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Principal component analysis (PCA) requires the computation of a low-rank approximation to a matrix containing the data being analyzed. In many applications of PCA, the best possible accuracy of any rank-deficient approximation is at most a…

Computation · Statistics 2010-06-04 Vladimir Rokhlin , Arthur Szlam , Mark Tygert

We express the classic ARMA time-series model as a directed graphical model. In doing so, we find that the deterministic relationships in the model make it effectively impossible to use the EM algorithm for learning model parameters. To…

Applications · Statistics 2012-08-10 Bo Thiesson , David Maxwell Chickering , David Heckerman , Christopher Meek

Many statistical applications involve models for which it is difficult to evaluate the likelihood, but from which it is relatively easy to sample. Approximate Bayesian computation is a likelihood-free method for implementing Bayesian…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-11-29 Wentao Li , Paul Fearnhead

The paper considers the problem to estimate a graphical model corresponding to an autoregressive moving-average (ARMA) Gaussian stochastic process. We propose a new maximum entropy covariance and cepstral extension problem and we show that…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-08-29 Mattia Zorzi

This work presents a Bayesian approach for the estimation of Beta Autoregressive Moving Average ($\beta$ARMA) models. We discuss standard choice for the prior distributions and employ a Hamiltonian Monte Carlo algorithm to sample from the…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-07-17 Aline Foerster Grande , Guilherme Pumi , Gabriela Bettella Cybis

We consider the problem of signal estimation in generalized linear models defined via rotationally invariant design matrices. Since these matrices can have an arbitrary spectral distribution, this model is well suited for capturing complex…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-06-10 Ramji Venkataramanan , Kevin Kögler , Marco Mondelli

In this paper the stochastic complexity criterion is applied to estimation of the order in AR and ARMA models. The power of the criterion for short strings is illustrated by simulations. It requires an integral of the square root of Fisher…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Ciprian Doru Giurcăneanu , Jorma Rissanen

We study the estimation of a high dimensional approximate factor model in the presence of both cross sectional dependence and heteroskedasticity. The classical method of principal components analysis (PCA) does not efficiently estimate the…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-10-01 Jushan Bai , Yuan Liao

This paper considers the estimation and inference of the low-rank components in high-dimensional matrix-variate factor models, where each dimension of the matrix-variates ($p \times q$) is comparable to or greater than the number of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-10-20 Elynn Y. Chen , Jianqing Fan

In this article, we consider the parameter estimation of regression model with pth order autoregressive (AR(p)) error term. We use the Maximum Lq-likelihood (MLq) estimation method that is proposed by Ferrari and Yang (2010a), as a robust…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-04-23 Yesim Guney , Yetkin Tuac , Senay Ozdemir , Olcay Arslan

Fitting autoregressive moving average (ARMA) time series models requires model identification before parameter estimation. Model identification involves determining the order of the autoregressive and moving average components which is…

Computation · Statistics 2024-04-09 Yin Liu , Sam Davanloo Tajbakhsh

The problem of estimating ARMA models is computationally interesting due to the nonconcavity of the log-likelihood function. Recent results were based on the convex minimization. Joint model selection using penalization by a convex norm,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-08-10 Stéphane Chrétien , Tianwen Wei , Basad Ali Hussain Al-sarray

In many contexts, there is interest in selecting the most important variables from a very large collection, commonly referred to as support recovery or variable, feature or subset selection. There is an enormous literature proposing a rich…

Computation · Statistics 2015-06-23 Willem van den Boom , Galen Reeves , David B. Dunson

The matrix $p \rightarrow q$ norm is a fundamental quantity appearing in a variety of areas of mathematics. This quantity is known to be efficiently computable in only a few special cases. The best known algorithms for approximately…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2023-11-15 Larry Guth , Dominique Maldague , John Urschel

Bayesian adaptive designs enable flexible clinical trials by adapting features based on accumulating data. Among these, Bayesian Response-Adaptive Randomization (BRAR) skews patient allocation towards more promising treatments based on…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-05 Daniel Kaddaj , Stef Baas , Edwin Y. N. Tang , David S. Robertson , Lukas Pin , Sofía S. Villar

This work is devoted to functional ARMA$(p, q)$ processes and approximating vector models based on functional PCA in the context of prediction. After deriving sufficient conditions for the existence of a stationary solution to both the…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-12-12 J. Klepsch , C. Klüppelberg , T. Wei

ABC (approximate Bayesian computation) is a general approach for dealing with models with an intractable likelihood. In this work, we derive ABC algorithms based on QMC (quasi- Monte Carlo) sequences. We show that the resulting ABC…

Computation · Statistics 2018-05-08 Alexander Buchholz , Nicolas Chopin

Many modern statistical applications involve inference for complex stochastic models, where it is easy to simulate from the models, but impossible to calculate likelihoods. Approximate Bayesian computation (ABC) is a method of inference for…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-03-14 Paul Fearnhead , Dennis Prangle

The method of obtaining confidence intervals on a subset of the total number of parameters (p) of a model used for fitting X-ray spectra is to perturb the best-fitting model until, for each parameter, a range is found for which the change…

Astrophysics · Physics 2009-10-30 T. Yaqoob

The problem of estimating censored linear regression models with autocorrelated errors arises in many environmental and social studies. The present work proposes a Bayesian approach to estimate censored regression models with AR(p) errors.…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-01-06 Rodney Sousa , Isabel Pereira , Maria Eduarda Silva , Brendan McCabe