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We give a concentration inequality based on the premise that random variables take values within a particular region. The concentration inequality guarantees that, for any sequence of correlated random variables, the difference between the…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-02-21 Go Kato

The inference of causal relationships using observational data from partially observed multivariate systems with hidden variables is a fundamental question in many scientific domains. Methods extracting causal information from conditional…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-10-13 Daniel Chicharro , Michel Besserve , Stefano Panzeri

We consider covariance asymptotics for linear statistics of general stationary random measures in terms of their truncated pair correlation measure. We give exact infinite series-expansion formulas for covariance of smooth statistics of…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-11-14 Manjunath Krishnapur , D. Yogeshwaran

The Central Limit Theorem states that, in the limit of a large number of terms, an appropriately scaled sum of independent random variables yields another random variable whose probability distribution tends to a stable distribution. The…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2024-04-08 Damián H. Zanette , Inés Samengo

We derive concentration inequalities for sums of independent and identically distributed random variables that yield non-asymptotic generalizations of several strong laws of large numbers including some of those due to Kolmogorov [1930],…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-11-04 Johannes Ruf , Ian Waudby-Smith

Concentration inequalities, which have proved very useful in a variety of fields, provide fairly tight bounds on large deviation probabilities while central limit theorem (CLT) describes the asymptotic distribution around the mean (at the…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-02-02 Changqing Liu

Concentration results say that a sequence of random variables becomes progressively concentrated around the mean. Such results are common in the study of functions of random graphs. We introduce a real-valued logic with various aggregate…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-02-23 Michael Benedikt , Maksim Zhukovskii

A fundamental tool in network information theory is the covering lemma, which lower bounds the probability that there exists a pair of random variables, among a give number of independently generated candidates, falling within a given set.…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2019-04-18 Jingbo Liu , Mohammad H. Yassaee , Sergio Verdú

We obtain non asymptotic concentration bounds for two kinds of stochastic approximations. We first consider the deviations between the expectation of a given function of the Euler scheme of some diffusion process at a fixed deterministic…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-12-12 Noufel Frikha , Stephane Menozzi

An iterative randomness extraction algorithm which generalized the Von Neumann's extraction algorithm is detailed, analyzed and implemented in standard C++. Given a sequence of independently and identically distributed biased Bernoulli…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2021-01-08 Claude Gravel

Sums of independent, bounded random variables concentrate around their expectation approximately as well a Gaussian of the same variance. Well known results of this form include the Bernstein, Hoeffding, and Chernoff inequalities and many…

Discrete Mathematics · Computer Science 2017-04-25 Thomas Steinke , Jonathan Ullman

Causal discovery is to learn cause-effect relationships among variables given observational data and is important for many applications. Existing causal discovery methods assume data sufficiency, which may not be the case in many real world…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-06-20 Zijun Cui , Naiyu Yin , Yuru Wang , Qiang Ji

We consider "randomized" statistics constructed by using a finite number of observations a random field at randomly chosen points. We generalize the invariance principle (the functional CLT), the Glivenko--Cantelli theorem, the theorem…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-07-19 Youri Davydov , Arkady Tempelman

Many algorithms have been recently proposed for causal machine learning. Yet, there is little to no theory on their quality, especially considering finite samples. In this work, we propose a theory based on generalization bounds that…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-05-16 Daniel Csillag , Claudio José Struchiner , Guilherme Tegoni Goedert

In probability theory, the Chernoff bound gives exponentially decreasing bounds on tail distributions for sums of independent random variables and such bound is applied at different fields in science and engineering. In this work, we…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-09-29 Shih Yu Chang

While efficient randomized algorithms for factorization of polynomials given by algebraic circuits have been known for decades, obtaining an even slightly non-trivial deterministic algorithm for this problem has remained an open question of…

Computational Complexity · Computer Science 2025-06-17 Somnath Bhattacharjee , Mrinal Kumar , Varun Ramanathan , Ramprasad Saptharishi , Shubhangi Saraf

The well-known Bennett-Hoeffding bound for sums of independent random variables is refined, by taking into account truncated third moments, and at that also improved by using, instead of the class of all increasing exponential functions,…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-01-17 Iosif Pinelis

I argue that regularizing terms in standard regression methods not only help against overfitting finite data, but sometimes also yield better causal models in the infinite sample regime. I first consider a multi-dimensional variable…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-07-01 Dominik Janzing

We provide a systematic approach to deal with the following problem. Let $X_1,\ldots,X_n$ be, possibly dependent, $[0,1]$-valued random variables. What is a sharp upper bound on the probability that their sum is significantly larger than…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-07-27 Christos Pelekis , Jan Ramon

We show how to use the Malliavin calculus to obtain density estimates of the law of general centered random variables. In particular, under a non-degeneracy condition, we prove and use a new formula for the density of a random variable…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-08-18 Ivan Nourdin , Frederi G. Viens
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