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Predicting customers' long-term revenue from sparse and irregular transaction data is central to marketing resource allocation in non-contractual settings, yet existing approaches face a trade-off. Traditional probabilistic customer base…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-04-27 Jeffrey Näf , Riana Valera Mbelson , Markus Meierer

Two novel numerical estimators are proposed for solving forward-backward stochastic differential equations (FBSDEs) appearing in the Feynman-Kac representation of the value function in stochastic optimal control problems. In contrast to the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-10-01 Kelsey P. Hawkins , Ali Pakniyat , Panagiotis Tsiotras

The calibration of a local volatility models to a given set of option prices is a classical problem of mathematical finance. It was considered in multiple papers where various solutions were proposed. In this paper an extension of the…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-08-19 Andrey Itkin , Alexander Lipton

We study the semilinear partial differential equation (PDE) associated with the non-linear BSDE characterizing buyer's and seller's XVA in a framework that allows for asymmetries in funding, repo and collateral rates, as well as for early…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2016-08-16 Maxim Bichuch , Agostino Capponi , Stephan Sturm

We present a new numerical method to price vanilla options quickly in time-changed Brownian motion models. The method is based on rational function approximations of the Black-Scholes formula. Detailed numerical results are given for a…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2012-04-02 Martijn Pistorius , Johannes Stolte

This paper develops a Bayesian procedure for estimation and forecasting of the volatility of multivariate time series. The foundation of this work is the matrix-variate dynamic linear model, for the volatility of which we adopt a…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2008-12-02 K. Triantafyllopoulos

Valuation adjustments, collectively named XVA, play an important role in modern derivatives pricing to take into account additional price components such as counterparty and funding risk premia. They are an exotic price component carrying a…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2025-03-06 Lorenzo Silotto , Marco Scaringi , Marco Bianchetti

In this paper, we study the option pricing problems for rough volatility models. As the framework is non-Markovian, the value function for a European option is not deterministic; rather, it is random and satisfies a backward stochastic…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-08-05 Christian Bayer , Jinniao Qiu , Yao Yao

In this work, we extend deep learning-based numerical methods to fully coupled forward-backward stochastic differential equations (FBSDEs) within a non-Markovian framework. Error estimates and convergence are provided. In contrast to the…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-11-25 Hasib Uddin Molla , Matthew Backhouse , Ankit Banarjee , Jinniao Qiu

Local Volatility (LV) is a powerful tool for market modeling, enabling the generation of arbitrage-free scenarios calibrated to all European options. To implement LV, we need to interpolate and extrapolate option prices. This approach is…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2025-01-31 V. M. Belyaev

We illustrate how to compute local risk minimization (LRM) of call options for exponential L\'evy models. We have previously obtained a representation of LRM for call options; here we transform it into a form that allows use of the fast…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-06-15 Takuji Arai , Yuto Imai , Ryoichi Suzuki

Over the past few years quadratic Backward Stochastic Differential Equations (BSDEs) have been a popular field of research. However there are only very few examples where explicit solutions for these equations are known. In this paper we…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-01-16 Anja Richter

We consider the problem of valuation of American options written on dividend-paying assets whose price dynamics follows a multidimensional exponential Levy model. We carefully examine the relation between the option prices, related partial…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-09-20 Tomasz Klimsiak , Andrzej Rozkosz

We develop a framework for computing the total valuation adjustment (XVA) of a European claim accounting for funding costs, counterparty credit risk, and collateralization. Based on no-arbitrage arguments, we derive backward stochastic…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2020-02-25 Maxim Bichuch , Agostino Capponi , Stephan Sturm

We propose using model reparametrization to improve variational Bayes inference for hierarchical models whose variables can be classified as global (shared across observations) or local (observation specific). Posterior dependence between…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-01-28 Linda S. L. Tan

We propose a numerical method for the valuation of European-style options under two-asset infinite-activity exponential L\'evy models. Our method extends the effective approach developed by Wang, Wan & Forsyth (2007) for the 1-dimensional…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2026-04-01 Massimiliano Moda , Karel J. in 't Hout , Michèle Vanmaele , Fred Espen Benth

The local volatility model is a widely used for pricing and hedging financial derivatives. While its main appeal is its capability of reproducing any given surface of observed option prices---it provides a perfect fit---the essential…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-01-24 Martin Tegnér , Stephen Roberts

In this paper, we derive a representation for the value process associated to the solutions of FBSDEs in a jump-diffusion setting under multiple probability measures. Motivated by concrete financial problems, the latter representations are…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-07-13 Luca Di Persio , Alessandro Gnoatto , Marco Patacca

Envelope models provide a sufficient dimension reduction framework for multivariate regression analysis. Bayesian inference for these models has been developed primarily using Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods. Specifically, Gibbs…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-03 Seunghyeon Kim , Kwangmin Lee , Yeonhee Park

The goal of this paper is to investigate how the marginal and dependence structures of a variety of multivariate L\'evy models affect calibration and pricing. To this aim, we study the approaches of Luciano and Semeraro (2010) and Ballotta…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2025-01-22 Giovanni Amici , Paolo Brandimarte , Francesco Messeri , Patrizia Semeraro