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We examine the problem of making reconciled forecasts of large collections of related time series through a behavioural/Bayesian lens. Our approach explicitly acknowledges and exploits the 'connectedness' of the series in terms of…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-10-03 Ross Hollyman , Fotios Petropoulos , Michael E. Tipping

We introduce a temporal model for reasoning on disjunctive metric constraints on intervals and time points in temporal contexts. This temporal model is composed of a labeled temporal algebra and its reasoning algorithms. The labeled…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2011-06-01 F. Barber

Motivated by the success of bounded model checking framework for finite state machines, Ouaknine and Worrell proposed a time-bounded theory of real-time verification by claiming that restriction to bounded-time recovers decidability for…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2014-08-18 Shankara Narayanan Krishna , Lakshmi Manasa , Ashutosh Trivedi

Recent years have seen a boom in interest in machine learning systems that can provide a human-understandable rationale for their predictions or decisions. However, exactly what kinds of explanation are truly human-interpretable remains…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2018-02-05 Menaka Narayanan , Emily Chen , Jeffrey He , Been Kim , Sam Gershman , Finale Doshi-Velez

Age-period-cohort analysis is mathematically intractable because of fundamental nonidentifiability of linear trends. However, some understanding can be gained in the context of individual problems.

Applications · Statistics 2009-07-16 Andrew Gelman

Counterfactual explanations emerge as a powerful approach in explainable AI, providing what-if scenarios that reveal how minimal changes to an input time series can alter the model's prediction. This work presents a survey of recent…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-31 Udo Schlegel , Thomas Seidl

Many areas of research are characterised by the deluge of large-scale highly-dimensional time-series data. However, using the data available for prediction and decision making is hampered by the current lag in our ability to uncover and…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2020-11-24 Zina Ibrahim , Honghan Wu , Richard Dobson

The 'problem of time' can be 'solved' in principle by taking the viewpoint that information created by quantum systems or Feynman Clocks (FCs) is transferred by signals to detectors as quantum 'infostates' and then used to construct 'time'…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2007-05-23 Scott M. Hitchcock

The problem of scheduling with testing in the framework of explorable uncertainty models environments where some preliminary action can influence the duration of a task. In the model, each job has an unknown processing time that can be…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2021-08-20 Susanne Albers , Alexander Eckl

Multivariate time series classification is a task with increasing importance due to the proliferation of new problems in various fields (economy, health, energy, transport, crops, etc.) where a large number of information sources are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-09-09 Francisco J. Baldán , José M. Benítez

To interpret uncertainty estimates from differentiable probabilistic models, recent work has proposed generating Counterfactual Latent Uncertainty Explanations (CLUEs). However, for a single input, such approaches could output a variety of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-12-06 Dan Ley , Umang Bhatt , Adrian Weller

We address the problem of providing contextual information about a logical formula (eg provenance, date of validity, or confidence) and representing it within a logical system. In this case, it is needed to rely on a higher order or non…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2017-09-18 Antoine Zimmermann , José M. Giménez-García

Law enforcement reports contain structured fields and written narratives. However, many incident facts that are needed for review, police training, and investigations are in natural language and require manual reading. We propose a…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2026-05-18 Anita Srbinovska , Jansen Orfan , Adrian Martin , Ernest Fokoué

A typical IR system that delivers and stores information is affected by problem of matching between user query and available content on web. Use of Ontology represents the extracted terms in form of network graph consisting of nodes, edges,…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2017-03-23 Gagandeep Singh Narula , Vishal Jain

Statistical differentiability of the measure along the reconstructed trajectory is a good candidate to quantify determinism in time series. The procedure is based upon a formula that explicitly shows the sensitivity of the measure to…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2009-10-31 Guillermo J. Ortega , Enrique Louis

Motivated by applications in declarative data analysis, we study $\mathit{Datalog}_{\mathbb{Z}}$---an extension of positive Datalog with arithmetic functions over integers. This language is known to be undecidable, so we propose two…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2017-11-15 Mark Kaminski , Bernardo Cuenca Grau , Egor V. Kostylev , Boris Motik , Ian Horrocks

We carry on the study of the synthesis problem on data words for fragments of first order logic, and delineate precisely the border between decidability and undecidability.

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2023-07-11 Julien Grange , Mathieu Lehaut

Most of statistics and AI draw insights through modelling discord or variance between sources of information (i.e., inter-source uncertainty). Increasingly, however, research is focusing upon uncertainty arising at the level of individual…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-03-01 Shaily Kabir , Christian Wagner , Zack Ellerby

Algorithms for learning database queries from examples and unique characterisations of queries by examples are prominent starting points for developing automated support for query construction and explanation. We investigate how far recent…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2024-07-30 Jean Christoph Jung , Vladislav Ryzhikov , Frank Wolter , Michael Zakharyaschev

Hierarchical time-series forecasting is essential for demand prediction across various industries. While machine learning models have obtained significant accuracy and scalability on such forecasting tasks, the interpretability of their…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-09 Harshavardhan Kamarthi , Shangqing Xu , Xinjie Tong , Xingyu Zhou , James Peters , Joseph Czyzyk , B. Aditya Prakash