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In this paper, we show that spatial correlation of renewable energy outputs greatly influences the robustness of power grids. First, we propose a new index for the spatial correlation among renewable energy outputs. We find that the spatial…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-09-21 Motoki Nagata , Yoshito Hirata , Naoya Fujiwara , Gouhei Tanaka , Hideyuki Suzuki , Kazuyuki Aihara

Autonomous microsystems are confronted today to a major challenge : the one of energy supply. Energy scavenging, i.e. collecting energy from the ambient environment has been developed to answer this problematic. Various sources have already…

Other Computer Science · Computer Science 2008-12-18 L. Carlioz , J. Delamare , S. Basrour , G. Poulin

Forecast reconciliation is a post-forecasting process that involves transforming a set of incoherent forecasts into coherent forecasts which satisfy a given set of linear constraints for a multivariate time series. In this paper we extend…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-12-25 Daniele Girolimetto , George Athanasopoulos , Tommaso Di Fonzo , Rob J Hyndman

Recently, there has been a push by countries to diversify their energy mix considering various factors. In this regard, there have been several studies conducted to assess the potential for using sources such as wind and solar to generate…

Physics and Society · Physics 2024-04-16 Abbas Shah Syed , Aron Patrick , Adrian Lauf , Adel Elmaghraby

Under the global low-carbon target, the uneven spatiotemporal distribution of renewable energy resources exacerbates the uncertainty and seasonal power imbalance. Additionally, the issue of an incomplete hydrogen energy chain is widely…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-11-15 Xinning Yi , Tianguang Lu , Yixiao Li , Qian Ai , Ran Hao

The assessment of the high-resolution ensemble weather prediction system COSMO-DE-EPS is achieved with the perspective of using it for renewable energy applications. The performance of the ensemble forecast is explored focusing on global…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2015-10-05 Zied Ben Bouallegue

A novel framework for hierarchical forecast updating is presented, addressing a critical gap in the forecasting literature. By assuming a temporal hierarchy structure, the innovative approach extends hierarchical forecast reconciliation to…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-11-05 Lukas Neubauer , Peter Filzmoser

Generation and load balance is required in the economic scheduling of generating units in the smart grid. Variable energy generations, particularly from wind and solar energy resources, are witnessing a rapid boost, and, it is anticipated…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-04-07 Mohamed Abuella , Badrul Chowdhury

Wind energy is becoming an increasingly crucial component of a sustainable grid, but its inherent variability and limited predictability present challenges for grid operators. The energy sector needs novel forecasting techniques that can…

Applications · Statistics 2023-12-05 Zheng Dong , Hanyu Zhang , Shixiang Zhu , Yao Xie , Pascal Van Hentenryck

Wind power and other forms of renewable energy sources play an ever more important role in the energy supply of today's power grids. Forecasting renewable energy sources has therefore become essential in balancing the power grid. While a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-02-18 Nina Effenberger , Nicole Ludwig

As renewable energy integration, sector coupling, and spatiotemporal detail increase, energy system optimization models grow in size and complexity, often pushing solvers to their performance limits. This systematic review explores…

This study introduces a framework for the forecasting, reconstruction and feature engineering of multivariate processes along with its renewable energy applications. We integrate derivative-free optimization with an ensemble of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-03-03 Mohammad Pirhooshyaran , Katya Scheinberg , Lawrence V. Snyder

The rising share of abundant renewable energy inevitably increases volatility in the electricity production. The concept of sector coupling means that the volatility of electricity production to a large degree can be absorbed by dispatching…

Distributed, Parallel, and Cluster Computing · Computer Science 2026-04-29 P. Bechtle , O. Freyermuth , M. Geffers , M. Giffels , M. Hübner , F. Kirfel , J. Kreutz , S. Krieg , S. Matberg , M. Schnepf

The energy balance for an atmospheric layer near the soil is evaluated. By integrating it over the whole day period a linear relationship between the global daily solar radiation incident on a horizontal surface and the product of the…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2014-01-31 Antonio Dumas , Andrea Andrisani , Maurizio Bonnici , Mauro Madonia , Michele Trancossi

The correlations of multiple renewable power plants (RPPs) should be fully considered in the power system with very high penetration renewable power integration. This paper models the uncertainties, spatial correlation of multiple RPPs…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2017-07-04 Chenghui Tang , Yishen Wang , Jian Xu , Yuanzhang Sun , Baosen Zhang

To mitigate the uncertainty of variable renewable resources, two off-the-shelf machine learning tools are deployed to forecast the solar power output of a solar photovoltaic system. The support vector machines generate the forecasts and the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-05-02 Mohamed Abuella , Badrul Chowdhury

Uncertainty analysis in the form of probabilistic forecasting can provide significant improvements in decision-making processes in the smart power grid for better integrating renewable energies such as wind. Whereas point forecasting…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-03-30 Kostas Hatalis , Shalinee Kishore , Katya Scheinberg , Alberto Lamadrid

Potential analyses identify possible locations for renewable energy installations, such as as wind turbines and photovoltaic arrays. The results of previous potential studies, however, are not consistent due to different assumptions,…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-04-06 Stanley Risch , Rachel Maier , Junsong Du , Noah Pflugradt , Peter Stenzel , Leander Kotzur , Detlef Stolten

Recent studies indicate that the effects of inter-annual climate-based variability in power system planning are significant and that long samples of demand & weather data (spanning multiple decades) should be considered. At the same time,…

Applications · Statistics 2019-05-30 Adriaan P Hilbers , David J Brayshaw , Axel Gandy

This paper presents an academia-industry joint case study, which was conducted to quantify and compare multi-year changes in power production performance of multiple turbines scattered over a mid-size wind farm. This analysis is referred to…

Applications · Statistics 2021-03-22 Yu Ding , Nitesh Kumar , Abhinav Prakash , Adaiyibo E. Kio , Xin Liu , Lei Liu , Qingchang Li