Related papers: Non-standard inference for augmented double autore…
In this paper we consider autoregressive models with conditional autoregressive variance, including the case of homoscedastic AR-models and the case of ARCH models. Our aim is to test the hypothesis of normality for the innovations in a…
This paper presents a general theoretical framework of penalized quasi-maximum likelihood (PQML) estimation in stationary multiple time series models when the number of parameters possibly diverges. We show the oracle property of the PQML…
Causal inference on the average treatment effect (ATE) using non-probability samples, such as electronic health records (EHR), faces challenges from sample selection bias and high-dimensional covariates. This requires considering a…
We investigate the estimation of parameters in the random coefficient autoregressive model. We consider a nonstationary RCA process and show that the innovation variance parameter cannot be estimated by the quasi-maximum likelihood method.…
We consider the problems of parameter estimation for several models of threshold ergodic diffusion processes in the asymptotics of large samples. These models are the direct continuous time analogues of the well-known in time series…
Nonparametric density estimation is an unsupervised learning problem. In this work we propose a two-step procedure that casts the density estimation problem in the first step into a supervised regression problem. The advantage is that we…
This paper develops an asymptotic likelihood theory for triangular arrays of stationary Gaussian time series depending on a multidimensional unknown parameter. We give sufficient conditions for the associated sequence of statistical models…
Graphs are an intuitive way to represent relationships between variables in fields such as finance and neuroscience. However, these graphs often need to be inferred from data. In this paper, we propose a novel framework to infer a latent…
This paper introduces a novel quantile approach to harness the high-frequency information and improve the daily conditional quantile estimation. Specifically, we model the conditional standard deviation as a realized GARCH model and employ…
Standard autoregressive seq2seq models are easily trained by max-likelihood, but tend to show poor results under small-data conditions. We introduce a class of seq2seq models, GAMs (Global Autoregressive Models), which combine an…
The search for physics beyond the Standard Model (BSM) at collider experiments requires model-independent strategies to avoid missing possible discoveries of unexpected signals. Anomaly detection (AD) techniques offer a promising approach…
In this article, a novel identification test is proposed, which can be applied to parameteric models such as Mixture of Normal (MN) distributions, Markow Switching(MS), or Structural Autoregressive (SVAR) models. In the approach, it is…
Vector autoregressive (VAR) models are widely used in practical studies, e.g., forecasting, modelling policy transmission mechanism, and measuring connection of economic agents. To better capture the dynamics, this paper introduces a new…
We consider statistical inference for a class of mixed-effects models with system noise described by a non-Gaussian integrated Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process. Under the asymptotics where the number of individuals goes to infinity with possibly…
Extreme value theory offers a statistical framework for quantifying the risk of rare events, with the generalized Pareto (GP) distribution providing the canonical limit model for univariate threshold exceedances. In many applications,…
We develop asymptotic theory for weighted likelihood estimators (WLE) under two-phase stratified sampling without replacement. We also consider several variants of WLEs involving estimated weights and calibration. A set of empirical process…
This paper studies the estimation of high dimensional Gaussian graphical model (GGM). Typically, the existing methods depend on regularization techniques. As a result, it is necessary to choose the regularized parameter. However, the…
The problem of identifying change points in high-dimensional Gaussian graphical models (GGMs) in an online fashion is of interest, due to new applications in biology, economics and social sciences. The offline version of the problem, where…
This study extends the Bayesian nonparametric instrumental variable regression model to determine the structural effects of covariates on the conditional quantile of the response variable. The error distribution is nonparametrically…
This paper introduces a high-dimensional binary variate model that accommodates nonstationary covariates and factors, and studies their asymptotic theory. This framework encompasses scenarios where single indices are nonstationary or…