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As periodic orbit theory works badly on computing the observable averages of dynamical systems with intermittency, we propose a scheme to cooperate with cycle expansion and perturbation theory so that we can deal with intermittent systems…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2022-08-24 Huanyu Cao , Ang Gao , Haotian Zheng , Yueheng Lan

The term ``sequential Monte Carlo methods'' or, equivalently, ``particle filters,'' refers to a general class of iterative algorithms that performs Monte Carlo approximations of a given sequence of distributions of interest (\pi_t). We…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Nicolas Chopin

This paper introduces a novel method to approximate limit cycles of nonlinear ODEs by use of switching affine dynamics in order to ease data-based modeling and analysis. Previous approaches to approximating limit cycles by switching systems…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-05-08 Nils Hanke , Zonglin Liu , Olaf Stursberg

Adam is a popular variant of stochastic gradient descent for finding a local minimizer of a function. In the constant stepsize regime, assuming that the objective function is differentiable and non-convex, we establish the convergence in…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-05-15 Anas Barakat , Pascal Bianchi

System identification is an important area of science, which aims to describe the characteristics of the system, representing them by mathematical models. Since many of these models can be seen as recursive functions, it is extremely…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2018-07-27 P. F. S. Guedes , M. L. C. Peixoto , O. A. R. O. Freitas , A. M. Barbosa , S. A. M. Martins , E. G. Nepomuceno

The non-stationary evolution of observable quantities in complex systems can frequently be described as a juxtaposition of quasi-stationary spells. Given that standard theoretical and data analysis approaches usually rely on the assumption…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2011-10-18 S. Camargo , S. Duarte Queirós , C. Anteneodo

Hierarchical forecasting methods have been widely used to support aligned decision-making by providing coherent forecasts at different aggregation levels. Traditional hierarchical forecasting approaches, such as the bottom-up and top-down…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-06-04 Evangelos Spiliotis , Mahdi Abolghasemi , Rob J Hyndman , Fotios Petropoulos , Vassilios Assimakopoulos

Recent work in [53, 54] by the authors on periodic center manifolds and normal forms for bifurcations of limit cycles in delay differential equations (DDEs) motivates the derivation of explicit computational formulas for the critical normal…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2026-04-20 M. M. Bosschaert , B. Lentjes , L. Spek , Yu. A. Kuznetsov

We present a method that models the evolution of an unbounded number of time series clusters by switching among an unknown number of regimes with linear dynamics. We develop a Bayesian non-parametric approach using a hierarchical Dirichlet…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-10-09 Adrián Pérez-Herrero , Paulo Félix , Jesús Presedo , Carl Henrik Ek

In this article we consider the possibility of controlling the dynamics of nonlinear discrete systems. A new method of control is by mixing states of the system (or the functions of these states) calculated on previous steps. This approach…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2016-08-23 D. Dmitrishin , I. M. Skrinnik , A. Stokolos

The aim of this paper is to provide an effective framework for analysing bifurcations of equilibria in nonlinearly periodically forced delay differential equations. First, we establish the existence of a periodic smooth finite-dimensional…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2026-04-28 Bram Lentjes , Seppe Daniëls , Meinder Follon , Yuri A. Kuznetsov

Stochastic gradient algorithms are more and more studied since they can deal efficiently and online with large samples in high dimensional spaces. In this paper, we first establish a Central Limit Theorem for these estimates as well as for…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-10-17 Antoine Godichon-Baggioni

In this paper, we derive a practical, general framework for creating adaptive iterative (linearization or splitting) algorithms to solve multi-physics problems. This means that, given an iterative method, we derive \textit{a posteriori}…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2026-01-26 Jakob S. Stokke , Kundan Kumar , Florin A. Radu

Stochastic gradient methods are among the most widely used algorithms for large-scale optimization and machine learning. A key technique for improving the statistical efficiency and stability of these methods is the use of averaging schemes…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-03-11 K. Lakshmanan

Non-linear state estimation and some related topics, like parametric estimation, fault diagnosis, and perturbation attenuation, are tackled here via a new methodology in numerical differentiation. The corresponding basic system theoretic…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2008-11-06 Michel Fliess , Cédric Join , Hebertt Sira-Ramirez

Variational inequalities are a universal optimization paradigm that incorporate classical minimization and saddle point problems. Nowadays more and more tasks require to consider stochastic formulations of optimization problems. In this…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-09-17 Alexander Pichugin , Maksim Pechin , Aleksandr Beznosikov , Vasilii Novitskii , Alexander Gasnikov

In this paper we propose a novel machine-learning method for anomaly detection applicable to data with periodic characteristics where randomly varying period lengths are explicitly allowed. A multi-dimensional time series analysis is…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-05-22 Lia Ahrens , Julian Ahrens , Hans D. Schotten

Here, I present a novel method for normalizing a finite set of numbers, which is studied by the domain of biological vision. Normalizing in this context means searching the maximum and minimum number in a set and then rescaling all numbers…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2007-09-19 Matthias S. Keil

We construct numerical schemes to solve kinetic equations with anomalous diffusion scaling. When the equilibrium is heavy-tailed or when the collision frequency degenerates for small velocities, an appropriate scaling should be made and the…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2015-05-14 Nicolas Crouseilles , Hélène Hivert , Mohammed Lemou

Differential-elimination algorithms apply a finite number of differentiations and eliminations to systems of partial differential equations. For systems that are polynomially nonlinear with rational number coefficients, they guarantee the…

Symbolic Computation · Computer Science 2024-10-17 Siyuan Deng , Michelle Hatzel , Gregory Reid , Wenqiang Yang , Wenyuan Wu