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The importance of accurately quantifying forecast uncertainty has motivated much recent research on probabilistic forecasting. In particular, a variety of deep learning approaches has been proposed, with forecast distributions obtained as…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-11-11 Benedikt Schulz , Lutz Köhler , Sebastian Lerch

Ensemble weather forecasts enable a measure of uncertainty to be attached to each forecast, by computing the ensemble's spread. However, generating an ensemble with a good spread-error relationship is far from trivial, and a wide range of…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2021-01-05 Sebastian Scher , Gabriele Messori

Loss reserving generally focuses on identifying a single model that can generate superior predictive performance. However, different loss reserving models specialise in capturing different aspects of loss data. This is recognised in…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-06-04 Benjamin Avanzi , Yanfeng Li , Bernard Wong , Alan Xian

Ensembling a neural network is a widely recognized approach to enhance model performance, estimate uncertainty, and improve robustness in deep supervised learning. However, deep ensembles often come with high computational costs and memory…

To achieve high performance of a machine learning (ML) task, a deep learning-based model must implicitly capture the entire distribution from data. Thus, it requires a huge amount of training samples, and data are expected to fully present…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-11-17 Hung Nguyen , Morris Chang

Ensembling has a long history in statistical data analysis, with many impactful applications. However, in many modern machine learning settings, the benefits of ensembling are less ubiquitous and less obvious. We study, both theoretically…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-05-23 Ryan Theisen , Hyunsuk Kim , Yaoqing Yang , Liam Hodgkinson , Michael W. Mahoney

Ensemble learning is a methodology that integrates multiple DNN learners for improving prediction performance of individual learners. Diversity is greater when the errors of the ensemble prediction is more uniformly distributed. Greater…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-08-30 Ling Liu , Wenqi Wei , Ka-Ho Chow , Margaret Loper , Emre Gursoy , Stacey Truex , Yanzhao Wu

Ensembling is a simple and popular technique for boosting evaluation performance by training multiple models (e.g., with different initializations) and aggregating their predictions. This approach is commonly reserved for the largest…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-05-05 Dan Kondratyuk , Mingxing Tan , Matthew Brown , Boqing Gong

Many natural language processing tasks can be modeled into structured prediction and solved as a search problem. In this paper, we distill an ensemble of multiple models trained with different initialization into a single model. In addition…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2018-05-30 Yijia Liu , Wanxiang Che , Huaipeng Zhao , Bing Qin , Ting Liu

Understanding and quantifying uncertainty in black box Neural Networks (NNs) is critical when deployed in real-world settings such as healthcare. Recent works using Bayesian and non-Bayesian methods have shown how a unified predictive…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-09-29 Utkarsh Sarawgi , Wazeer Zulfikar , Rishab Khincha , Pattie Maes

Deep neural networks have amply demonstrated their prowess but estimating the reliability of their predictions remains challenging. Deep Ensembles are widely considered as being one of the best methods for generating uncertainty estimates…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-28 Nikita Durasov , Timur Bagautdinov , Pierre Baque , Pascal Fua

The extensive amounts of data required for training deep neural networks pose significant challenges on storage and transmission fronts. Dataset distillation has emerged as a promising technique to condense the information of massive…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-03-13 Ali Abbasi , Ashkan Shahbazi , Hamed Pirsiavash , Soheil Kolouri

Uncertainty estimation in deep learning has become a leading research field in medical image analysis due to the need for safe utilisation of AI algorithms in clinical practice. Most approaches for uncertainty estimation require sampling…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-04-12 Kaisar Kushibar , Víctor Manuel Campello , Lidia Garrucho Moras , Akis Linardos , Petia Radeva , Karim Lekadir

Ensemble methods are commonly used in classification due to their remarkable performance. Achieving high accuracy in a data stream environment is a challenging task considering disruptive changes in the data distribution, also known as…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-09-07 Soheil Abadifard , Sepehr Bakhshi , Sanaz Gheibuni , Fazli Can

Diffusion models excel at generative modeling (e.g., text-to-image) but sampling requires multiple denoising network passes, limiting practicality. Efforts such as progressive distillation or consistency distillation have shown promise by…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-01 Risheek Garrepalli , Shweta Mahajan , Munawar Hayat , Fatih Porikli

We propose an efficient way to output better calibrated uncertainty scores from neural networks. The Distilled Dropout Network (DDN) makes standard (non-Bayesian) neural networks more introspective by adding a new training loss which…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2018-09-28 Corina Gurau , Alex Bewley , Ingmar Posner

As deep learning models grow in complexity and the volume of training data increases, reducing storage and computational costs becomes increasingly important. Dataset distillation addresses this challenge by synthesizing a compact set of…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-05-20 Zhe Li , Sarah Cechnicka , Cheng Ouyang , Katharina Breininger , Peter Schüffler , Bernhard Kainz

Dataset distillation (DD) compresses a large training set into a small synthetic set, reducing storage and training cost, and has shown strong results on general benchmarks. Decoupled DD further improves efficiency by splitting the pipeline…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-03-27 Hongxu Ma , Guang Li , Shijie Wang , Dongzhan Zhou , Baoli Sun , Takahiro Ogawa , Miki Haseyama , Zhihui Wang

Recent studies have shown that ensemble approaches could not only improve accuracy and but also estimate model uncertainty in deep learning. However, it requires a large number of parameters according to the increase of ensemble models for…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2020-05-25 Hong Joo Lee , Seong Tae Kim , Hakmin Lee , Nassir Navab , Yong Man Ro

Dataset distillation is the technique of synthesizing smaller condensed datasets from large original datasets while retaining necessary information to persist the effect. In this paper, we approach the dataset distillation problem from a…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-12-15 Mingyang Chen , Bo Huang , Junda Lu , Bing Li , Yi Wang , Minhao Cheng , Wei Wang