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Estimating and disentangling epistemic uncertainty, uncertainty that is reducible with more training data, and aleatoric uncertainty, uncertainty that is inherent to the task at hand, is critically important when applying machine learning…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-08 Matthew A. Chan , Maria J. Molina , Christopher A. Metzler

This paper addresses the Bayesian calibration of dynamic models with parametric and structural uncertainties, in particular where the uncertain parameters are unknown/poorly known spatio-temporally varying subsystem models. Independent…

Computation · Statistics 2012-11-02 Piyush Tagade , Han-Lim Choi

In the presence of modeling errors, the mainstream Bayesian methods seldom give a realistic account of uncertainties as they commonly underestimate the inherent variability of parameters. This problem is not due to any misconception in the…

Applications · Statistics 2020-05-19 Omid Sedehi , Costas Papadimitriou , Lambros S. Katafygiotis

Seismic imaging from sparsely acquired data faces challenges such as low image quality, discontinuities, and migration swing artifacts. Existing convolutional neural network (CNN)-based methods struggle with complex feature distributions…

Geophysics · Physics 2024-08-01 Xingchen Shi , Shijun Cheng , Weijian Mao , Wei Ouyang

Multiphase flow is a critical process in a wide range of applications, including oil and gas recovery, carbon sequestration, and contaminant remediation. Numerical simulation of multiphase flow requires solving of a large, sparse linear…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2018-03-14 Quan M. Bui , Lu Wang , Daniel Osei-Kuffuor

A computer simulation model is used to study the density profile and flow of a miscible gaseous fluid mixture consisting of differing constituent masses ($m_A = m_B/3$) through an open matrix. The density profile is found to decay with the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-07 R. B. Pandey , D. Stauffer , R. Seyfarth , Luis A. Cueva , J. F. Gettrust , Warren Wood

Despite the remarkable success of sampling-based generative models such as flow matching, they can still produce samples of inconsistent or degraded quality. To assess sample reliability and generate higher-quality outputs, we propose…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-05-14 Juyeop Han , Lukas Lao Beyer , Sertac Karaman

Propagating uncertainties introduced by chemical reaction rate parameters to high-fidelity numerical simulations of complex combustion devices is necessary to ascertain impact on computational predictions. However, the high cost of detailed…

Computational Physics · Physics 2026-03-12 Vansh Sharma , Shuzhi Zhang , Rahul Jain , Venkat Raman

We consider the release and subsequent gravity-driven spreading of a finite volume of fluid in an anisotropic porous medium bounded by an impermeable substrate. When the permeability in the vertical direction is much smaller than the…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2023-04-24 GP Benham

We study the diffusion of a tracer particle driven out-of-equilibrium by an external force and traveling in a dense environment of arbitrary density. The system evolves on a discrete lattice and its stochastic dynamics is described by a…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2018-05-23 Pierre Illien , Olivier Bénichou , Gleb Oshanin , Alessandro Sarracino , Raphaël Voituriez

Uncertainty quantification of groundwater (GW) aquifer parameters is critical for efficient management and sustainable extraction of GW resources. These uncertainties are introduced by the data, model, and prior information on the…

Geophysics · Physics 2021-12-08 Amal Alghamdi , Marc Hesse , Jingyi Chen , Umberto Villa , Omar Ghattas

Diffusion-driven flow is a boundary layer flow arising from the interplay of gravity and diffusion in density-stratified fluids when a gravitational field is non-parallel to an impermeable solid boundary. This study investigates…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2024-09-23 Lingyun Ding

FAST-TCP achieves better performance than traditional TCP-Reno schemes, but unfortunately it is inherently unfair to older connections due to wrong estimations of the round-trip propagation delay. This paper presents a model for this…

Networking and Internet Architecture · Computer Science 2015-09-02 Miguel Rodríguez-Pérez , Sergio Herrería-Alonso , Manuel Fernández-Veiga , Cándido López-García

Groundwater flow modeling is commonly used to calculate groundwater heads, estimate groundwater flow paths and travel times, and provide insights into solute transport processes within an aquifer. However, the values of input parameters…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2023-03-15 Emily A. Baker , Sauro Manenti , Alessandro Reali , Giancarlo Sangalli , Lorenzo Tamellini , Sara Todeschini

In the last decades, significant progress has been made in understanding the multiphase displacement through porous media with homogeneous wettability and its relation to the pore geometry. However, the role of wettability at the scale of…

Soft Condensed Matter · Physics 2012-06-01 Marta S. de La Lama , Martin Brinkmann

In this paper, we combine discrete empirical interpolation techniques, global mode decomposition methods, and local multiscale methods, such as the Generalized Multiscale Finite Element Method (GMsFEM), to reduce the computational…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2023-07-19 Manal Alotaibi , Victor M. Calo , Yalchin Efendiev , Juan Galvis , Mehdi Ghommem

We consider a system consisting of a geometric evolution equation for a hypersurface and a parabolic equation on this evolving hypersurface. More precisely, we discuss mean curvature flow scaled with a term that depends on a quantity…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2022-05-06 Helmut Abels , Felicitas Bürger , Harald Garcke

Water pollution is a major global environmental problem, and it poses a great environmental risk to public health and biological diversity. This work is motivated by assessing the potential environmental threat of coal mining through…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-05-17 Amal Agarwal , Lingzhou Xue

We propose a seamless multiscale method which approximates the macroscopic behavior of the passive advection-diffusion equations with steady incompressible velocity fields with multi-spatial scales. The method uses decompositions of the…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2016-06-22 Yoonsang Lee , Bjorn Engquist

This work suggests several methods of uncertainty treatment in multiscale modelling and describes their application to a system of coupled turbulent transport simulations of a tokamak plasma. We propose a method to quantify the usually…

Plasma Physics · Physics 2023-07-10 Yehor Yudin , David Coster , Udo von Toussaint , Frank Jenko