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This paper investigates the problem of safety certification for black-box discrete-time stochastic systems, where both the system dynamics and disturbance distributions are unknown, and only sampled data are available. Under such limited…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-02-17 Taoran Wu , Dominik Wagner , Jingduo Pan , Luke Ong , Arvind Easwaran , Bai Xue

Probabilistic model checking for stochastic games enables formal verification of systems that comprise competing or collaborating entities operating in a stochastic environment. Despite good progress in the area, existing approaches focus…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2019-07-09 Marta Kwiatkowska , Gethin Norman , David Parker , Gabriel Santos

Nonlinear non-Gaussian state-space models are ubiquitous in statistics, econometrics, information engineering and signal processing. Particle methods, also known as Sequential Monte Carlo (SMC) methods, provide reliable numerical…

Computation · Statistics 2015-09-11 Nikolas Kantas , Arnaud Doucet , Sumeetpal S. Singh , Jan Maciejowski , Nicolas Chopin

Sample average approximation--based stochastic dynamic programming (SDP) and model predictive control (MPC) are two different methods for approaching multistage stochastic optimization. In this paper we investigate the conditions under…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-02-10 Dominic S. T. Keehan , Andrew B. Philpott , Edward J. Anderson

This work develops a stochastic model predictive controller~(SMPC) for uncertain linear systems with additive Gaussian noise subject to state and control constraints. The proposed approach is based on the recently developed finite-horizon…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-11-26 Kazuhide Okamoto , Panagiotis Tsiotras

Simulation and bisimulation metrics for stochastic systems provide a quantitative generalization of the classical simulation and bisimulation relations. These metrics capture the similarity of states with respect to quantitative…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2015-07-01 Krishnendu Chatterjee , Luca de Alfaro , Rupak Majumdar , Vishwanath Raman

This paper shows that a variety of software model-checking algorithms can be seen as proof-search strategies for a non-standard proof system, known as a cyclic proof system. Our use of the cyclic proof system as a logical foundation of…

Programming Languages · Computer Science 2021-11-11 Takeshi Tsukada , Hiroshi Unno

Verifying quantum systems has attracted a lot of interest in the last decades.In this paper, we study the quantitative model-checking of quantum continuous-time Markov chains (quantum CTMCs). The branching-time properties of quantum CTMCs…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2025-11-19 Ming Xu , Jingyi Mei , Ji Guan , Yuxin Deng , Nengkun Yu

Quantitative verification techniques have been developed for the formal analysis of a variety of probabilistic models, such as Markov chains, Markov decision process and their variants. They can be used to produce guarantees on quantitative…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2019-07-18 Marta Kwiatkowska , Gethin Norman , David Parker

This paper presents a stochastic model predictive control (SMPC) algorithm for linear systems subject to additive Gaussian mixture disturbances, with the goal of satisfying chance constraints. We focus on a special case where each Gaussian…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-06-25 Maico H. W. Engelaar , Micha P. P. Swaanen , Mircea Lazar , Sofie Haesaert

This paper presents a stochastic model predictive controller (SMPC) for linear time-invariant systems in the presence of additive disturbances. The distribution of the disturbance is unknown and is assumed to have a bounded support. A…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-10-03 Hotae Lee , Monimoy Bujarbaruah , Francesco Borrelli

Graph games are fundamental in strategic reasoning of multi-agent systems and their environments. We study a new family of graph games which combine stochastic environmental uncertainties and auction-based interactions among the agents,…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2024-12-30 Guy Avni , Martin Kurečka , Kaushik Mallik , Petr Novotný , Suman Sadhukhan

We study the computation of lower and upper probabilities of hitting a target set of states for imprecise Markov chains, where transition uncertainty is modelled by a convex set of transition matrices. In the precise case, hitting…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-03-18 Marco Sangalli , Erik Quaeghebeur , Thomas Krak

A dual adaptive model predictive control (MPC) algorithm is presented for linear, time-invariant systems subject to bounded disturbances and parametric uncertainty in the state-space matrices. Online set-membership identification is…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-02-23 Anilkumar Parsi , Andrea Iannelli , Roy S. Smith

This paper designs traffic signal control policies for a network of signalized intersections without knowing the demand and parameters. Within a model predictive control (MPC) framework, control policies consist of an algorithm that…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-03-17 Zhexian Li , Ketan Savla

Model predictive control (MPC) is a de facto standard control algorithm across the process industries. There remain, however, applications where MPC is impractical because an optimization problem is solved at each time step. We present a…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-07-10 Robert J. Lovelett , Felix Dietrich , Seungjoon Lee , Ioannis G. Kevrekidis

The optimization of process economics within the model predictive control (MPC) formulation has given rise to a new control paradigm known as economic MPC (EMPC). Several authors have discussed the closed-loop properties of EMPC-controlled…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2016-11-01 Pantelis Sopasakis , Domagoj Herceg , Panagiotis Patrinos , Alberto Bemporad

Markov Decision Processes (MDPs) offer a fairly generic and powerful framework to discuss the notion of optimal policies for dynamic systems, in particular when the dynamics are stochastic. However, computing the optimal policy of an MDP…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-07-24 Dirk Reinhardt , Akhil S. Anand , Shambhuraj Sawant , Sebastien Gros

We study the $(\varepsilon, \delta)$-PAC policy identification problem in finite-horizon episodic Markov Decision Processes. Existing approaches provide finite-time guarantees for approximate settings ($\varepsilon>0$) but suffer from high…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-06 Cyrille Kone , Kevin Jamieson

Model Predictive Control (MPC) has shown to be a successful method for many applications that require control. Especially in the presence of prediction uncertainty, various types of MPC offer robust or efficient control system behavior. For…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-06-17 Tim Brüdigam , Jie Zhan , Dirk Wollherr , Marion Leibold
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