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The United Nations released official probabilistic population projections (PPP) for all countries for the first time in July 2014. These were obtained by projecting the period total fertility rate (TFR) and life expectancy at birth ($e_0$)…

Applications · Statistics 2016-08-08 Hana Ševčíková , Nan Li , Vladimíra Kantorová , Patrick Gerland , Adrian E. Raftery

The effects of inbreeding on human health depend critically on the number and severity of recessive, deleterious mutations carried by individuals. In humans, existing estimates of these quantities are based on comparisons between…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2014-07-29 Ziyue Gao , Darrel Waggoner , Matthew Stephens , Carole Ober , Molly Przeworski

Name-based gender prediction has traditionally categorized individuals as either female or male based on their names, using a binary classification system. That binary approach can be problematic in the cases of gender-neutral names that do…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2024-07-09 Zhiwen You , HaeJin Lee , Shubhanshu Mishra , Sullam Jeoung , Apratim Mishra , Jinseok Kim , Jana Diesner

The statistical estimation of phylogenies is always associated with uncertainty, and accommodating this uncertainty is an important component of modern phylogenetic comparative analysis. The birth-death polytomy resolver is a method of…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2015-03-18 Daniel L. Rabosky

The very insightful Trivers-Willard hypothesis, proposed in the early 1970s, states that females in good physiological conditions are more likely to produce male offspring, when the variance of reproductive success amongst males is high. A…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2007-08-16 N. V. Joshi

A set of discrete formulae that calculates the hypothetical impact of aerial spraying on a tsetse population is derived and the work is thought to be novel. Both the original population and the subsequent generations which survive the…

Other Quantitative Biology · Quantitative Biology 2015-10-29 S. J. Childs

Integral projection models (IPMs) are widely used to study population growth and the dynamics of demographic structure (e.g. age and size distributions) within a population.These models use data on individuals' growth, survival, and…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-11-14 Yunzhe Zhou , Giles Hooker

We developed a prediction model based on the evolutionary causal matrices (ECM) and the Markov Chain to predict long-term influences of educational interventions on adolescents development. Particularly, we created a computational model…

Applications · Statistics 2016-12-02 Hyemin Han , Kangwook Lee , Firat Soylu

Long-term planning, as in reinforcement learning (RL), involves finding strategies: actions that collectively work toward a goal rather than individually optimizing their immediate outcomes. As part of a strategy, some actions are taken at…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-23 Alihan Hüyük , Finale Doshi-Velez

We describe the simulation method of modelling the population evolution using Monte Carlo based on the Penna model. Individuals in the populations are represented by their diploid genomes. Genes expressed after the minimum reproduction age…

Genomics · Quantitative Biology 2009-01-13 Agnieszka Laszkiewicz , Przemyslaw Biecek , Katarzyna Bonkowska , Stanislaw Cebrat

Tree-structured models are a powerful alternative to parametric regression models if non-linear effects and interactions are present in the data. Yet, classical tree-structured models might not be appropriate if data comes in clusters of…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-01-23 Nikolai Spuck , Matthias Schmid , Moritz Berger

Sex in higher diploids carries a two-fold cost of males that should reduce its fitness relative to cloning and result in its extinction. Instead, sex is widespread and it is clonal species that face early obsolescence. One possible reason…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2013-04-24 David Green , Chris Mason

We introduce a stochastic model of a population with overlapping generations and arbitrary levels of self-fertilization versus outcrossing. We study how the global graph of reproductive relationships, or population pedigree, influences the…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2025-05-20 Maximillian Newman , John Wakeley , Wai-Tong Louis Fan

Energy flow through consumer-resource interactions is largely determined by body size. Allometric relationships govern the dynamics of populations by impacting rates of reproduction, as well as alternative sources of mortality, which have…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2023-08-28 Taran Rallings , Christopher P. Kempes , Justin D. Yeakel

An early burst of speciation followed by a subsequent slowdown in the rate of diversification is commonly inferred from molecular phylogenies. This pattern is consistent with some verbal theory of ecological opportunity and adaptive…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2015-06-11 Matthew W. Pennell , Brice A. J. Sarver , Luke J. Harmon

We study portfolio selection in a complete continuous-time market where the preference is dictated by the rank-dependent utility. As such a model is inherently time inconsistent due to the underlying probability weighting, we study the…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-06-04 Ying Hu , Hanqing Jin , Xun Yu Zhou

We model sex-structured population dynamics to analyze pairwise competition between groups differing both genetically and culturally. A sex-ratio allele is expressed in the heterogametic sex only, so that assumptions of Fisher's analysis do…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2012-09-10 F. Molnar , T. Caraco , G. Korniss

Fertility choices are linked to the different preferences and constraints of individuals and couples, and vary importantly by socio-economic status, as well by cultural and institutional context. The meaning of childbearing and…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2017-03-14 Jussi Ojala , Emilio Zagheni , Francesco C. Billari , Ingmar Weber

Background: Accurate survival time estimates aid end-of-life medical decision-making. Objectives: Develop an interpretable survival model for elderly residential aged care residents using advanced machine learning. Setting: A major…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-11 Teo Susnjak , Elise Griffin

Supporting practices around self-care is crucial for enabling older adults to continue living in their own homes and ageing in place. While existing assistive technology and research concerning self-care practices have been centered on a…

Human-Computer Interaction · Computer Science 2024-11-05 Bridget Casey , Greg Marston , Dhaval Vyas