Related papers: The Likelihood of Mixed Hitting Times
In this paper we analyze the transient behavior of the workload process in a L\'evy input queue. We are interested in the value of the workload process at a random epoch; this epoch is distributed as the sum of independent exponential…
In this paper, we propose finite mixtures of multivariate skew Laplace distributions to model both skewness and heavy-tailedness in the heterogeneous data sets. The maximum likelihood estimators for the parameters of interest are obtained…
In this paper we study a queue with L\'evy input, without imposing any a priori assumption on the jumps being one-sided. The focus is on computing the transforms of all sorts of quantities related to the transient workload, assuming the…
For L\'evy processes with exponentially decaying tails of the L\'evy density, we derive integral representations for the joint cpdf $V$ of $(X_T, \bar X_T,\tau_T)$ (the process, its supremum evaluated at $T<+\infty$, and the first time at…
We study the two-dimensional joint distribution of the first hitting time of a constant level by a continuous-state branching process with immigration and their primitive stopped at this time. We show an explicit expression of its Laplace…
In this paper we analyze a L\'evy process reflected at a general (possibly random) barrier. For this process we prove Central Limit Theorem for the first passage time. We also give the finite-time first passage probability asymptotics.
We prove simple general formulas for expectations of functions of a L\'evy process and its running extremum. Under additional conditions, we derive analytical formulas using the Fourier/Laplace inversion and Wiener-Hopf factorization, and…
Continuous time random walks combining diffusive and ballistic regimes are introduced to describe a class of L\'evy walks on lattices. By including exponentially-distributed waiting times separating the successive jump events of a walker,…
Motivated by applications in telecommunications, computer scienceand physics, we consider a discrete-time Markov process withrestart. At each step the process eitherwith a positive probability restarts from a given distribution, orwith the…
In this paper we study a spectrally negative L\'{e}vy process that is reflected at its draw-down level whenever a draw-down time from the running supremum arrives. Using an excursion-theoretical approach, for such a reflected process we…
We consider a bivariate first hitting-time model in which durations are the crossing times of dependent compound Poisson processes with fixed thresholds. The identifiability of the model is discussed, and likelihood estimators of the model…
An estimation method is proposed for a wide variety of discrete time stochastic processes that have an intractable likelihood function but are otherwise conveniently specified by an integral transform such as the characteristic function,…
In this paper we study the mean of the first exit time from a bounded interval of various L\'evy processes. We establish sharp two-sided estimates of the mean for L\'evy processes under certain condition on their characteristic exponents.…
Fitting cross-classified multilevel models with binary response is challenging. In this setting a promising method is Bayesian inference through Integrated Nested Laplace Approximations (INLA), which performs well in several latent variable…
We study the computation of lower and upper probabilities of hitting a target set of states for imprecise Markov chains, where transition uncertainty is modelled by a convex set of transition matrices. In the precise case, hitting…
Latent force models are a class of hybrid models for dynamic systems, combining simple mechanistic models with flexible Gaussian process (GP) perturbations. An extension of this framework to include multiplicative interactions between the…
We establish inequalities for assessing the distance between the distribution of errors of partially observed high-frequency statistics of multidimensional L\'evy processes and that of a mixed Gaussian random variable. Furthermore, we…
We investigate the behavior of L\'{e}vy processes with convolution equivalent L\'{e}vy measures, up to the time of first passage over a high level u. Such problems arise naturally in the context of insurance risk where u is the initial…
We find an expression for the joint Laplace transform of the law of $(T_{[x,+\infty[},X_{T_{[x,+\infty[}})$ for a L\'evy process $X$, where $T_{[x,+\infty[}$ is the first hitting time of $[x,+\infty[$ by $X$. When $X$ is an $\alpha$-stable…
We estimate a general mixture of Markov jump processes. The key novel feature of the proposed mixture is that the transition intensity matrices of the Markov processes comprising the mixture are entirely unconstrained. The Markov processes…