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We propose a model to forecast large realized covariance matrices of returns, applying it to the constituents of the S\&P 500 daily. To address the curse of dimensionality, we decompose the return covariance matrix using standard firm-level…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-03-29 Rafael Alves , Diego S. de Brito , Marcelo C. Medeiros , Ruy M. Ribeiro

We propose a covariate-dependent discrete graphical model for capturing dynamic networks among discrete random variables, allowing the dependence structure among vertices to vary with covariates. This discrete dynamic network encompasses…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-11-19 Lyndsay Roach , Qiong Li , Nanwei Wang , Xin Gao

The radiative transfer equation models various physical processes ranging from plasma simulations to radiation therapy. In practice, these phenomena are often subject to uncertainties. Modeling and propagating these uncertainties requires…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-06-02 Chinmay Patwardhan , Pia Stammer , Emil Løvbak , Jonas Kusch , Sebastian Krumscheid

We propose and analyse a reduced-rank method for solving least-squares regression problems with infinite dimensional output. We derive learning bounds for our method, and study under which setting statistical performance is improved in…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-11-17 Luc Brogat-Motte , Alessandro Rudi , Céline Brouard , Juho Rousu , Florence d'Alché-Buc

Structured distributions, i.e. distributions over combinatorial spaces, are commonly used to learn latent probabilistic representations from observed data. However, scaling these models is bottlenecked by the high computational and memory…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2022-01-11 Justin T. Chiu , Yuntian Deng , Alexander M. Rush

This paper studies the inference of the regression coefficient matrix under multivariate response linear regressions in the presence of hidden variables. A novel procedure for constructing confidence intervals of entries of the coefficient…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-01-21 Xin Bing , Wei Cheng , Huijie Feng , Yang Ning

Many economic variables feature changes in their conditional mean and volatility, and Time Varying Vector Autoregressive Models are often used to handle such complexity in the data. Unfortunately, when the number of series grows, they…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-01-19 G. Cubadda , S. Grassi , B. Guardabascio

While Convolutional Neural Networks (CNNs) excel at learning complex latent-space representations, their over-parameterization can lead to overfitting and reduced performance, particularly with limited data. This, alongside their high…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-01-17 Manish Sharma , Jamison Heard , Eli Saber , Panos P. Markopoulos

We study the problem of bivariate discrete or continuous probability density estimation under low-rank constraints.For discrete distributions, we assume that the two-dimensional array to estimate is a low-rank probability matrix. In the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-10-23 Julien Chhor , Olga Klopp , Alexandre Tsybakov

Bayesian inverse problems use observed data to update a prior probability distribution for an unknown state or parameter of a scientific system to a posterior distribution conditioned on the data. In many applications, the unknown parameter…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2026-05-12 Josie König , Elizabeth Qian , Melina A. Freitag

A bottleneck of sufficient dimension reduction (SDR) in the modern era is that, among numerous methods, only the sliced inverse regression (SIR) is generally applicable under the high-dimensional settings. The higher-order inverse…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-07-24 Yin Jin , Wei Luo

The multiple-subject vector autoregression (multi-VAR) model captures heterogeneous network Granger causality across subjects by decomposing individual sparse VAR transition matrices into commonly shared and subject-unique paths. The model…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-17 Younghoon Kim , Zachary F. Fisher , Vladas Pipiras

This article considers a novel and widely applicable approach to modeling high-dimensional dependent data when a large number of explanatory variables are available and the signal-to-noise ratio is low. We postulate that a $p$-dimensional…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-12-09 Zhaoxing Gao , Ruey S. Tsay

The R package BigVAR allows for the simultaneous estimation of high-dimensional time series by applying structured penalties to the conventional vector autoregression (VAR) and vector autoregression with exogenous variables (VARX)…

Computation · Statistics 2017-02-24 William Nicholson , David Matteson , Jacob Bien

Diffusion models have become the de facto standard for modern visual generation, including well-established frameworks such as latent diffusion and flow matching. Recently, modeling high-order dynamics has emerged as a promising frontier in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-14 Zhao Song

In high-dimensional classification problems, a commonly used approach is to first project the high-dimensional features into a lower dimensional space, and base the classification on the resulting lower dimensional projections. In this…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-08-05 Xin Bing , Marten Wegkamp

Analysis of high-dimensional data is currently a popular field of research, thanks to many applications e.g. in genetics (DNA data in genomewide association studies), spectrometry or web analysis. At the same time, the type of problems that…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-05-25 Jozef Jakubik

We consider dynamic pricing with many products under an evolving but low-dimensional demand model. Assuming the temporal variation in cross-elasticities exhibits low-rank structure based on fixed (latent) features of the products, we show…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-09-12 Jonas Mueller , Vasilis Syrgkanis , Matt Taddy

A context-aware language model uses location, user and/or domain metadata (context) to adapt its predictions. In neural language models, context information is typically represented as an embedding and it is given to the RNN as an…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2018-05-08 Aaron Jaech , Mari Ostendorf

In high-dimensions, many variable selection methods, such as the lasso, are often limited by excessive variability and rank deficiency of the sample covariance matrix. Covariance sparsity is a natural phenomenon in high-dimensional…

Methodology · Statistics 2010-06-08 X. Jessie Jeng And Z. John Daye