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Let $\alpha_n(\cdot)=P\bigl(X_{n+1}\in\cdot\mid X_1,\ldots,X_n\bigr)$ be the predictive distributions of a sequence $(X_1,X_2,\ldots)$ of $p$-dimensional random vectors. Suppose $$\alpha_n= \mathcal{N} _p (M_n,Q_n)$$ where…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-09-17 Samuele Garelli , Fabrizio Leisen , Luca Pratelli , Pietro Rigo

We introduce amorphic complexity as a new topological invariant that measures the complexity of dynamical systems in the regime of zero entropy. Its main purpose is to detect the very onset of disorder in the asymptotic behaviour. For…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2016-02-17 G. Fuhrmann , M. Gröger , T. Jäger

Sharp, nonasymptotic bounds are obtained for the relative entropy between the distributions of sampling with and without replacement from an urn with balls of $c\geq 2$ colors. Our bounds are asymptotically tight in certain regimes and,…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-01-14 Oliver Johnson , Lampros Gavalakis , Ioannis Kontoyiannis

We provide new asymptotic theory for kernel density estimators, when these are applied to autoregressive processes exhibiting moderate deviations from a unit root. This fills a gap in the existing literature, which has to date considered…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-08-19 James A. Duffy

We study vectors chosen at random from a compact convex polytope in $\mathbb{R}^n$ given by a finite number of linear constraints. We determine which projections of these random vectors are asymptotically normal as $n\to\infty$. Marginal…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-03-18 Fabrice Gamboa , Martin Venker

We derive the precise asymptotic distributional behavior of Gaussian variational approximate estimators of the parameters in a single-predictor Poisson mixed model. These results are the deepest yet obtained concerning the statistical…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-02-24 Peter Hall , Tung Pham , M. P. Wand , S. S. J. Wang

In shape-constrained nonparametric inference, it is often necessary to perform preliminary tests to verify whether a probability mass function (p.m.f.) satisfies qualitative constraints such as monotonicity, convexity, or in general…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-12-23 Fadoua Balabdaoui , Antonio Di Noia

The change-plane Cox model is a popular tool for the subgroup analysis of survival data. Despite the rich literature on this model, there has been limited investigation into the asymptotic properties of the estimators of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-02-14 Shota Takeishi

The asymptotic equipartition property (AEP) states that in the limit of a large number of independent and identically distributed (i.i.d.) random experiments, the output sequence is virtually certain to come from the typical set, each…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2025-06-04 Kun Fang , Hamza Fawzi , Omar Fawzi

This paper proposes a frequency domain approach to test the hypothesis that a complex-valued vector time series is proper, i.e., for testing whether the vector time series is uncorrelated with its complex conjugate. If the hypothesis is…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-04-05 Swati Chandna , Andrew T. Walden

This paper examines nonparametric regression with an exogenous threshold variable, allowing for an unknown number of thresholds. Given the number of thresholds and corresponding threshold values, we first establish the asymptotic properties…

Economics · Quantitative Finance 2018-02-26 Yan-Yu Chiou , Mei-Yuan Chen , Jau-er Chen

For $n$ equidistant observations of a L\'evy process at time distance $\Delta_n$ we consider the problem of testing hypotheses on the volatility, the jump measure and its Blumenthal-Getoor index in a non- or semiparametric manner.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-04-05 Markus Reiß

We study the evolution of the susceptibility in the subcritical random graph $G(n,p)$ as $n$ tends to infinity. We obtain precise asymptotics of its expectation and variance, and show it obeys a law of large numbers. We also prove that the…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-11-13 Svante Janson , Malwina J. Luczak

This paper aims to address the issue of semiparametric efficiency for cointegration rank testing in finite-order vector autoregressive models, where the innovation distribution is considered an infinite-dimensional nuisance parameter. Our…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-05-17 Bo Zhou

We determine the asymptotic behavior of the realized power variations, or more generally of sums of a given test function evaluated at the successive increments of a L\'{e}vy process. One can completely elucidate the first order behavior…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Jean Jacod

We propose a new class of goodness-of-fit tests for the inverse Gaussian distribution. The proposed tests are weighted $L^2$-type tests depending on a tuning parameter. We develop the asymptotic theory under the null hypothesis and under a…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-01-31 J. S. Allison , S. Betsch , B. Ebner , I. J. H. Visagie

Multivariable Mendelian randomization (MVMR) uses genetic variants as instrumental variables to infer the direct effects of multiple exposures on an outcome. However, unlike univariable Mendelian randomization, MVMR often faces greater…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-08-19 Yinxiang Wu , Hyunseung Kang , Ting Ye

We analyze the prediction error of ridge regression in an asymptotic regime where the sample size and dimension go to infinity at a proportional rate. In particular, we consider the role played by the structure of the true regression…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-03-09 Dominic Richards , Jaouad Mourtada , Lorenzo Rosasco

Detecting changes in high-dimensional vectors presents significant challenges, especially when the post-change distribution is unknown and time-varying. This paper introduces a novel robust algorithm for correlation change detection in…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-10-07 Assma Alghamdi , Taposh Banerjee , Jayant Rajgopal

This study derives a new property of the Wishart distribution when the degree-of-freedom and the size of the matrix parameter of the distribution grow simultaneoulsy. Particularly, the asymptotic normality of the product of four independent…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-03-29 Koji Tsukuda , Shun Matsuura