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In this paper, we are interested in the more general concept of a polynomial (in)stability in mean in which the polynomial behaviour in the classical sense is replaced by a weaker requirement with respect to some probability measure. This…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-02-13 Pham Viet Hai

The optimization of the variance supplemented by a budget constraint and an asymmetric $\ell_1$ regularizer is carried out analytically by the replica method borrowed from the theory of disordered systems. The asymmetric regularizer allows…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2018-07-16 Imre Kondor , Gábor Papp , Fabio Caccioli

The recent interest in human dynamics has led researchers to investigate the stochastic processes that explain human behaviour in different contexts. Here we propose a generative model to capture the essential dynamics of survival analysis,…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-06-18 Trevor Fenner , Mark Levene , George Loizou

We present analytical expressions for the time-dependent and stationary probability distributions corresponding to a stochastically perturbed one-dimensional flow with critical points, in two physically relevant situations: delayed…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 V. Balakrishnan , C. Van den Broeck , I. Bena

Complex change is often described as "evolutionary" in economics, policy, and technology, yet most system dynamics models remain constrained to fixed state spaces and equilibrium-seeking behavior. This paper argues that evolutionary…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2026-02-19 Dan Adler

A change of variables is introduced to reduce certain nonlinear stochastic evolution equations with multiplicative noise to the corresponding deterministic equation. The result is then used to investigate a stochastic porous medium…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-07-24 S. V. Lototsky

Small systems in contact with a heat bath evolve by stochastic dynamics. Here we show that, when one such small system is weakly coupled to another one, it is possible to infer the presence of such weak coupling by observing the violation…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2016-11-07 Deepak Gupta , Sanjib Sabhapandit

The Variation Evolving Method (VEM) that originates from the continuous-time dynamics stability theory seeks the optimal solutions with variation evolution principle. After establishing the first and the second evolution equations within…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2025-01-28 Sheng Zhang , Fei Liao , Kai-Feng He

Biodiversity and extinction are central issues in evolution. Dynamical balance among different species in ecosystems is often described by deterministic replicator equations with moderate success. However, fluctuations are inevitable,…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2014-11-25 Tsung-Cheng Lu , Yi-Ko Chen , Hsiu-Hau Lin , Chun-Chung-Chen

We study the problem of learning to predict the next state of a dynamical system when the underlying evolution function is unknown. Unlike previous work, we place no parametric assumptions on the dynamical system, and study the problem from…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-04 Vinod Raman , Unique Subedi , Ambuj Tewari

In order to accommodate the empirical fact that population structures are rarely simple, modern studies of evolutionary dynamics allow for complicated and highly-heterogeneous spatial structures. As a result, one of the most difficult…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-07-07 Alex McAvoy , John Wakeley

In machine learning ensembles predictions from multiple models are aggregated. Despite widespread use and strong performance of ensembles in applied problems little is known about the mathematical properties of aggregating models and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-08-27 Jeremy Kedziora

Understanding the relationship between complexity and stability in large dynamical systems -- such as ecosystems -- remains a key open question in complexity theory which has inspired a rich body of work developed over more than fifty…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-07-14 Yvonne Krumbeck , Qian Yang , George W. A. Constable , Tim Rogers

A new paradigm recently emerged in financial modelling: rough (stochastic) volatility, first observed by Gatheral et al. in high-frequency data, subsequently derived within market microstructure models, also turned out to capture…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2017-10-23 Christian Bayer , Peter K. Friz , Paul Gassiat , Joerg Martin , Benjamin Stemper

Selected recent contributions involving fluctuating velocity fields to the rapidly developing domain of stochastic field theory are reviewed. Functional representations for solutions of stochastic differential equations and master equations…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2016-11-22 Michal Hnatič , Juha Honkonen , Tomáš Lučivjanský

Despite widespread interest and practical use, the theoretical properties of random forests are still not well understood. In this paper we contribute to this understanding in two ways. We present a new theoretically tractable variant of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2013-10-08 Misha Denil , David Matheson , Nando de Freitas

This erratum addresses a logical mistake in the author's article [Jakob, R. The Willmore flow of Hopf-tori in the $3$-sphere. Journal of Evolution Equations 23, No. 72 (2023)] which resulted in two wrong assertions in parts (II) and (III)…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2026-02-17 Ruben Jakob

Local stochastic volatility refers to a popular model class in applied mathematical finance that allows for "calibration-on-the-fly", typically via a particle method, derived from a formal McKean-Vlasov equation. Well-posedness of this…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-06-13 Peter K. Friz , Benjamin Jourdain , Thomas Wagenhofer , Alexandre Zhou

All previously derived thermodynamic fluctuation theorems (FTs) that concern multiple co-evolving systems have required that each system can only change its state during an associated pre-fixed, limited set of time intervals. However, in…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2021-04-16 David H. Wolpert

This paper investigates how often the popular configurations of Differential Evolution generate solutions outside the feasible domain. Following previous publications in the field, we argue that what the algorithm does with such solutions…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2022-01-19 Anna V. Kononova , Fabio Caraffini , Thomas Bäck