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Distribution shifts are ubiquitous in real-world machine learning applications, posing a challenge to the generalization of models trained on one data distribution to another. We focus on scenarios where data distributions vary across…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-06-05 Steven Wilkins-Reeves , Xu Chen , Qi Ma , Christine Agarwal , Aude Hofleitner

Accurate and reliable forecasting of epidemic incidences is critical for public health preparedness, yet it remains a challenging task due to complex nonlinear temporal dependencies and heterogeneous spatial interactions. Often, point…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-03-10 Rajdeep Pathak , Tanujit Chakraborty

In many applications concerning statistical graphical models the data originate from several subpopulations that share similarities but have also significant differences. This raises the question of how to estimate several graphical models…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-06-17 Ilias Moysidis , Bing Li

In the realm of large-scale spatiotemporal data, abrupt changes are commonly occurring across both spatial and temporal domains. This study aims to address the concurrent challenges of detecting change points and identifying spatial…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-05-05 Zerui Zhang , Xin Wang , Xin Zhang , Jing Zhang

This paper considers identification and estimation of distributional effect parameters that depend on the joint distribution of an outcome and another variable of interest ("treatment") in a setting with "two-sided" measurement error --…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-09-23 Brantly Callaway , Tong Li , Irina Murtazashvili , Emmanuel Tsyawo

This work presents the spatial error model with heteroskedasticity, which allows the joint modeling of the parameters associated with both the mean and the variance, within a traditional approach to spatial econometrics. The estimation…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-11-21 J. D. Toloza , O. O. Melo , N. A. Cruz

In this paper, we propose a two-step lasso estimation approach to estimate the full spatial weights matrix of spatiotemporal autoregressive models. In addition, we allow for an unknown number of structural breaks in the local means of each…

Computation · Statistics 2022-08-11 Philipp Otto , Rick Steinert

Many scientific applications involve mixed spatially indexed outcomes of heterogeneous types that are driven by shared latent mechanisms. Modeling such data is challenging due to complex, nonlinear, and potentially nonstationary spatial…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-10 Yeseul Jeon , Kyeong Eun Lee , Joon Jin Song

State-space models (SSMs) provide a flexible framework for modelling time-series data. Consequently, SSMs are ubiquitously applied in areas such as engineering, econometrics and epidemiology. In this paper we provide a fast approach for…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-11-22 Tom Ryder , Andrew Golighty , A. Stephen McGough , Dennis Prangle

The problem of identifying regions of spatially interesting, different or adversarial behavior is inherent to many practical applications involving distributed multisensor systems. In this work, we develop a general framework stemming from…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-06-14 Martin Gölz , Abdelhak M. Zoubir , Visa Koivunen

We propose models and algorithms for learning about random directions in two-dimensional simplex data, and apply our methods to the study of income level proportions and their changes over time in a geostatistical area. There are several…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-05-24 Rayleigh Lei , XuanLong Nguyen

The purpose of this paper is to extend standard finite mixture models in the context of multinomial mixtures for spatial data, in order to cluster geographical units according to demographic characteristics. The spatial information is…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-04 Anna Nalpantidi , Dimitris Karlis , Panagiotis Papastamoulis

We propose a stochastic map model of economic dynamics. In the last decade, an array of observations in economics has been investigated in the econophysics literature, a major example being the universal features of inequality in terms of…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-05-27 Anindya S. Chakrabarti

We investigate spatial confounding in the presence of multivariate disease dependence. In the "analysis model perspective" of spatial confounding, adding a spatially dependent random effect can lead to significant variance inflation of the…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-13 Kyle Lin Wu , Sudipto Banerjee

Predicting the winner of an election is of importance to multiple stakeholders. To formulate the problem, we consider an independent sequence of categorical data with a finite number of possible outcomes in each. The data is assumed to be…

Applications · Statistics 2024-10-17 Soudeep Deb , Rishideep Roy , Shubhabrata Das

We consider an empirical likelihood framework for inference for a statistical model based on an informative sampling design and population-level information. The population-level information is summarized in the form of estimating equations…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-09-07 Sanjay Chaudhuri , Mark S. Handcock , Michael S. Rendall

Motivated by investigating spatio-temporal patterns of the distribution of continuous variables, we consider describing the conditional distribution function of the response variable incorporating spatio-temporal components given…

When random effects are correlated with sample design variables, the usual approach of employing individual survey weights (constructed to be inversely proportional to the unit survey inclusion probabilities) to form a pseudo-likelihood no…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-08-26 Terrance D. Savitsky , Matthew R. Williams

Socioeconomic segregation is considered one of the main factors behind the emergence of large-scale inequalities in urban areas, and its characterisation is an active area of research in urban studies. There are currently many available…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-10-21 Sandro Sousa , Vincenzo Nicosia

This paper proposes a methodology to obtain estimates in small domains when the target is a composite indicator. These indicators are of utmost importance for studying multidimensional phenomena, but little research has been done on how to…