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Uncertain partially observable Markov decision processes (uPOMDPs) allow the probabilistic transition and observation functions of standard POMDPs to belong to a so-called uncertainty set. Such uncertainty, referred to as epistemic…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2021-11-02 Murat Cubuktepe , Nils Jansen , Sebastian Junges , Ahmadreza Marandi , Marnix Suilen , Ufuk Topcu

In this paper, we study the problem of optimizing the stability of positive semi-Markov jump linear systems. We specifically consider the problem of tuning the coefficients of the system matrices for maximizing the exponential decay rate of…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2020-09-22 Chengyan Zhao , Masaki Ogura , Kenji Sugimoto

Value iteration is a well-known method of solving Markov Decision Processes (MDPs) that is simple to implement and boasts strong theoretical convergence guarantees. However, the computational cost of value iteration quickly becomes…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-07-26 Guanting Chen , Johann Demetrio Gaebler , Matt Peng , Chunlin Sun , Yinyu Ye

We extend the Longstaff-Schwartz algorithm for approximately solving optimal stopping problems on high-dimensional state spaces. We reformulate the optimal stopping problem for Markov processes in discrete time as a generalized statistical…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Daniel Egloff

We provide a novel method for sensitivity analysis of parametric robust Markov chains. These models incorporate parameters and sets of probability distributions to alleviate the often unrealistic assumption that precise probabilities are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-03 Thom Badings , Sebastian Junges , Ahmadreza Marandi , Ufuk Topcu , Nils Jansen

This paper deals with the computation of the largest robust control invariant sets (RCISs) of constrained nonlinear systems. The proposed approach is based on casting the search for the invariant set as a graph theoretical problem.…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-02-16 Benjamin Decardi-Nelson , Jinfeng Liu

Reversible Markov chains play a central role in stochastic modelling and in algorithms such as Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC). Motivated by the fundamental importance of reversibility in classical settings, this paper develops a…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-10-28 Damjan Škulj

The paper introduces a novel algorithm for computing the output admissible set of linear discrete-time systems subject to input saturation. The proposed method takes advantage of the piecewise-affine dynamics to propagate the output…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-11-29 Yaashia Gautam , Marco M. Nicotra

In this paper, we establish a general stochastic maximum principle for optimal control for systems described by a continuous-time Markov regime-switching stochastic recursive utilities model. The control domain is postulated not to be…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-05-02 Liangquan Zhang , Xun Li

The paper presents Maximal Ellipsoid Backward Reachable Trees MAXELLIPSOID BRT, which is a multi-query algorithm for planning of dynamic systems under stochastic motion uncertainty and constraints on the control input. In contrast to…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-09-17 Naman Aggarwal , Jonathan P. How

Markov decision process over vector addition system with states (VASS MDP) is a finite state model combining non-deterministic and probabilistic behavior, augmented with non-negative integer counters that can be incremented or decremented…

Formal Languages and Automata Theory · Computer Science 2025-03-10 Michal Ajdarów

Predictions for physical systems often rely upon knowledge acquired from ensembles of entities, e.g., ensembles of cells in biological sciences. For qualitative and quantitative analysis, these ensembles are simulated with parametric…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-09-28 Timothy Rumbell , Jaimit Parikh , James Kozloski , Viatcheslav Gurev

In this paper, we present a new, optimization-based method to exhibit cyclic behavior in non-reversible stochastic processes. While our method is general, it is strongly motivated by discrete simulations of ordinary differential equations…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2016-09-12 Isabel Beckenbach , Leon Eifler , Konstantin Fackeldey , Ambros Gleixner , Andreas Grever , Marcus Weber , Jakob Witzig

Multivariate extreme value distributions are a common choice for modelling multivariate extremes. In high dimensions, however, the construction of flexible and parsimonious models is challenging. We propose to combine bivariate max-stable…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-12-25 Shuang Hu , Zuoxiang Peng , Johan Segers

This paper develops a unified methodology for probabilistic analysis and optimal control design for jump diffusion processes defined by polynomials. For such systems, the evolution of the moments of the state can be described via a system…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2017-02-03 Andrew Lamperski , Khem Raj Ghusinga , Abhyudai Singh

Traditional methods for unsupervised learning of finite mixture models require to evaluate the likelihood of all components of the mixture. This becomes computationally prohibitive when the number of components is large, as it is, for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-10-12 Milan Papež , Tomáš Pevný , Václav Šmídl

Motivated by many application problems, we consider Markov decision processes (MDPs) with a general loss function and unknown parameters. To mitigate the epistemic uncertainty associated with unknown parameters, we take a Bayesian approach…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-02 Xiaoshuang Wang , Yifan Lin , Enlu Zhou

We consider infinite-horizon Markov Decision Processes where parameters, such as transition probabilities, are unknown and estimated from data. The popular distributionally robust approach to addressing the parameter uncertainty can…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-12-23 Yifan Lin , Enlu Zhou

In this paper, we solve a maximization problem where the objective function is quadratic and the constraints set is the reachable values set of a stable discrete-time affine system. This problem is equivalent to solve an infinite number of…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-09-04 Assalé Adjé

A power system unit commitment (UC) problem considering uncertainties of renewable energy sources is investigated in this paper, through a distributionally robust optimization approach. We assume that the first and second order moments of…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-11-17 Xiaodong Zheng , Haoyong Chen , Yan Xu , Zhengmao Li , Zhenjia Lin , Zipeng Liang
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