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Crop yield forecasting plays a significant role in addressing growing concerns about food security and guiding decision-making for policymakers and farmers. When deep learning is employed, understanding the learning and decision-making…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-12 Hiba Najjar , Miro Miranda , Marlon Nuske , Ribana Roscher , Andreas Dengel

Remote sensing (RS) technique, enabling the non-contact acquisition of extensive ground observations, is a valuable tool for crop yield predictions. Traditional process-based models struggle to incorporate large volumes of RS data, and most…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-03 Xiaoyu Wang , Yijia Xu , Jingyi Huang , Zhengwei Yang , Yanbo Huang , Rajat Bindlish , Zhou Zhang

Crop yield forecasting depends on many interactive factors, including crop genotype, weather, soil, and management practices. This study analyzes the performance of machine learning and deep learning methods for winter wheat yield…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-03-01 Amit Kumar Srivastava , Nima Safaei , Saeed Khaki , Gina Lopez , Wenzhi Zeng , Frank Ewert , Thomas Gaiser , Jaber Rahimi

Accurate prediction of crop yield supported by scientific and domain-relevant insights, can help improve agricultural breeding, provide monitoring across diverse climatic conditions and thereby protect against climatic challenges to crop…

This paper introduces a Bayesian hierarchical modeling framework within a fully probabilistic setting for crop yield estimation, model selection, and uncertainty forecasting under multiple future greenhouse gas emission scenarios. By…

Applications · Statistics 2025-07-30 Dan Li , Vassili Kitsios , David Newth , Terence John O'Kane

Crop production needs to increase in a sustainable manner to meet the growing global demand for food. To identify crop varieties with high yield potential, plant scientists and breeders evaluate the performance of hundreds of lines in…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-06-25 Ali Moghimi , Ce Yang , James A. Anderson

Large-scale crop yield estimation is, in part, made possible due to the availability of remote sensing data allowing for the continuous monitoring of crops throughout their growth cycle. Having this information allows stakeholders the…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2021-06-04 Saeed Khaki , Hieu Pham , Lizhi Wang

Prediction of annual crop yields at a county granularity is important for national food production and price stability. In this paper, towards the goal of better crop yield prediction, leveraging recent graph signal processing (GSP) tools…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-08-05 Saghar Bagheri , Chinthaka Dinesh , Gene Cheung , Timothy Eadie

Early warning systems for food security rely on timely and accurate estimations of crop production. Several approaches have been developed to get early estimations of area and yield, the two components of crop production. The most common…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2019-06-11 Damien Christophe Jacques , Pierre Defourny

Uncertainty quantification is essential for scientific analysis, as it allows for the evaluation and interpretation of variability and reliability in complex systems and datasets. In their original form, multivariate statistical regression…

Crop yield prediction is one of the tasks of Precision Agriculture that can be automated based on multi-source periodic observations of the fields. We tackle the yield prediction problem using a Convolutional Neural Network (CNN) trained on…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2021-11-17 Giorgio Morales , John W. Sheppard

Increasing the accuracy of crop yield estimates may allow improvements in the whole crop production chain, allowing farmers to better plan for harvest, and for insurers to better understand risks of production, to name a few advantages. To…

Applications · Statistics 2020-07-23 Renato Luiz de Freitas Cunha , Bruno Silva

A random forest is a popular tool for estimating probabilities in machine learning classification tasks. However, the means by which this is accomplished is unprincipled: one simply counts the fraction of trees in a forest that vote for a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-12-17 Matthew A. Olson , Abraham J. Wyner

Precise estimation and uncertainty quantification for average crop yields are critical for agricultural monitoring and decision making. Existing data collection methods, such as crop cuts in randomly sampled fields at harvest time, are…

Precise crop yield prediction is essential for improving agricultural practices and ensuring crop resilience in varying climates. Integrating weather data across the growing season, especially for different crop varieties, is crucial for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-09-25 Zahra Khalilzadeh , Motahareh Kashanian , Saeed Khaki , Lizhi Wang

Eradicating hunger and malnutrition is a key development goal of the 21st century. We address the problem of optimally identifying seed varieties to reliably increase crop yield within a risk-sensitive decision-making framework.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-11-17 Huaiyang Zhong , Xiaocheng Li , David Lobell , Stefano Ermon , Margaret L. Brandeau

In this article, we present a novel approach to multivariate probabilistic forecasting. Our approach is based on an extension of single-output quantile regression (QR) to multivariate-targets, called quantile surfaces (QS). QS uses a simple…

Applications · Statistics 2020-10-13 Maarten Bieshaar , Jens Schreiber , Stephan Vogt , André Gensler , Bernhard Sick

We study nonparametric estimation of an unknown density function $f$ based on the ranked-based observations obtained from a partially rank-ordered set (PROS) sampling design. PROS sampling design has many applications in environmental,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-01-07 Sahar Nazari , Mohammad Jafari Jozani , Mahmood Kharrati-Kopaei

The emerge of new technologies to synthesize and analyze big data with high-performance computing, has increased our capacity to more accurately predict crop yields. Recent research has shown that Machine learning (ML) can provide…

Applications · Statistics 2020-11-09 Mohsen Shahhosseini , Guiping Hu , Sotirios V. Archontoulis

Precise crop yield predictions are of national importance for ensuring food security and sustainable agricultural practices. While AI-for-science approaches have exhibited promising achievements in solving many scientific problems such as…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-18 Fudong Lin , Kaleb Guillot , Summer Crawford , Yihe Zhang , Xu Yuan , Nian-Feng Tzeng