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Most of Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) and sequential Monte Carlo (SMC) algorithms in existing probabilistic programming systems suboptimally use only model priors as proposal distributions. In this work, we describe an approach for…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2016-05-17 Yura N Perov , Tuan Anh Le , Frank Wood

Probabilistic inference algorithms such as Sequential Monte Carlo (SMC) provide powerful tools for constraining procedural models in computer graphics, but they require many samples to produce desirable results. In this paper, we show how…

Graphics · Computer Science 2016-10-17 Daniel Ritchie , Anna Thomas , Pat Hanrahan , Noah D. Goodman

Gaussian process (GP) regression has been widely used in supervised machine learning due to its flexibility and inherent ability to describe uncertainty in function estimation. In the context of control, it is seeing increasing use for…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2020-01-01 Lukas Hewing , Juraj Kabzan , Melanie N. Zeilinger

Many practical applications of control require that constraints on the inputs and states of the system be respected, while optimizing some performance criterion. In the presence of model uncertainties or disturbances, for many control…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-10-02 Georg Schildbach , Lorenzo Fagiano , Christoph Frei , Manfred Morari

The past decade has seen a revived interest in the unavoidable or intrinsic noise in biochemical and genetic networks arising from the finite copy number of the participating species. That is, rather than modeling regulatory networks in…

Molecular Networks · Quantitative Biology 2015-03-17 Aleksandra M. Walczak , Andrew Mugler , Chris H. WIggins

Sample average approximation--based stochastic dynamic programming (SDP) and model predictive control (MPC) are two different methods for approaching multistage stochastic optimization. In this paper we investigate the conditions under…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-02-10 Dominic S. T. Keehan , Andrew B. Philpott , Edward J. Anderson

In statistics and machine learning, logistic regression is a widely-used supervised learning technique primarily employed for binary classification tasks. When the number of observations greatly exceeds the number of predictor variables, we…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-04-02 Agniva Chowdhury , Pradeep Ramuhalli

Automated vehicles require efficient and safe planning to maneuver in uncertain environments. Largely this uncertainty is caused by other traffic participants, e.g., surrounding vehicles. Future motion of surrounding vehicles is often…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-06-09 Tim Brüdigam , Michael Olbrich , Dirk Wollherr , Marion Leibold

This paper introduces a method of identifying a maximal set of safe strategies from data for stochastic systems with unknown dynamics using barrier certificates. The first step is learning the dynamics of the system via Gaussian process…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-07 Rayan Mazouz , John Skovbekk , Frederik Baymler Mathiesen , Eric Frew , Luca Laurenti , Morteza Lahijanian

We present a data-driven algorithm for efficiently computing stochastic control policies for general joint chance constrained optimal control problems. Our approach leverages the theory of kernel distribution embeddings, which allows…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-02-10 Adam J. Thorpe , Thomas Lew , Meeko M. K. Oishi , Marco Pavone

Kernel embeddings of distributions have recently gained significant attention in the machine learning community as a data-driven technique for representing probability distributions. Broadly, these techniques enable efficient computation of…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-03-25 Adam J. Thorpe , Meeko M. K. Oishi

Control variates are a well-established tool to reduce the variance of Monte Carlo estimators. However, for large-scale problems including high-dimensional and large-sample settings, their advantages can be outweighed by a substantial…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-07-22 Shijing Si , Chris. J. Oates , Andrew B. Duncan , Lawrence Carin , François-Xavier Briol

Recent low-thrust space missions have highlighted the importance of designing trajectories that are robust against uncertainties. In its complete form, this process is formulated as a nonlinear constrained stochastic optimal control…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-02-25 Naoya Ozaki , Stefano Campagnola , Ryu Funase

A core problem in statistics and probabilistic machine learning is to compute probability distributions and expectations. This is the fundamental problem of Bayesian statistics and machine learning, which frames all inference as…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-12-06 Christian A. Naesseth , Fredrik Lindsten , Thomas B. Schön

Distributed model predictive control methods for uncertain systems often suffer from considerable conservatism and can tolerate only small uncertainties due to the use of robust formulations that are amenable to distributed design and…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-03-03 Simon Muntwiler , Kim P. Wabersich , Lukas Hewing , Melanie N. Zeilinger

We consider chance-constrained problems with discrete random distribution. We aim for problems with a large number of scenarios. We propose a novel method based on the stochastic gradient descent method which performs updates of the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-05-28 Lukáš Adam , Martin Branda

Combining efficient and safe control for safety-critical systems is challenging. Robust methods may be overly conservative, whereas probabilistic controllers require a trade-off between efficiency and safety. In this work, we propose a…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-09-16 Tim Brüdigam , Robert Jacumet , Dirk Wollherr , Marion Leibold

We study an optimal control problem under uncertainty, where the target function is the solution of an elliptic partial differential equation with random coefficients, steered by a control function. The robust formulation of the…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2019-10-23 Philipp A. Guth , Vesa Kaarnioja , Frances Y. Kuo , Claudia Schillings , Ian H. Sloan

The problem of synthesizing stochastic explicit model predictive control policies is known to be quickly intractable even for systems of modest complexity when using classical control-theoretic methods. To address this challenge, we present…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-05-24 Ján Drgoňa , Sayak Mukherjee , Aaron Tuor , Mahantesh Halappanavar , Draguna Vrabie

This paper deals with distributed control of microgrids composed of storages, generators, renewable energy sources, critical and controllable loads. We consider a stochastic formulation of the optimal control problem associated to the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-06-16 Andrea Camisa , Giuseppe Notarstefano