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We develop dependent hierarchical normalized random measures and apply them to dynamic topic modeling. The dependency arises via superposition, subsampling and point transition on the underlying Poisson processes of these measures. The…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2012-06-22 Changyou Chen , Nan Ding , Wray Buntine

Counting experiments often rely on Monte Carlo simulations for predictions of Poisson expectations. The accompanying uncertainty from the finite Monte Carlo sample size can be incorporated into parameter estimation by modifying the Poisson…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2020-04-22 Thorsten Glüsenkamp

The continuous extension of a discrete random variable is amongst the computational methods used for estimation of multivariate normal copula-based models with discrete margins. Its advantage is that the likelihood can be derived…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-11-10 Aristidis K. Nikoloulopoulos

In 2020, two novel distributions for the analysis of directional data were introduced: the spherical Cauchy distribution and the Poisson kernel-based distribution. This paper provides a detailed exploration of both distributions within…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-02-20 Michail Tsagris , Panagiotis Papastamoulis , Shogo Kato

Bivariate count models having one marginal and the other conditionals being of the Poissons form are called pseudo-Poisson distributions. Such models have simple exible dependence structures, possess fast computation algorithms and generate…

Applications · Statistics 2023-06-08 Banoth Veeranna , B. G. Manjunath , B. Shobha

Consider a random permutation of $\{1, \ldots, \lfloor n^{t_2}\rfloor\}$ drawn according to the Ewens measure with parameter $t_1$ and let $K(n, t)$ denote the number of its cycles, where $t\equiv (t_1, t_2)\in\mathbb [0, 1]^2$. Next,…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-06-18 Helmut H. Pitters , Philip Weissmann

In this paper, we provide an explicit probability distribution for classification purposes. It is derived from the Bayesian nonparametric mixture of Dirichlet process model, but with suitable modifications which remove unsuitable aspects of…

Applications · Statistics 2009-05-05 Ruth Fuentes-Garcia , Ramses H Mena , Stephen G Walker

Bayesian inference for models with intractable likelihood functions represents a challenging suite of problems in modern statistics. In this work we analyse the Conway-Maxwell-Poisson (COM-Poisson) distribution, a two parameter…

Computation · Statistics 2020-07-13 Alan Benson , Nial Friel

RNA-Seq data characteristically exhibits large variances, which need to be appropriately accounted for in the model. We first explore the effects of this variability on the maximum likelihood estimator (MLE) of the overdispersion parameter…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-12-03 Luis Leon-Novelo , Claudio Fuentes , Sarah Emerson

This paper deals with the problem of model selection for a general class of integer-valued time series. We propose a penalized criterion based on the Poisson quasi-likelihood of the model. Under certain regularity conditions, the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-02-21 Mamadou Lamine Diop , William Kengne

Accurate modeling is essential in integer-valued real phenomena, including the distribution of entire data, zero-inflated (ZI) data, and discrete exceedances. The Poisson and Negative Binomial distributions, along with their ZI variants,…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-20 Touqeer Ahmad , Irshad Ahmad Arshad

Although the applications of Non-Homogeneous Poisson Processes to model and study the threshold overshoots of interest in different time series of measurements have proven to provide good results, they needed to be complemented with an…

Applications · Statistics 2023-09-15 Biviana Marcela Suárez-Sierra , Arrigo Coen , Carlos Alberto Taimal

The Poisson distribution is often used as a standard model for count data. Quite often, however, such data sets are not well fit by a Poisson model because they have more zeros than are compatible with this model. For these situations, a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-12-18 M. J. Bayarri , James O. Berger , Gauri S. Datta

In this paper, an alternative mixed Poisson distribution is proposed by amalgamating Poisson distribution and a modification of the Quasi Lindley distribution. Some fundamental structural properties of the new distribution, namely the shape…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-10-26 Ramajeyam Tharshan , Pushpakanthie Wijekoon

Standard approaches to forecasting the weekly number of earthquakes on a spatial grid rely on the Poisson distribution with a single global dispersion assumption. We show that this assumption is systematically violated in seismic data from…

Geophysics · Physics 2026-05-21 Alim Igilik

Matrix completion focuses on recovering missing or incomplete information in matrices. This problem arises in various applications, including image processing and network analysis. Previous research proposed Poisson matrix completion for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-08-30 Yu Lu , Kevin Bui , Roummel F. Marcia

Prediction of outstanding claims has been done via nonparametric models (chain ladder), semiparametric models (overdispersed poisson) or fully parametric models. In this paper, we propose models based on negative binomial distributions for…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-12 Luis E. Nieto-Barajas , Rodrigo S. Targino

We develop a new class of dynamic multivariate Poisson count models that allow for fast online updating and we refer to these models as multivariate Poisson-scaled beta (MPSB). The MPSB model allows for serial dependence in the counts as…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-09-16 Tevfik Aktekin , Nicholas G. Polson , Refik Soyer

A discrete-time stochastic process derived from a model of basketball is used to generalize any discrete distribution. The generalized distributions can have one or two more parameters than the parent distribution. Those derived from…

Applications · Statistics 2020-06-25 Rose Baker

Capital distribution curve is defined as log-log plot of normalized stock capitalizations ranked in descending order. The curve displays remarkable stability over periods of time. Theory of exchangeable distributions on set partitions,…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-07-09 Sergey Sosnovskiy
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