insider trading information. Insider trading offers special insights into market sentiment, pointing to upcoming changes…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-08 Amitabh Chakravorty , Nelly Elsayed

Our research presents a new approach for forecasting the synchronization of stock prices using machine learning and non-linear time-series analysis. To capture the complex non-linear relationships between stock prices, we utilize recurrence…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-09-12 Sanjay Sathish , Charu C Sharma

Stock market plays an important role in the economic development. Due to the complex volatility of the stock market, the research and prediction on the change of the stock price, can avoid the risk for the investors. The traditional time…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-02-23 Zhuangwei Shi , Yang Hu , Guangliang Mo , Jian Wu

Predictive business process monitoring methods exploit logs of completed cases of a process in order to make predictions about running cases thereof. Existing methods in this space are tailor-made for specific prediction tasks. Moreover,…

Applications · Statistics 2017-12-20 Niek Tax , Ilya Verenich , Marcello La Rosa , Marlon Dumas

This paper intends to apply the Hidden Markov Model into stock market and and make predictions. Moreover, four different methods of improvement, which are GMM-HMM, XGB-HMM, GMM-HMM+LSTM and XGB-HMM+LSTM, will be discussed later with the…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2021-04-21 Mingwen Liu , Junbang Huo , Yulin Wu , Jinge Wu

Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) neural network models have become the cornerstone for sequential data modeling in numerous applications, ranging from natural language processing to time series forecasting. Despite their success, the problem…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-26 Fahad Mostafa

Network Traffic Matrix (TM) prediction is defined as the problem of estimating future network traffic from the previous and achieved network traffic data. It is widely used in network planning, resource management and network security. Long…

Networking and Internet Architecture · Computer Science 2017-06-12 Abdelhadi Azzouni , Guy Pujolle