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The growing study of time series, especially those related to nonlinear systems, has challenged the methodologies to characterize and classify dynamical structures of a signal. Here we conceive a new diagnostic tool for time series based on…

Other Statistics · Statistics 2017-07-05 G. Corso , T. L. Prado , G. Z. dos S. Lima , S. R. Lopes

Extracting relevant properties of empirical signals generated by nonlinear, stochastic, and high-dimensional systems is a challenge of complex systems research. Open questions are how to differentiate chaotic signals from stochastic ones,…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2021-07-08 B. R. R. Boaretto , R. C. Budzinski , K. L. Rossi , T. L. Prado , S. R. Lopes , C. Masoller

We show that the same maximum entropy principle applied to recurrence microstates configures a new way to properly compute the time delay necessary to correctly sample a data set. The new method retrieves results obtained using traditional…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2020-10-08 Thiago Lima Prado , Vandertone Santos Machado , Gilberto Corso , Gustavo Zampier dos Santos Lima , Sergio Roberto Lopes

We deal here with the issue of determinism versus randomness in time series. One wishes to identify their relative weights in a given time series. Two different tools have been advanced in the literature to such effect, namely, i) the…

We analyze the statistical complexity vs. entropy plane-representation of sampled chaotic attractors as a function of the sampling period {\tau}. It is shown that if the Bandt and Pompe procedure is used to assign a probability distribution…

Finding interdependency relations between (possibly multivariate) time series provides valuable knowledge about the processes that generate the signals. Information theory sets a natural framework for non-parametric measures of several…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2016-02-09 German Gomez-Herrero , Wei Wu , Kalle Rutanen , Miguel C. Soriano , Gordon Pipa , Raul Vicente

The maximum entropy ansatz, as it is often invoked in the context of time-series analysis, suggests the selection of a power spectrum which is consistent with autocorrelation data and corresponds to a random process least predictable from…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-07-19 Tryphon T. Georgiou

In experiments, the dynamical behavior of systems is reflected in time series. Due to the finiteness of the observational data set it is not possible to reconstruct the invariant measure up to arbitrary fine resolution and arbitrary high…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2009-10-31 M. Cencini , M. Falcioni , H. Kantz , E. Olbrich , A. Vulpiani

The phenomenon of Stochastic Resonance (SR) is reported in a completely noise-free situation, with the role of thermal noise being taken by low-dimensional chaos. A one-dimensional, piecewise linear map and a pair of coupled…

chao-dyn · Physics 2009-10-31 Sitabhra Sinha

We propose a mechanism which produces periodic variations of the degree of predictability in dynamical systems. It is shown that even in the absence of noise when the control parameter changes periodically in time, below and above the…

chao-dyn · Physics 2009-10-22 A. Crisanti , M. Falcioni , G. Paladin , A. Vulpiani

Recurrence analysis is a well settled method allowing to discern chaos from order, and determinism from noise. We apply this tool to study time series representing geodesic and inspiraling motion of a test particle in a deformed Kerr…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2017-10-24 Georgios Lukes-Gerakopoulos , Ondřej Kopáček

We discuss the possibility of applying some standard statistical methods (the least square method, the maximum likelihood method, the method of statistical moments for estimation of parameters) to deterministically chaotic low-dimensional…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2009-11-10 V. F. Pisarenko , D. Sornette

Quantum chaotic and integrable systems are known to exhibit a characteristic $1/f$ and $1/f^{2}$ noise, respectively, in the power spectrum associated to their spectral fluctuations. A recent work [R. Riser, V. A. Osipov, and E. Kanzieper,…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2019-09-17 A. L. Corps , A. Relaño

The phenomenon of Stochastic Resonance (SR) is observed in a completely deterministic setting - with thermal noise being replaced by one-dimensional chaos. The piecewise linear map investigated in the paper shows a transition from…

chao-dyn · Physics 2009-10-31 Sitabhra Sinha , Bikas K. Chakrabarti

Assuming the validity of random matrices for describing the statistics of a closed chaotic quantum system, we study analytically some statistical properties of the S-matrix characterizing scattering in its open counterpart. In the first…

Mesoscale and Nanoscale Physics · Physics 2016-08-31 Yan. V. Fyodorov , H. -J. Sommers

In this paper we present the concept of description of random processes in complex systems with the discrete time. It involves the description of kinetics of discrete processes by means of the chain of finite-difference non-Markov equations…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-10-31 Renat Yulmetyev , Reter Hanggi , Fail Gafarov

We propose to examine the predictability and the complexity characteristics of the Standard&Poor500 dynamics behaviors in a coarse-grained way using the symbolic dynamics method and under the prism of the Information theory through the…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-05-11 Geoffrey Ducournau

A new partial functional linear regression model for panel data with time varying parameters is introduced. The parameter vector of the multivariate model component is allowed to be completely time varying while the function-valued…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-07-18 Dominik Liebl , Fabian Walders

A powerful tool is developed for the characterization of chaotic signals. The approach is based on the symbolic encoding of time series (according to their ordinal patterns) combined with the ensuing characterization of the corresponding…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2017-04-12 Antonio Politi

The search for patterns in time series is a very common task when dealing with complex systems. This is usually accomplished by employing a complexity measure such as entropies and fractal dimensions. However, such measures usually only…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2017-06-13 Haroldo V. Ribeiro , Max Jauregui , Luciano Zunino , Ervin K. Lenzi
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