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We consider statistics for stochastic evolution equations in Hilbert space with emphasis on stochastic partial differential equations (SPDEs). We observe a solution process under additional measurement errors and want to estimate a real or…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-05-21 Gregor Pasemann , Markus Reiß

Numerical approximation of the long time behavior of a stochastic differential equation (SDE) is considered. Error estimates for time-averaging estimators are obtained and then used to show that the stationary behavior of the numerical…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-11-26 Jonathan C. Mattingly , Andrew M. Stuart , M. V. Tretyakov

This review maps developments in stochastic modeling, highlighting non-standard approaches and their applications to biology and epidemiology. It brings together four strands: (1) core models for systems that evolve with randomness; (2)…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2025-10-24 Yassine Sabbar , Kottakkaran Sooppy Nisar

Research on asymptotic model selection in the context of stochastic differential equations (SDEs) is almost non-existent in the literature. In particular, when a collection of SDEs is considered, the problem of asymptotic model selection…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-04-18 Trisha Maitra , Sourabh Bhattacharya

In this paper we construct a framework for doing statistical inference for discretely observed stochastic differential equations (SDEs) where the driving noise has 'memory'. Classical SDE models for inference assume the driving noise to be…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-07-05 Martin Lysy , Natesh S. Pillai

We introduce a family of stochastic models motivated by the study of nonequilibrium steady states of fluid equations. These models decompose the deterministic dynamics of interest into fundamental building blocks, i.e., minimal vector…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-05-07 Andrea Agazzi , Jonathan C. Mattingly , Omar Melikechi

We consider statistical inference for a class of dynamic mixed-effect models described by stochastic differential equations whose drift and diffusion coefficients simultaneously depend on fixed- and random-effect parameters. Assuming that…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-12-30 Maud Delattre , Hiroki Masuda

Stochastic averaging for a class of stochastic differential equations (SDEs) with fractional Brownian motion, of the Hurst parameter H in the interval (1/2, 1), is investigated. An averaged SDE for the original SDE is proposed, and their…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2013-01-22 Yong Xu , Rong Guo , Di Liu , Huiqing Zhang , Jinqiao Duan

In this paper, we solve stochastic partial differential equations (SPDEs) numerically by using (possibly random) neural networks in the truncated Wiener chaos expansion of their corresponding solution. Moreover, we provide some…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-01-27 Ariel Neufeld , Philipp Schmocker

In the simplest sequential decision problem for an ergodic stochastic process X, at each time n a decision u_n is made as a function of past observations X_0,...,X_{n-1}, and a loss l(u_n,X_n) is incurred. In this setting, it is known that…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-02-04 Ramon van Handel

Under distribution uncertainty, on the basis of discrete data we investigate the consistency of the least squares estimator (LSE) of the parameter for the stochastic differential equation (SDE) where the noise are characterized by…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-04-30 Chen Fei , Weiyin Fei

Stein Variational Gradient Descent (SVGD) is a highly efficient method to sample from an unnormalized probability distribution. However, the SVGD update relies on gradients of the log-density, which may not always be available. Existing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-13 Cornelius V. Braun , Robert T. Lange , Marc Toussaint

Stochastic Differential Equations (SDEs) serve as a powerful modeling tool in various scientific domains, including systems science, engineering, and ecological science. While the specific form of SDEs is typically known for a given…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-02-27 Xin Cai , Jingyu Yang , Zhibao Li , Hongqiao Wang , Miao Huang

We consider a class of stochastic smooth convex optimization problems under rather general assumptions on the noise in the stochastic gradient observation. As opposed to the classical problem setting in which the variance of noise is…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-08-23 Sasila Ilandarideva , Anatoli Juditsky , Guanghui Lan , Tianjiao Li

We address the problem of model selection for Support Vector Machine (SVM) classification. For fixed functional form of the kernel, model selection amounts to tuning kernel parameters and the slack penalty coefficient $C$. We begin by…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2007-05-23 Carl Gold , Peter Sollich

In this paper, we consider stochastic two-phase Stefan problem driven by general jump L\'evy noise. We first obtain the existence and uniqueness of the strong solution and then establish the ergodicity of the stochastic Stefan problem.…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-08-05 Xiaotian Ge , Shijie Shang , Jianliang Zhai , Tusheng Zhang

A maximum likelihood based model selection of discrete Bayesian networks is considered. The model selection is performed through scoring function $S$, which, for a given network $G$ and $n$-sample $D_n$, is defined to be the maximum…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-04-18 Nikolay H. Balov

The paper proposes a systematic framework for building data-driven stochastic differential equation (SDE) models from sparse, noisy observations. Unlike traditional parametric approaches, which assume a known functional form for the drift,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-08-18 Arnab Ganguly , Riten Mitra , Jinpu Zhou

It is well known that ignoring the presence of stochastic disturbances in the identification of stochastic Wiener models leads to asymptotically biased estimators. On the other hand, optimal statistical identification, via likelihood-based…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-03-12 Mohamed Abdalmoaty , Efe C. Balta , John Lygeros , Roy S. Smith

We present a statistical learning framework for robust identification of partial differential equations from noisy spatiotemporal data. Extending previous sparse regression approaches for inferring PDE models from simulated data, we address…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2019-07-19 Suryanarayana Maddu , Bevan L. Cheeseman , Ivo F. Sbalzarini , Christian L. Müller