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Probabilistic dependency graphs (PDGs) are a flexible class of probabilistic graphical models, subsuming Bayesian Networks and Factor Graphs. They can also capture inconsistent beliefs, and provide a way of measuring the degree of this…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2023-11-10 Oliver E. Richardson , Joseph Y. Halpern , Christopher De Sa

This paper discusses a design-dependent nature of variance in nonparametric link regression aiming at predicting a mean outcome at a link, i.e., a pair of nodes, based on currently observed data comprising covariates at nodes and outcomes…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-10-14 Akifumi Okuno , Keisuke Yano

Statistical analysis on compositional data has gained a lot of attention due to their great potential of applications. A feature of these data is that they are multivariate vectors that lie in the simplex, that is, the components of each…

We provide a survey on relational models. Relational models describe complete networked {domains by taking into account global dependencies in the data}. Relational models can lead to more accurate predictions if compared to non-relational…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2016-09-13 Volker Tresp , Maximilian Nickel

The most widely used method for finding relationships between several quantities is multiple regression. This however is restricted to a single dependent variable. We present a more general method which allows models to be constructed with…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-09-06 Chris Tofallis

Logistic models are studied as a tool to convert output from numerical weather forecasting systems (deterministic and ensemble) into probability forecasts for binary events. A logistic model obtains by putting the logarithmic odds ratio…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2009-01-29 Jochen Bröcker

High-dimensional autoregressive point processes model how current events trigger or inhibit future events, such as activity by one member of a social network can affect the future activity of his or her neighbors. While past work has…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-03-18 Lili Zheng , Garvesh Raskutti , Rebecca Willett , Benjamin Mark

Sparse linear regression is a central problem in high-dimensional statistics. We study the correlated random design setting, where the covariates are drawn from a multivariate Gaussian $N(0,\Sigma)$, and we seek an estimator with small…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2023-05-29 Jonathan Kelner , Frederic Koehler , Raghu Meka , Dhruv Rohatgi

Principal component regression uses principal components as regressors. It is particularly useful in prediction settings with high-dimensional covariates. The existing literature treating of Bayesian approaches is relatively sparse. We…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-01-28 Philippe Gagnon , Mylène Bédard , Alain Desgagné

Statistical causal inference from observational studies often requires adjustment for a possibly multi-dimensional variable, where dimension reduction is crucial. The propensity score, first introduced by Rosenbaum and Rubin, is a popular…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-04-28 Hui Guo , Philip Dawid , Giovanni Berzuini

This paper considers the problem of kernel regression and classification with possibly unobservable response variables in the data, where the mechanism that causes the absence of information is unknown and can depend on both predictors and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-12-07 Majid Mojirsheibani , William Pouliot , Andre Shakhbandaryan

Regression uses supervised machine learning to find a model that combines several independent variables to predict a dependent variable based on ground truth (labeled) data, i.e., tuples of independent and dependent variables (labels).…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-10-29 Maria Ulan , Welf Löwe , Morgan Ericsson , Anna Wingkvist

In this work logistic regression when both the response and the predictor variables may be missing is considered. Several existing approaches are reviewed, including complete case analysis, inverse probability weighting, multiple imputation…

We provide a computationally and statistically efficient estimator for the classical problem of truncated linear regression, where the dependent variable $y = w^T x + \epsilon$ and its corresponding vector of covariates $x \in R^k$ are only…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-10-26 Constantinos Daskalakis , Themis Gouleakis , Christos Tzamos , Manolis Zampetakis

Reliability is an essential measure of how closely observed scores represent latent scores (reflecting constructs), assuming some latent variable measurement model. We present a general theoretical framework of reliability, placing emphasis…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-10-29 Yang Liu , Jolynn Pek , Alberto Maydeu-Olivares

Models of complex networks often incorporate node-intrinsic properties abstracted as hidden variables. The probability of connections in the network is then a function of these variables. Real-world networks evolve over time, and many…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-05-19 Harrison Hartle , Fragkiskos Papadopoulos , Dmitri Krioukov

The Ising model was originally developed to model magnetisation of solids in statistical physics. As a network of binary variables with the probability of becoming 'active' depending only on direct neighbours, the Ising model appears…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-07-31 Lourens Waldorp , Maarten Marsman , Gunter Maris

General regression and classification models are constructed as linear combinations of simple rules derived from the data. Each rule consists of a conjunction of a small number of simple statements concerning the values of individual input…

Applications · Statistics 2008-11-12 Jerome H. Friedman , Bogdan E. Popescu

Log-linear models are a classical tool for the analysis of contingency tables. In particular, the subclass of graphical log-linear models provides a general framework for modelling conditional independences. However, with the exception of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-03-04 Mathias Drton , Thomas S. Richardson

Linear regressions with endogeneity are widely used to estimate causal effects. This paper studies a framework that involves two common practical issues: endogeneity of the regressors and heteroskedasticity that depends on endogenous…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-12-10 Javier Alejo , Antonio F. Galvao , Julian Martinez-Iriarte , Gabriel Montes-Rojas