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As environments involving both robots and humans become increasingly common, so does the need to account for people during planning. To plan effectively, robots must be able to respond to and sometimes influence what humans do. This…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2021-03-16 Arjun Sripathy , Andreea Bobu , Daniel S. Brown , Anca D. Dragan

Accurate prediction of atmospheric optical turbulence in localized environments is essential for estimating the performance of free-space optical systems. Macro-meteorological models developed to predict turbulent effects in one environment…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2023-10-30 Christopher Jellen , Charles Nelson , John Burkhardt , Cody Brownell

This study explores integrating reinforcement learning (RL) with idealised climate models to address key parameterisation challenges in climate science. Current climate models rely on complex mathematical parameterisations to represent…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-17 Pritthijit Nath , Henry Moss , Emily Shuckburgh , Mark Webb

While climate models provide insights for climate decision-making, their use is constrained by significant computational and technical demands. Although machine learning (ML) emulators offer a way to bypass the high computational costs,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-25 Luca Schmidt , Nina Effenberger

We scrutinize the use of machine learning, based on reservoir computing, to build data-driven effective models of multiscale chaotic systems. We show that, for a wide scale separation, machine learning generates effective models akin to…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2020-11-11 Francesco Borra , Angelo Vulpiani , Massimo Cencini

Evolution has resulted in highly developed abilities in many natural intelligences to quickly and accurately predict mechanical phenomena. Humans have successfully developed laws of physics to abstract and model such mechanical phenomena.…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2017-03-02 Sebastien Ehrhardt , Aron Monszpart , Niloy J. Mitra , Andrea Vedaldi

The objective of this study is to evaluate the potential for History Matching (HM) to tune a climate system with multi-scale dynamics. By considering a toy climate model, namely, the two-scale Lorenz96 model and producing experiments in…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2023-06-07 Redouane Lguensat , Julie Deshayes , Homer Durand , V. Balaji

This work proposes an innovative approach using machine learning to predict extreme events in time series of chaotic dynamical systems. The research focuses on the time series of the H\'enon map, a two-dimensional model known for its…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2025-07-11 Alexandre C. Andreani , Bruno R. R. Boaretto , Elbert E. N. Macau

Machine learning has affected the way in which many phenomena for various domains are modelled, one of these domains being that of structural dynamics. However, because machine-learning algorithms are problem-specific, they often fail to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-01-08 G. Tsialiamanis , N. Dervilis , D. J. Wagg , K. Worden

The parameterization of moist convection contributes to uncertainty in climate modeling and numerical weather prediction. Machine learning (ML) can be used to learn new parameterizations directly from high-resolution model output, but it…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2018-11-30 Paul A. O'Gorman , John G. Dwyer

Predicting the long-term behavior of chaotic systems remains a formidable challenge due to their extreme sensitivity to initial conditions and the inherent limitations of traditional data-driven modeling approaches. This paper introduces a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-10 Dibyajyoti Chakraborty , Seung Whan Chung , Ashesh Chattopadhyay , Romit Maulik

The development of data-informed predictive models for dynamical systems is of widespread interest in many disciplines. We present a unifying framework for blending mechanistic and machine-learning approaches to identify dynamical systems…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2022-08-18 Matthew E. Levine , Andrew M. Stuart

A fundamental challenge in developing data-driven approaches to ecological systems for tasks such as state estimation and prediction is the paucity of the observational or measurement data. For example, modern machine-learning techniques…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2024-10-11 Zheng-Meng Zhai , Bryan Glaz , Mulugeta Haile , Ying-Cheng Lai

As in many other areas of engineering and applied science, Machine Learning (ML) is having a profound impact in the domain of Weather and Climate Prediction. A very recent development in this area has been the emergence of fully data-driven…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-11-06 Massimo Bonavita

We develop multiple Deep Learning (DL) models that advance the state-of-the-art predictions of the global auroral particle precipitation. We use observations from low Earth orbiting spacecraft of the electron energy flux to develop a model…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-12-01 Jack Ziegler , Ryan M. Mcgranaghan

We propose a multiscale approach for predicting quantities in dynamical systems which is explicitly structured to extract information in both fine-to-coarse and coarse-to-fine directions. We envision this method being generally applicable…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-12-30 Karl Otness , Laure Zanna , Joan Bruna

This chapter offers a principled approach to the prediction of chaotic systems from data. First, we introduce some concepts from dynamical systems' theory and chaos theory. Second, we introduce machine learning approaches for…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2026-04-14 Luca Magri , Andrea Nóvoa , Elise Özalp

The understanding and prediction of large wildland fire events around the world is a growing interdisciplinary research area advanced rapidly by development and use of computational models. Recent models bidirectionally couple computational…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2020-07-06 J. L. Coen , W. Schroeder , S. Conway , L. Tarnay

Advanced machine learning models have recently achieved high predictive accuracy for weather and climate prediction. However, these complex models often lack inherent transparency and interpretability, acting as "black boxes" that impede…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-03-29 Ruyi Yang , Jingyu Hu , Zihao Li , Jianli Mu , Tingzhao Yu , Jiangjiang Xia , Xuhong Li , Aritra Dasgupta , Haoyi Xiong