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The longest stretch $L(n)$ of consecutive heads in $n$ i.i.d. coin tosses is seen from the prism of large deviations. We first establish precise asymptotics for the moment generating function of $L(n)$ and then show that there are precisely…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-07-13 Takis Konstantopoulos , Zhenxia Liu , Xiangfeng Yang

We study the problem of predicting numeric labels that are constrained to the integers or to a subrange of the integers. For example, the number of up-votes on social media posts, or the number of bicycles available at a public rental…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-14 Bas Maat , Peter Bloem

First passage distributions of semi-Markov processes are of interest in fields such as reliability, survival analysis, and many others. The problem of finding or computing first passage distributions is, in general, quite challenging. We…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-08-10 Richard L. Warr

We prove a general ergodic-theoretic result concerning the return time statistic, which, properly understood, sheds some new light on the common sense phenomenon known as {\it the law of series}. Let \proc be an ergodic process on finitely…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Tomasz Downarowicz , Yves Lacroix

Curiously overlooked in physics is its dependence on the transmission of numbers. For example the transmission of numerical clock readings is implicit in the concept of a coordinate system. The transmission of numbers and other logical…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2015-08-06 John M. Myers , F. Hadi Madjid

The prevailing maximum likelihood estimators for inferring power law models from rank-frequency data are biased. The source of this bias is an inappropriate likelihood function. The correct likelihood function is derived and shown to be…

Applications · Statistics 2021-07-27 Charlie Pilgrim , Thomas T Hills

We examine the relationship between two different types of ranked data, frequencies and magnitudes. We consider data that can be sorted out either way, through numbers of occurrences or size of the measures, as it is the case, say, of moon…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2017-12-13 Carlos Velarde , Alberto Robledo

The generalized gamma distribution shows up in many problems related to engineering, hydrology as well as survival analysis. Earlier work has been done that estimated the deviation of the exponential and the Weibull distribution from…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-11-10 Zelong Bi , Irfan Durmić , Steven J. Miller

Zipf's law predicts a power-law relationship between word rank and frequency in language communication systems, and is widely reported in texts yet remains enigmatic as to its origins. Computer simulations have shown that language…

Physics and Society · Physics 2016-04-04 Bohdan B. Khomtchouk , Claes Wahlestedt

This study actually draws from and builds on an earlier paper (Kumar and Bhattacharya, 2002). Here we have basically added a neutrosophic dimension to the problem of determining the conditional probability that a financial fraud has been…

General Mathematics · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Sukanto Bhattacharya , Kuldeep Kumar , Florentin Smarandache

The use of statistical methods for the description of complex quantum systems was primarily motivated by the failure of a line-by-line interpretation of atomic spectra. Such methods reveal regularities and trends in the distributions of…

Atomic Physics · Physics 2021-05-03 Jean-Christophe Pain

This paper studies an interacting particle system of interest in econophysics inspired from a model introduced in the physics literature. The original model consists of the customers of a single bank characterized by their capital, and the…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-01-31 Nicolas Lanchier , Stephanie Reed

The frog model starts with one active particle at the root of a graph and some number of dormant particles at all nonroot vertices. Active particles follow independent random paths, waking all inactive particles they encounter. We prove…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-09-25 Tobias Johnson , Matthew Junge

It is a common belief that in any environment where life is possible, life will be generated. Here it is suggested that the cause for a spontaneous generation of complex systems is probability driven processes. Based on equilibrium…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2007-11-29 Oded Kafri

Let $b \ge 2$ be an integer. Not much is known on the representation in base $b$ of prime numbers or of numbers whose prime factors belong to a given, finite set. Among other results, we establish that any sufficiently large integer which…

Number Theory · Mathematics 2016-09-27 Yann Bugeaud

We seek shifted lattice rules that are good for high dimensional integration over the unit cube in the setting of an unanchored weighted Sobolev space of functions with square-integrable mixed first derivatives. Many existing studies rely…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2019-03-14 Yoshihito Kazashi , Frances Y. Kuo , Ian H. Sloan

Let $M_n$ be the minimal position at generation $n$, of a real-valued branching random walk in the boundary case. As $n \to \infty$, $M_n- {3 \over 2} \log n$ is tight (see [1][9][2]). We establish here a law of iterated logarithm for the…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-07-06 Yueyun Hu

This paper proposes a novel approach for statistical modelling of a continuous random variable $X$ on $[0, 1)$, based on its digit representation $X=.X_1X_2\ldots$. In general, $X$ can be coupled with a latent random variable $N$ so that…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-10 Mario Beraha , Jesper Møller

It is known that increasing powers of a continuous random variable converge in distribution to Benford's law as the exponent approaches infinity. The rate of convergence has been estimated using Fourier analysis, but we present an…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-07-23 Michał Ryszard Wójcik

We consider an ergodic process on finitely many states, with positive entropy. Our first main result asserts that the distribution function of the normalized waiting time for the first visit to a small (i.e., over a long block) cylinder set…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-10-27 Tomasz Downarowicz , Yves Lacroix