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We present a model for quantitatively identifying swing voters in congressional elections. This is achieved by predicting an individual voter's likelihood to vote and an individual voter's likelihood to vote for a given party, if he votes.…

Physics and Society · Physics 2014-05-21 Steven Ambadjes

Most of the conventional models for opinion dynamics mainly account for a fully local influence, where myopic agents decide their actions after they interact with other agents that are adjacent to them. For example, in the case of social…

Physics and Society · Physics 2013-05-10 Babak Fotouhi , Michael G. Rabbat

Influence maximization is the problem of finding a set of influential users in a social network such that the expected spread of influence under a certain propagation model is maximized. Much of the previous work has neglected the important…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2016-11-18 Wei Lu , Laks V. S. Lakshmanan

The advent of the digital era provided a fertile ground for the development of virtual societies, complex systems influencing real-world dynamics. Understanding online human behavior and its relevance beyond the digital boundaries is still…

Physics and Society · Physics 2019-06-19 Massimo Stella , Marco Cristoforetti , Manlio De Domenico

Nowadays, in societies threatened by atomization, selfishness, short-term thinking, and alienation from political life, there is a renewed debate about classical questions concerning the quality of democratic decision-making. In this work a…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-07 S. G. Alves , N. M. Oliveira Neto , M. L. Martins

In recent years online social networks have become increasingly prominent in political campaigns and, concurrently, several countries have experienced shock election outcomes. This paper proposes a model that links these two phenomena. In…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2020-11-03 Edoardo Gallo , Alastair Langtry

This paper models legislative decision-making with an agenda setter who can propose policies sequentially, tailoring each proposal to the status quo that prevails after prior votes. Voters are sophisticated and the agenda setter cannot…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2022-12-05 S. Nageeb Ali , B. Douglas Bernheim , Alexander W. Bloedel , Silvia Console Battilana

It is important to understand how the outcome of an election can be modified by an agent with control over the structure of the election. Electoral control has been studied for many election systems, but for all studied systems the winner…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2018-11-14 Zack Fitzsimmons , Edith Hemaspaandra , Alexander Hoover , David E. Narváez

Images become an important and prevalent way to express users' activities, opinions and emotions. In a social network, individual emotions may be influenced by others, in particular by close friends. We focus on understanding how users…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2014-01-20 Xiaohui Wang , Jia Jia , Lianhong Cai , Jie Tang

This paper studies a class of consensus dynamics where the interactions between agents are affected by a time-varying unknown scaling factor. This situation is encountered in the control of robotic fleets over a wireless network or in…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-11-14 Zoltan Nagy , Irinel-Constantin Morarescu , Lucian Busoniu

Influence propagation has been the subject of extensive study due to its important role in social networks, epidemiology, and many other areas. Understanding propagation mechanisms is critical to control the spread of fake news or…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-09-28 Vinicius Ferreira , Artur Pessoa , Thibaut Vidal

We develop new voting mechanisms for the case when voters and candidates are located in an arbitrary unknown metric space, and the goal is to choose a candidate minimizing social cost: the total distance from the voters to this candidate.…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2019-06-26 Ben Abramowitz , Elliot Anshelevich , Wennan Zhu

In a social network, adoption probability refers to the probability that a social entity will adopt a product, service, or opinion in the foreseeable future. Such probabilities are central to fundamental issues in social network analysis,…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2013-09-26 Xiao Fang , Paul J. Hu , Zhepeng Li , Weiyu Tsai

Democratic societies increasingly rely on communication networks to aggregate citizen preferences and information, yet these same networks can systematically mislead voters under certain conditions. We introduce an agent-based model that…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-06-30 Hsuan-Wei Lee , Po-Kang Hsiao

In elections, the vote shares or turnout rates show a strong spatial correlation. The logarithmic decay with distance suggests that a 2D noisy diffusive equation describes the system. Based on the study of U.S. presidential elections data,…

Physics and Society · Physics 2019-05-29 Shintaro Mori , Masato Hisakado , Kazuaki Nakayama

The voter process is a classic stochastic process that models the invasion of a mutant trait $A$ (e.g., a new opinion, belief, legend, genetic mutation, magnetic spin) in a population of agents (e.g., people, genes, particles) who share a…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-05-04 Loke Durocher , Panagiotis Karras , Andreas Pavlogiannis , Josef Tkadlec

We study a family online influence maximization problems where in a sequence of rounds $t=1,\ldots,T$, a decision maker selects one from a large number of agents with the goal of maximizing influence. Upon choosing an agent, the decision…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-09-27 Gábor Lugosi , Gergely Neu , Julia Olkhovskaya

In this paper, we study stochastic coupon probing problem in social networks. Assume there is a social network and a set of coupons. We can offer coupons to some users adaptively and those users who accept the offer will act as seeds and…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2018-07-11 Shaojie Tang

A social network (SN) is a social structure consisting of a group representing the interaction between them. SNs have recently been widely used and, subsequently, have become suitable and popular platforms for product promotion and…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2022-09-13 Saeid Ghafouri , Seyed Hossein Khasteh , Seyed Omid Azarkasb

This paper focuses on describing the impact of policy actions on individuals' opinions in the presence of social and external influences toward proposing preliminary nudging strategies to achieve a cost-effectiveness trade-off. To this end,…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-02-04 Valentina Breschi , Chiara Ravazzi , Paolo Frasca , Fabrizio Dabbene , Mara Tanelli