Related papers: The Likelihood of Mixed Hitting Times
We recently proposed a method for estimation of states and parameters in stochastic differential equations, which included intermediate time points between observations and used the Laplace approximation to integrate out these intermediate…
In Change point detection task Likelihood Ratio Test (LRT) is sequentially applied in a sliding window procedure. Its high values indicate changes of parametric distribution in the data sequence. Correspondingly LRT values require…
In computational mechanics, multiple models are often present to describe a physical system. While Bayesian model selection is a helpful tool to compare these models using measurement data, it requires the computationally expensive…
In the last decade, there has been a growing interest to use Wishart processes for modelling, especially for financial applications. However, there are still few studies on the estimation of its parameters. Here, we study the Maximum…
For any given vertices $u$ and $v$ in a graph, the hitting time of a random walk on a finite graph is the number of steps it takes for a random walk to reach vertex $v$ starting at vertex $u$. The expected value of the hitting time is the…
Mixtures of shifted asymmetric Laplace distributions were introduced as a tool for model-based clustering that allowed for the direct parameterization of skewness in addition to location and scale. Following common practices, an…
We consider a hybrid diffusion process that is a combination of two Ornstein-Uhlenbeck processes with different restraining forces. This process serves as the heavy-traffic approximation to the Markovian many-server queue with abandonments…
The aim of this work is to extend and study a family of transformations between Laplace exponents of L\'evy processes which have been introduced recently in a variety of different contexts by Patie, Kyprianou and Patie, and, Gnedin, as well…
We consider quasi maximum likelihood (QML) estimation for general non-Gaussian discrete-ime linear state space models and equidistantly observed multivariate L\'evy-driven continuoustime autoregressive moving average (MCARMA) processes. In…
We develop a new Monte Carlo variance reduction method to estimate the expectation of two commonly encountered path-dependent functionals: first-passage times and occupation times of sets. The method is based on a recursive approximation of…
L\'evy walk process is one of the most effective models to describe superdiffusion, which underlies some important movement patterns and has been widely observed in the micro and macro dynamics. From the perspective of random walk theory,…
Multistate models can be used to describe transitions over time across states. In the presence of interval-censored times for transitions, the likelihood is constructed using transition probabilities. Models are specified using proportional…
The L\'evy walk process with rests is discussed. The jumping time is governed by an $\alpha$-stable distribution with $\alpha>1$ while a waiting time distribution is Poissonian and involves a position-dependent rate which reflects a…
The classic algorithm of Viterbi computes the most likely path in a Hidden Markov Model (HMM) that results in a given sequence of observations. It runs in time $O(Tn^2)$ given a sequence of $T$ observations from a HMM with $n$ states.…
We consider a Markovian jumping process with two absorbing barriers, for which the waiting-time distribution involves a position-dependent coefficient. We solve the Fokker-Planck equation with boundary conditions and calculate the mean…
In this paper, we consider the problem of statistical inference for generalized Ornstein-Uhlenbeck processes of the type \[ X_{t} = e^{-\xi_{t}} \left( X_{0} + \int_{0}^{t} e^{\xi_{u-}} d u \right), \] where \(\xi_s\) is a L{\'e}vy process.…
To operate process engineering systems in a safe and reliable manner, predictive models are often used in decision making. In many cases, these are mechanistic first principles models which aim to accurately describe the process. In…
We provide a simple algorithm for construction of Brownian paths approximating those of a L\'evy process on a finite time interval. It requires knowledge of the L\'evy process trajectory on a chosen regular grid and the law of its endpoint,…
We study class of L\'{e}vy processes having distributions being indentifiable by moments. We define system of polynomial martingales \newline $\left\{ M_{n}(X_{t},t),\mathcal{F}_{\leq t}\right\} _{n\geq 1},$ where $% \mathcal{F}_{\leq t}$…
Linear mixed models with large imbalanced crossed random effects structures pose severe computational problems for maximum likelihood estimation and for Bayesian analysis. The costs can grow as fast as $N^{3/2}$ when there are N…