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Autonomous systems in the road transportation network require intelligent mechanisms that cope with uncertainty to foresee the future. In this paper, we propose a multi-stage probabilistic approach for trajectory forecasting: trajectory…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-07-28 Tiago Rodrigues de Almeida , Oscar Martinez Mozos

Accurately predicting the trajectory of surrounding vehicles is a critical challenge for autonomous vehicles. In complex traffic scenarios, there are two significant issues with the current autonomous driving system: the cognitive…

Robotics · Computer Science 2024-09-25 Wen Wei , Jiankun Wang

Motion prediction for intelligent vehicles typically focuses on estimating the most probable future evolutions of a traffic scenario. Estimating the gap acceptance, i.e., whether a vehicle merges or crosses before another vehicle with the…

Robotics · Computer Science 2024-09-18 Max Bastian Mertens , Jona Ruof , Jan Strohbeck , Michael Buchholz

Automated vehicles are envisioned to navigate safely in complex mixed-traffic scenarios alongside human-driven vehicles. To promise a high degree of safety, accurately predicting the maneuvers of surrounding vehicles and their future…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-20 Shuli Wang , Kun Gao , Lanfang Zhang , Yang Liu , Lei Chen

Planning under social interactions with other agents is an essential problem for autonomous driving. As the actions of the autonomous vehicle in the interactions affect and are also affected by other agents, autonomous vehicles need to…

Robotics · Computer Science 2022-07-11 Chenran Li , Tu Trinh , Letian Wang , Changliu Liu , Masayoshi Tomizuka , Wei Zhan

Accurate prediction of pedestrian trajectories is crucial for improving the safety of autonomous driving. However, this task is generally nontrivial due to the inherent stochasticity of human motion, which naturally requires the predictor…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-03-04 Ge Sun , Sheng Wang , Lei Zhu , Ming Liu , Jun Ma

To plan safe trajectories in urban environments, autonomous vehicles must be able to quickly assess the future intentions of dynamic agents. Pedestrians are particularly challenging to model, as their motion patterns are often uncertain…

Robotics · Computer Science 2014-05-23 Sarah Ferguson , Brandon Luders , Robert C. Grande , Jonathan P. How

Conformal Prediction (CP) is a principled framework for quantifying uncertainty in blackbox learning models, by constructing prediction sets with finite-sample coverage guarantees. Traditional approaches rely on scalar nonconformity scores,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-05-07 Gauthier Thurin , Kimia Nadjahi , Claire Boyer

The emergence of data-driven demand analysis has led to the increased use of generative modelling to learn the probabilistic dependencies between random variables. Although their apparent use has mostly been limited to image recognition and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-05-11 Melvin Wong , Bilal Farooq

Trajectory prediction and behavioral decision-making are two important tasks for autonomous vehicles that require good understanding of the environmental context; behavioral decisions are better made by referring to the outputs of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-06-20 Hongyu Hu , Qi Wang , Zhengguang Zhang , Zhengyi Li , Zhenhai Gao

Uncertainty modeling is critical in trajectory forecasting systems for both interpretation and safety reasons. To better predict the future trajectories of multiple agents, recent works have introduced interaction modules to capture…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2021-10-28 Bohan Tang , Yiqi Zhong , Ulrich Neumann , Gang Wang , Ya Zhang , Siheng Chen

Trajectory prediction plays a vital role in automotive radar systems, facilitating precise tracking and decision-making in autonomous driving. Generative adversarial networks with the ability to learn a distribution over future trajectories…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-11-07 Peiyuan Zhu , Fengxia Han , Hao Deng

Vehicle-to-Everything (V2X) communication has been proposed as a potential solution to improve the robustness and safety of autonomous vehicles by improving coordination and removing the barrier of non-line-of-sight sensing. Cooperative…

The prediction of humans' short-term trajectories has advanced significantly with the use of powerful sequential modeling and rich environment feature extraction. However, long-term prediction is still a major challenge for the current…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2020-11-09 Hung Tran , Vuong Le , Truyen Tran

Non-communicable disease is the leading cause of death, emphasizing the need for accurate prediction of disease progression and informed clinical decision-making. Machine learning (ML) models have shown promise in this domain by capturing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-09-25 Zhoujian Sun , Wenzhuo Zhang , Zhengxing Huang , Nai Ding , Cheng Luo

This paper presents online-capable deep learning model for probabilistic vehicle trajectory prediction. We propose a simple encoder-decoder architecture based on multi-head attention. The proposed model generates the distribution of the…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2020-07-07 Hayoung Kim , Dongchan Kim , Gihoon Kim , Jeongmin Cho , Kunsoo Huh

Predicting future behavior of other traffic participants is an essential task that needs to be solved by automated vehicles and human drivers alike to achieve safe and situationaware driving. Modern approaches to vehicles trajectory…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2020-10-02 Florian Mirus , Terrence C. Stewart , Jorg Conradt

Multi-object tracking (MOT) and trajectory prediction are two critical components in modern 3D perception systems that require accurate modeling of multi-agent interaction. We hypothesize that it is beneficial to unify both tasks under one…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2021-04-06 Xinshuo Weng , Ye Yuan , Kris Kitani

Data driven methods for time series forecasting that quantify uncertainty open new important possibilities for robot tasks with hard real time constraints, allowing the robot system to make decisions that trade off between reaction time and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-01-08 Sebastian Gomez-Gonzalez , Sergey Prokudin , Bernhard Scholkopf , Jan Peters

Reasoning about human motion is a core component of modern human-robot interactive systems. In particular, one of the main uses of behavior prediction in autonomous systems is to inform robot motion planning and control. However, a majority…

Robotics · Computer Science 2021-01-15 Boris Ivanovic , Amine Elhafsi , Guy Rosman , Adrien Gaidon , Marco Pavone