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For the multivariate linear regression model with unknown covariance, the corrected Akaike information criterion is the minimum variance unbiased estimator of the expected Kullback--Leibler discrepancy. In this study, based on the loss…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-03-20 Takeru Matsuda

In self-supervised contrastive learning, a widely-adopted objective function is InfoNCE, which uses the heuristic cosine similarity for the representation comparison, and is closely related to maximizing the Kullback-Leibler (KL)-based…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-16 Yiwei Lu , Guojun Zhang , Sun Sun , Hongyu Guo , Yaoliang Yu

An efficient algorithm for the determination of Bayesian optimal discriminating designs for competing regression models is developed, where the main focus is on models with general distributional assumptions beyond the "classical" case of…

Computation · Statistics 2015-08-04 Holger Dette , Roman Guchenko , Viatcheslav B. Melas

Large language models (LLMs) often behave inconsistently across inputs, indicating uncertainty and motivating the need for its quantification in high-stakes settings. Prior work on calibration and uncertainty quantification often focuses on…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-08 Maya Kruse , Majid Afshar , Saksham Khatwani , Anoop Mayampurath , Guanhua Chen , Yanjun Gao

In Simulation-based Inference, the goal is to solve the inverse problem when the likelihood is only known implicitly. Neural Posterior Estimation commonly fits a normalized density estimator as a surrogate model for the posterior. This…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-10-04 Benjamin Kurt Miller , Marco Federici , Christoph Weniger , Patrick Forré

Large pre-trained language models often struggle to incorporate new domain-specific terminology when fine-tuned on small, specialized corpora. In this work, we address the challenge of vocabulary expansion in frozen LLMs by introducing a…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2026-01-14 Max Rehman Linder

This paper proposes a new family of lower and upper bounds on the minimum mean squared error (MMSE). The key idea is to minimize/maximize the MMSE subject to the constraint that the joint distribution of the input-output statistics lies in…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2020-06-09 Michael Fauß , Alex Dysto , H. Vincent Poor

Mutual Information (MI) and Conditional Mutual Information (CMI) are multi-purpose tools from information theory that are able to naturally measure the statistical dependencies between random variables, thus they are usually of central…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-11-22 Bao Duong , Thin Nguyen

Recently, continual learning has received a lot of attention. One of the significant problems is the occurrence of \emph{concept drift}, which consists of changing probabilistic characteristics of the incoming data. In the case of the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-11 Sebastián Basterrech , Michal Woźniak

We study some of the most commonly used mutual information estimators, based on histograms of fixed or adaptive bin size, $k$-nearest neighbors and kernels, and focus on optimal selection of their free parameters. We examine the consistency…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2015-05-13 Angeliki Papana , Dimitris Kugiumtzis

Distributional comparison is a fundamental problem in statistical data analysis with numerous applications in a variety of scientific and engineering fields. Numerous methods exist for distributional comparison but kernel Stein's method has…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-06-12 Xiaoda Qu , Baba C. Vemuri

Meta-analytic methods tend to take all-or-nothing approaches to study-level heterogeneity, assuming all studies are heterogeneous or homogeneous, leading to inefficiency and/or bias in estimation and inference. In this paper, we develop a…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-12 Elizabeth M. Davis , Emily C. Hector

This paper introduces an estimator of the relative directed distance between an estimated model and the true model, based on the Kulback-Leibler divergence and is motivated by the generalized information criterion proposed by Konishi and…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-03-06 Antonino Abbruzzo , Ivan Vujačić , Ernst Wit , Angelo M. Mineo

Mutual Information (MI) is an useful tool for the recognition of mutual dependence berween data sets. Differen methods for the estimation of MI have been developed when both data sets are discrete or when both data sets are continuous. The…

Applications · Statistics 2017-08-30 Miguel A. Ré , Guillermo G. Aguirre Varela

Inferring and comparing complex, multivariable probability density functions is fundamental to problems in several fields, including probabilistic learning, network theory, and data analysis. Classification and prediction are the two faces…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2017-03-30 David J. Galas , T. Gregory Dewey , James Kunert-Graf , Nikita A. Sakhanenko

$\alpha$-posteriors and their variational approximations distort standard posterior inference by downweighting the likelihood and introducing variational approximation errors. We show that such distortions, if tuned appropriately, reduce…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-04-20 Marco Avella Medina , José Luis Montiel Olea , Cynthia Rush , Amilcar Velez

Conditional Maximum Mean Discrepancy (CMMD) can capture the discrepancy between conditional distributions by drawing support from nonlinear kernel functions, thus it has been successfully used for pattern classification. However, CMMD does…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2020-08-25 Chuan-Xian Ren , Pengfei Ge , Dao-Qing Dai , Hong Yan

As the popularity of hierarchical point forecast reconciliation methods increases, there is a growing interest in probabilistic forecast reconciliation. Many studies have utilized machine learning or deep learning techniques to implement…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2023-11-22 Guanyu Zhang , Feng Li , Yanfei Kang

Discriminator Guidance has become a popular method for efficiently refining pre-trained Score-Matching Diffusion models. However, in this paper, we demonstrate that the standard implementation of this technique does not necessarily lead to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-12 Alexandre Verine , Ahmed Mehdi Inane , Florian Le Bronnec , Benjamin Negrevergne , Yann Chevaleyre

Orthogonal nonnegative matrix factorization (ONMF) has become a standard approach for clustering. As far as we know, most works on ONMF rely on the Frobenius norm to assess the quality of the approximation. This paper presents a new model…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-11-06 Jean Pacifique Nkurunziza , Fulgence Nahayo , Nicolas Gillis