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Pedestrian trajectory prediction is challenging due to its uncertain and multimodal nature. While generative adversarial networks can learn a distribution over future trajectories, they tend to predict out-of-distribution samples when the…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2021-08-23 Patrick Dendorfer , Sven Elflein , Laura Leal-Taixé

Real-time safety systems are crucial components of intelligent vehicles. This paper introduces a prediction-based collision risk assessment approach on highways. Given a point mass vehicle dynamics system, a stochastic forward reachable set…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-05-04 Xinwei Wang , Zirui Li , Javier Alonso-Mora , Meng Wang

The correct characterization of uncertainty when predicting human motion is equally important as the accuracy of this prediction. We present a new method to correctly predict the uncertainty associated with the predicted distribution of…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2021-12-14 Aleksey Postnikov , Aleksander Gamayunov , Gonzalo Ferrer

Addressing safe and efficient interaction between connected and automated vehicles (CAVs) and human-driven vehicles in a mixed-traffic environment has attracted considerable attention. In this paper, we develop a framework for stochastic…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-07-01 Viet-Anh Le , Behdad Chalaki , Filippos N. Tzortzoglou , Andreas A. Malikopoulos

Uncertainty-aware prediction is essential for safe motion planning, especially when using learned models to forecast the behavior of surrounding agents. Conformal prediction is a statistical tool often used to produce uncertainty-aware…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-11-19 Allen Emmanuel Binny , Anushri Dixit

Accurate and reliable prediction has profound implications to a wide range of applications. In this study, we focus on an instance of spatio-temporal learning problem--traffic prediction--to demonstrate an advanced deep learning model…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-08-27 Pingping Dong , Xiao-Lin Wang , Indranil Bose , Kam K. H. Ng , Xiaoning Zhang , Xiaoge Zhang

Accurately predicting the likelihood of interaction between two objects (compound-protein sequence, user-item, author-paper, etc.) is a fundamental problem in Computer Science. Current deep-learning models rely on learning accurate…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-12-23 Apurva Kalia , Dilip Krishnan , Soha Hassoun

Accurate pedestrian trajectory prediction is of great importance for downstream tasks such as autonomous driving and mobile robot navigation. Fully investigating the social interactions within the crowd is crucial for accurate pedestrian…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-09-18 Yuying Chen , Congcong Liu , Xiaodong Mei , Bertram E. Shi , Ming Liu

Short-term road traffic prediction (STTP) is one of the most important modules in Intelligent Transportation Systems (ITS). However, network-level STTP still remains challenging due to the difficulties both in modeling the diverse traffic…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-02-27 Lingyi Han , Kan Zheng , Long Zhao , Xianbin Wang , Xuemin Shen

Recently, adaptive graph convolutional network based traffic prediction methods, learning a latent graph structure from traffic data via various attention-based mechanisms, have achieved impressive performance. However, they are still…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-04-02 Jun Fu , Wei Zhou , Zhibo Chen

Autonomous vehicles hold great promise in improving the future of transportation. The driving models used in these vehicles are based on neural networks, which can be difficult to validate. However, ensuring the safety of these models is…

Robotics · Computer Science 2023-09-14 Maximilian Zipfl , Sven Spickermann , J. Marius Zöllner

Concept bottleneck models (CBMs) are interpretable neural networks that first predict labels for human-interpretable concepts relevant to the prediction task, and then predict the final label based on the concept label predictions. We…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-04-28 Kushal Chauhan , Rishabh Tiwari , Jan Freyberg , Pradeep Shenoy , Krishnamurthy Dvijotham

Unexpected stimuli induce "error" or "surprise" signals in the brain. The theory of predictive coding promises to explain these observations in terms of Bayesian inference by suggesting that the cortex implements variational inference in a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-10-18 Eli Sennesh , Hao Wu , Tommaso Salvatori

Planning for autonomous driving in complex, urban scenarios requires accurate prediction of the trajectories of surrounding traffic participants. Their future behavior depends on their route intentions, the road-geometry, traffic rules and…

Robotics · Computer Science 2018-08-29 Jens Schulz , Constantin Hubmann , Julian Löchner , Darius Burschka

Past research on pedestrian trajectory forecasting mainly focused on deterministic predictions which provide only point estimates of future states. These future estimates can help an autonomous vehicle plan its trajectory and avoid…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-01-16 Anshul Nayak , Azim Eskandarian , Zachary Doerzaph

This paper addresses navigation in crowded environments by integrating goal-conditioned generative models with Sampling-based Model Predictive Control (SMPC). We introduce goal-conditioned autoregressive models to generate crowd behaviors,…

Robotics · Computer Science 2024-08-08 Martin Moder , Stephen Adhisaputra , Josef Pauli

We propose an approach to simulating trajectories of multiple interacting agents (road users) based on transformers and probabilistic graphical models (PGMs), and apply it to the Waymo SimAgents challenge. The transformer baseline is based…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-01 Xinghua Lou , Meet Dave , Shrinu Kushagra , Miguel Lazaro-Gredilla , Kevin Murphy

The ability to predict the future movements of other vehicles is a subconscious and effortless skill for humans and key to safe autonomous driving. Therefore, trajectory prediction for autonomous cars has gained a lot of attention in recent…

Robotics · Computer Science 2021-09-16 Benedikt Mersch , Thomas Höllen , Kun Zhao , Cyrill Stachniss , Ribana Roscher

Developing autonomous vehicles (AVs) helps improve the road safety and traffic efficiency of intelligent transportation systems (ITS). Accurately predicting the trajectories of traffic participants is essential to the decision-making and…

Robotics · Computer Science 2022-12-22 Yunlong Lin , Zirui Li , Cheng Gong , Chao Lu , Xinwei Wang , Jianwei Gong

Autonomous driving system aims for safe and social-consistent driving through the behavioral integration among interactive agents. However, challenges remain due to multi-agent scene uncertainty and heterogeneous interaction. Current dense…

Robotics · Computer Science 2024-09-27 Haochen Liu , Li Chen , Yu Qiao , Chen Lv , Hongyang Li