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Causal discovery from observational data is challenging, especially with large datasets and complex relationships. Traditional methods often struggle with scalability and capturing global structural information. To overcome these…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-29 Rezaur Rashid , Gabriel Terejanu

In various applications, probabilistic forecasts are required to quantify the inherent uncertainty associated with the forecast. However, numerous modern forecasting methods are still designed to create deterministic forecasts. Transforming…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-06 Kaleb Phipps , Benedikt Heidrich , Marian Turowski , Moritz Wittig , Ralf Mikut , Veit Hagenmeyer

Uncertainty-aware robot motion prediction is crucial for downstream traversability estimation and safe autonomous navigation in unstructured, off-road environments, where terrain is heterogeneous and perceptual uncertainty is high. Most…

Self-driving vehicles rely on sensory input to monitor their surroundings and continuously adapt to the most likely future road course. Predictive trajectory planning is based on snapshots of the (uncertain) road course as a key input.…

Robotics · Computer Science 2025-09-24 Benjamin Bogenberger , Johannes Bürger , Vladislav Nenchev

Human movement prediction is difficult as humans naturally exhibit complex behaviors that can change drastically from one environment to the next. In order to alleviate this issue, we propose a prediction framework that decouples short-term…

Robotics · Computer Science 2020-03-19 Philipp Kratzer , Marc Toussaint , Jim Mainprice

Making safe and human-like decisions is an essential capability of autonomous driving systems, and learning-based behavior planning presents a promising pathway toward achieving this objective. Distinguished from existing learning-based…

Robotics · Computer Science 2023-03-08 Zhiyu Huang , Haochen Liu , Jingda Wu , Chen Lv

Predicting the future motion of traffic agents is crucial for safe and efficient autonomous driving. To this end, we present PredictionNet, a deep neural network (DNN) that predicts the motion of all surrounding traffic agents together with…

Motion prediction for traffic participants is essential for a safe and robust automated driving system, especially in cluttered urban environments. However, it is highly challenging due to the complex road topology as well as the uncertain…

Robotics · Computer Science 2022-08-02 Lu Zhang , Peiliang Li , Jing Chen , Shaojie Shen

Pedestrian trajectory prediction is an important technique of autonomous driving, which has become a research hot-spot in recent years. Previous methods mainly rely on the position relationship of pedestrians to model social interaction,…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2021-12-07 Pei Lv , Wentong Wang , Yunxin Wang , Yuzhen Zhang , Mingliang Xu , Changsheng Xu

Trajectory prediction is a fundamental and challenging task for numerous applications, such as autonomous driving and intelligent robots. Currently, most of existing work treat the pedestrian trajectory as a series of fixed two-dimensional…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2021-03-17 Pei Lv , Hui Wei , Tianxin Gu , Yuzhen Zhang , Xiaoheng Jiang , Bing Zhou , Mingliang Xu

Neural population activity exhibits complex, nonlinear dynamics, varying in time, over trials, and across experimental conditions. Here, we develop Conditionally Linear Dynamical System (CLDS) models as a general-purpose method to…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2025-10-31 Victor Geadah , Amin Nejatbakhsh , David Lipshutz , Jonathan W. Pillow , Alex H. Williams

We introduce a novel training principle for probabilistic models that is an alternative to maximum likelihood. The proposed Generative Stochastic Networks (GSN) framework is based on learning the transition operator of a Markov chain whose…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2014-05-27 Yoshua Bengio , Éric Thibodeau-Laufer , Guillaume Alain , Jason Yosinski

We tackle safe trajectory planning under Gaussian mixture model (GMM) uncertainty. Specifically, we use a GMM to model the multimodal behaviors of obstacles' uncertain states. Then, we develop a mixed-integer conic approximation to the…

Robotics · Computer Science 2025-03-11 Kai Ren , Heejin Ahn , Maryam Kamgarpour

We present Causal Generative Neural Networks (CGNNs) to learn functional causal models from observational data. CGNNs leverage conditional independencies and distributional asymmetries to discover bivariate and multivariate causal…

Traffic prediction is an important and yet highly challenging problem due to the complexity and constantly changing nature of traffic systems. To address the challenges, we propose a graph and attentive multi-path convolutional network…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-05-31 Jianzhong Qi , Zhuowei Zhao , Egemen Tanin , Tingru Cui , Neema Nassir , Majid Sarvi

Trajectory prediction plays a vital role in automotive radar systems, facilitating precise tracking and decision-making in autonomous driving. Generative adversarial networks with the ability to learn a distribution over future trajectories…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-11-07 Peiyuan Zhu , Fengxia Han , Hao Deng

Traffic prediction is the cornerstone of an intelligent transportation system. Accurate traffic forecasting is essential for the applications of smart cities, i.e., intelligent traffic management and urban planning. Although various methods…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-05-04 Fuxian Li , Jie Feng , Huan Yan , Guangyin Jin , Depeng Jin , Yong Li

Precise trajectory prediction in complex driving scenarios is essential for autonomous vehicles. In practice, different driving scenarios present varying levels of difficulty for trajectory prediction models. However, most existing research…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2024-10-22 Zhezhang Ding , Huijing Zhao

Recently, adaptive graph convolutional network based traffic prediction methods, learning a latent graph structure from traffic data via various attention-based mechanisms, have achieved impressive performance. However, they are still…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-04-02 Jun Fu , Wei Zhou , Zhibo Chen

We introduce Graph Neural Processes (GNP), inspired by the recent work in conditional and latent neural processes. A Graph Neural Process is defined as a Conditional Neural Process that operates on arbitrary graph data. It takes features of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-10-03 Andrew Carr , David Wingate
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